Floor & Decor to Announce Q4 Earnings Amid Market Challenges
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 4 hours ago
0mins
Should l Buy FND?
Source: seekingalpha
Floor & Decor Holdings Inc. has seen its stock price drop by 5.00%, hitting a 5-day low, as the company prepares to announce its Q4 earnings on February 19.
The upcoming earnings report is expected to reveal a consensus EPS estimate of $0.34, which reflects a significant year-over-year decline of 22.7%. Additionally, revenue is projected to reach $1.13 billion, marking a 2.7% increase year-over-year. The company has a history of beating EPS estimates 88% of the time, but only surpassing revenue estimates 38% of the time, indicating potential challenges ahead. Recent revisions in EPS and revenue estimates show a mixed outlook, which may impact investor confidence amid the current macroeconomic challenges.
Investors are closely watching the upcoming earnings report, as it could significantly influence Floor & Decor's market performance and investor sentiment in the face of broader market weakness.
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Analyst Views on FND
Wall Street analysts forecast FND stock price to rise
14 Analyst Rating
6 Buy
8 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 69.950
Low
65.00
Averages
77.45
High
90.00
Current: 69.950
Low
65.00
Averages
77.45
High
90.00
About FND
Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc. is a multichannel specialty retailer of hard surface flooring and related accessories and seller of commercial surfaces. The Company operates about 251 warehouse-format stores and five design studios across 38 states. The Company offers a broad in-stock assortment of laminate and vinyl, tile, wood, and natural stone flooring and installation materials and decorative accessories, as well as adjacent categories. Its stores appeal to a variety of customers, including professional installers and commercial businesses (Pro) and homeowners, which are comprised of do-it-yourself customers (DIY) and buy-it-yourself customers, who buy its products for professional installation (BIY). The Company’s warehouse-format stores, which average approximately 77,000 square feet. In addition to its stores, its Website, FloorandDecor.com, showcases its products, offers informational training and design ideas, and provides product availability for in-store pickup or delivery.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
Floor & Decor Holdings Reports Q4 2025 Earnings Insights
- Earnings Highlights: Floor & Decor reported diluted earnings per share of $0.36 for Q4 2025, aligning with the midpoint of guidance, while full-year EPS reached $1.92; despite a 2% sales increase in Q4, comparable store sales fell by 4.8%, indicating competitive market pressures.
- Market Share Expansion: The company achieved $4.684 billion in sales for FY 2025, a 5.1% increase, and opened 20 new stores, although comparable store sales declined by 1.8%, management emphasized enhancing market competitiveness through supply chain optimization and improved gross margins.
- Future Outlook: The CFO projected 2026 sales between $4.880 billion and $5.030 billion, representing a 4% to 7% increase, with plans to open 20 new warehouse format stores in 2026, reflecting the company's confidence in future growth.
- Operational Efficiency Gains: Management noted that while SG&A expenses rose due to new store openings, the Q4 gross margin remained flat at 43.5%, and net cash provided by operating activities was $381.8 million, demonstrating efforts in cost control and operational efficiency.
See More
Floor & Decor Q4 Earnings Highlights
- Earnings Performance: Floor & Decor reported a Q4 GAAP EPS of $0.36, beating estimates by $0.01, indicating stable profitability despite a modest revenue growth of 2.7% year-over-year.
- Annual Sales Growth: For the fiscal year ending December 25, 2025, net sales reached $4.684 billion, a 5.1% increase, reflecting the company's sustained growth potential in the market, even as comparable store sales fell by 1.8%.
- Operating Income Increase: Operating income stood at $270.1 million, up 5.4% from fiscal 2024, with an operating margin flat at 5.8%, showcasing the company's success in cost control and efficiency improvements.
- Adjusted EBITDA Growth: Adjusted EBITDA reached $538.2 million, a 5.0% increase, demonstrating robust performance in non-GAAP financial metrics, further bolstering investor confidence in the company's long-term growth prospects.
See More
Floor & Decor to Announce Q4 Earnings on February 19
- Earnings Announcement Schedule: Floor & Decor Holdings is set to release its Q4 earnings on February 19 after market close, with consensus EPS estimate at $0.34, reflecting a 22.7% year-over-year decline, while revenue is expected to reach $1.13 billion, a 2.7% increase year-over-year, which will significantly impact the company's market performance.
