Methanex Reports $89 Million Loss in Q4 2025
Methanex Corp's stock fell sharply by 13.15% as it hit a 5-day low following the announcement of a significant quarterly loss.
The company reported a loss of $89 million in Q4 2025, translating to a loss of $1.15 per share, which is a significant decline from a profit of $45 million in the same quarter last year. Additionally, revenues increased by approximately 2% year-over-year to $968.8 million but fell short of the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $994.4 million, indicating weakened market demand and intensified competition. The disappointing earnings report has raised concerns about the company's profitability and future outlook, leading to a sharp decline in stock price.
This financial performance highlights the challenges Methanex faces in a competitive market, and the stock's decline may reflect investor concerns about its ability to navigate these pressures effectively.
Trade with 70% Backtested Accuracy
Analyst Views on MEOH
About MEOH
About the author

- Demand Recovery Trend: The chemical industry is expected to benefit from a rebound in demand in the automotive and construction markets, particularly as the end of customer inventory destocking will further drive chemical demand growth following last year's lows.
- Strategic Measures Implementation: Industry participants are implementing strategic measures such as cost-cutting and price increases to counter rising raw material and logistics costs, thereby sustaining margins amid the current macroeconomic environment.
- Market Performance Analysis: Despite the chemical industry's 10.8% gain over the past year, which lags behind the S&P 500's 30.2% and the broader basic materials sector's 36.8%, its Zacks industry rank places it in the top 42%, indicating potential for future growth.
- Stock Outlook: Companies like Dow (DOW) and Albemarle (ALB) are projected to achieve significant earnings growth of 352.1% and 1,675.9% respectively for 2026, reflecting strong market confidence and investment potential.
- Transaction Overview: M&G PLC sold 303,555 shares of Methanex in Q1 2026, with an estimated transaction value of $15.27 million, reflecting the company's strategic flexibility in navigating market fluctuations.
- Position Value Change: Despite the reduction, the quarter-end value of Methanex holdings increased by $236.93 million, indicating significant share price appreciation and the dual impact of trading activity.
- Asset Management Proportion: This transaction reduced Methanex's share to 4% of M&G PLC's reportable U.S. equity assets, making it the fourth largest holding, underscoring its importance in the investment portfolio.
- Market Performance Analysis: As of May 15, 2026, Methanex shares were priced at $63.38, up 89.5% year-over-year, demonstrating strong performance in the chemicals sector and M&G's ongoing interest in its future potential.
- New Investment Position: On May 12, 2026, Hartree Partners acquired 214,859 shares of Methanex, valued at approximately $10.81 million, marking a new investment position that is expected to enhance its competitiveness in the chemical market.
- Significant Stake: Following this transaction, Methanex represents 2.74% of Hartree Partners' reportable AUM, indicating its importance in Hartree's investment portfolio, which may influence future investment decisions.
- Strong Performance Growth: Methanex's first-quarter adjusted EBITDA rose from $186 million to $220 million, reflecting robust performance in the global methanol market, with future price expectations indicating further increases, enhancing investment appeal.
- Optimistic Market Outlook: With rising global methanol prices, Methanex's production and supply chain integration capabilities are poised to capture greater market share, and Hartree's investment signals an optimistic outlook on future supply-demand dynamics.
- Liquidation Trade: PCJ Investment Counsel disclosed in an SEC filing dated May 11, 2026, that it sold all 208,630 shares of Methanex, with an estimated transaction value of $10.50 million, reducing its stake from 2.0% to 0%.
- Asset Change: This transaction resulted in a 2.98% decrease in reportable assets under management for PCJ, with Methanex's position value dropping by $8.28 million from the previous quarter, indicating a waning confidence in the stock.
- Market Reaction: As a leading global methanol producer, Methanex's stock has surged over the past year; however, analysts express concerns about its valuation and short-term profitability challenges, particularly with the impending expiration of the Titan plant contract in Trinidad.
- Investment Advice: Despite the rising stock price, Methanex reported a net loss of $44.85 million over the past 12 months, and the Motley Fool analyst team did not include it in their current list of top investment stocks, suggesting investors should carefully evaluate its long-term investment potential.
- Complete Liquidation: PCJ Investment Counsel disclosed in a May 11, 2026 SEC filing that it has liquidated its entire Methanex holdings by selling 208,630 shares for an estimated $10.50 million, indicating a cautious outlook on the stock's future performance.
- Declining Position Value: The value of Methanex's position dropped by $8.28 million from the previous quarter, reflecting investor concerns about the company's profitability, particularly with uncertainties surrounding the expiration of the Titan plant contract in September 2026.
- Stock Performance: As of May 11, 2026, Methanex shares were priced at $63.35, up 95.28% over the past year, yet analysts suggest the company may be overvalued and face challenges to its profitability in the short term.
- Industry Volatility Impact: The energy sector has recently experienced volatility due to geopolitical factors affecting fuel supply and pricing; despite the rising stock price, Methanex reported a net loss of $44.85 million over the trailing 12 months, highlighting the complexities of the market environment.