- Historical Performance Review: Over the past two years, FND has beaten EPS estimates 88% of the time, indicating strong profitability, although it has only surpassed revenue estimates 38% of the time, suggesting challenges in revenue growth.
- Expectation Revision Dynamics: In the last three months, EPS estimates have seen 2 upward revisions and 5 downward revisions, while revenue estimates experienced 2 upward and 2 downward revisions, reflecting market divergence regarding the company's future performance, which may affect investor confidence.
- Market Environment Analysis: Despite facing macroeconomic challenges, Floor & Decor Holdings is still viewed as an attractive investment opportunity, particularly in the current economic backdrop, prompting investors to closely monitor market reactions following the earnings release.
See More
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- Solar Industry Outlook: Experts predict the solar industry will outperform the market in 2026, with Tyler Crowe asserting that solar is the short-term solution for AI power needs, as its deployment speed surpasses that of natural gas turbines, potentially leading to significant growth in the coming years.
- Housing Market Recovery: Matt Frankel forecasts a 30% rise in average homebuilder stocks in 2026, driven by increased demand for new homes and anticipated rate cuts, which could attract more buyers and stimulate industry recovery.
- Battery Storage Demand: As solar energy becomes more prevalent, battery storage systems will be crucial; Tyler Crowe noted that in 2024, battery systems were the fourth largest source of added grid capacity, highlighting their importance in mitigating solar energy's intermittency.
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Alphabet's Gemini to Surpass ChatGPT Market Share in 2026
- Market Share Competition: In 2026, Alphabet's Gemini is expected to achieve market share parity with OpenAI's ChatGPT, which has seen a 19-point drop to 68% over the past year, while Gemini has gained 13 points to reach 18%.
- Technological Advantages: Gemini is not just a chatbot; it also supports technologies like video creation, and with Alphabet's distribution and cloud infrastructure, it is poised to accelerate market penetration and enhance its competitive edge in generative AI.
- Industry Predictions: Analysts believe that while Gemini's market share is growing rapidly, ChatGPT will still face pressure from smaller competitors, indicating potential shifts in the overall market landscape in the coming years.
- Investment Opportunities: As AI technology evolves quickly, investors are encouraged to focus on the potential returns of Gemini and its related technologies, especially given Alphabet's ability to sustain its generative AI business.
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- Active Options Trading: Occidental Petroleum Corp (OXY) saw options trading volume of 57,471 contracts today, representing approximately 5.7 million shares, which is about 51.4% of its average daily trading volume over the past month, indicating heightened market interest in its stock.
- High Volume Analysis: The $43 strike call option expiring on January 23, 2026, has seen the highest volume among OXY options, with 8,458 contracts traded today, equating to approximately 845,800 shares, suggesting increased investor expectations for future price appreciation.
- Floor & Decor Options Activity: Floor & Decor Holdings Inc (FND) has recorded an options trading volume of 12,650 contracts today, representing around 1.3 million shares, which constitutes 50% of its average daily trading volume over the past month, reflecting significant market activity for the stock.
- FND High Volume Situation: The $60 strike put option expiring on February 20, 2026, has seen a trading volume of 12,531 contracts today, approximately 1.3 million shares, indicating market concerns regarding potential downside risks for the stock.
See More
Floor & Decor Holdings Reports Q4 2025 Earnings Insights
- Earnings Highlights: Floor & Decor reported diluted earnings per share of $0.36 for Q4 2025, aligning with the midpoint of guidance, while full-year EPS reached $1.92; despite a 2% sales increase in Q4, comparable store sales fell by 4.8%, indicating competitive market pressures.
- Market Share Expansion: The company achieved $4.684 billion in sales for FY 2025, a 5.1% increase, and opened 20 new stores, although comparable store sales declined by 1.8%, management emphasized enhancing market competitiveness through supply chain optimization and improved gross margins.
- Future Outlook: The CFO projected 2026 sales between $4.880 billion and $5.030 billion, representing a 4% to 7% increase, with plans to open 20 new warehouse format stores in 2026, reflecting the company's confidence in future growth.
- Operational Efficiency Gains: Management noted that while SG&A expenses rose due to new store openings, the Q4 gross margin remained flat at 43.5%, and net cash provided by operating activities was $381.8 million, demonstrating efforts in cost control and operational efficiency.
See More
Floor & Decor Q4 Earnings Highlights
- Earnings Performance: Floor & Decor reported a Q4 GAAP EPS of $0.36, beating estimates by $0.01, indicating stable profitability despite a modest revenue growth of 2.7% year-over-year.
- Annual Sales Growth: For the fiscal year ending December 25, 2025, net sales reached $4.684 billion, a 5.1% increase, reflecting the company's sustained growth potential in the market, even as comparable store sales fell by 1.8%.
- Operating Income Increase: Operating income stood at $270.1 million, up 5.4% from fiscal 2024, with an operating margin flat at 5.8%, showcasing the company's success in cost control and efficiency improvements.
- Adjusted EBITDA Growth: Adjusted EBITDA reached $538.2 million, a 5.0% increase, demonstrating robust performance in non-GAAP financial metrics, further bolstering investor confidence in the company's long-term growth prospects.
See More
Floor & Decor to Announce Q4 Earnings on February 19
- Earnings Announcement Schedule: Floor & Decor Holdings is set to release its Q4 earnings on February 19 after market close, with consensus EPS estimate at $0.34, reflecting a 22.7% year-over-year decline, while revenue is expected to reach $1.13 billion, a 2.7% increase year-over-year, which will significantly impact the company's market performance.
- Historical Performance Review: Over the past two years, FND has beaten EPS estimates 88% of the time, indicating strong profitability, although it has only surpassed revenue estimates 38% of the time, suggesting challenges in revenue growth.
- Expectation Revision Dynamics: In the last three months, EPS estimates have seen 2 upward revisions and 5 downward revisions, while revenue estimates experienced 2 upward and 2 downward revisions, reflecting market divergence regarding the company's future performance, which may affect investor confidence.
- Market Environment Analysis: Despite facing macroeconomic challenges, Floor & Decor Holdings is still viewed as an attractive investment opportunity, particularly in the current economic backdrop, prompting investors to closely monitor market reactions following the earnings release.
See More
2026 AI Market Predictions: Alphabet's Gemini to Surpass ChatGPT
- AI Market Competition: In 2026, Alphabet's Gemini is expected to achieve market share parity with OpenAI's ChatGPT, which saw a 19-point drop to 68% market share over the past year, while Gemini gained 13 points to reach 18%, indicating strong momentum in generative AI.
- Solar Industry Outlook: Experts predict the solar industry will outperform the market in 2026, with Tyler Crowe asserting that solar is the short-term solution for AI power needs, as its deployment speed surpasses that of natural gas turbines, potentially leading to significant growth in the coming years.
- Housing Market Recovery: Matt Frankel forecasts a 30% rise in average homebuilder stocks in 2026, driven by increased demand for new homes and anticipated rate cuts, which could attract more buyers and stimulate industry recovery.
- Battery Storage Demand: As solar energy becomes more prevalent, battery storage systems will be crucial; Tyler Crowe noted that in 2024, battery systems were the fourth largest source of added grid capacity, highlighting their importance in mitigating solar energy's intermittency.
See More
Alphabet's Gemini to Surpass ChatGPT Market Share in 2026
- Market Share Competition: In 2026, Alphabet's Gemini is expected to achieve market share parity with OpenAI's ChatGPT, which has seen a 19-point drop to 68% over the past year, while Gemini has gained 13 points to reach 18%.
- Technological Advantages: Gemini is not just a chatbot; it also supports technologies like video creation, and with Alphabet's distribution and cloud infrastructure, it is poised to accelerate market penetration and enhance its competitive edge in generative AI.
- Industry Predictions: Analysts believe that while Gemini's market share is growing rapidly, ChatGPT will still face pressure from smaller competitors, indicating potential shifts in the overall market landscape in the coming years.
- Investment Opportunities: As AI technology evolves quickly, investors are encouraged to focus on the potential returns of Gemini and its related technologies, especially given Alphabet's ability to sustain its generative AI business.
See More
Occidental Petroleum OXY Options Trading Volume Hits 57,471 Contracts
- Active Options Trading: Occidental Petroleum Corp (OXY) saw options trading volume of 57,471 contracts today, representing approximately 5.7 million shares, which is about 51.4% of its average daily trading volume over the past month, indicating heightened market interest in its stock.
- High Volume Analysis: The $43 strike call option expiring on January 23, 2026, has seen the highest volume among OXY options, with 8,458 contracts traded today, equating to approximately 845,800 shares, suggesting increased investor expectations for future price appreciation.
- Floor & Decor Options Activity: Floor & Decor Holdings Inc (FND) has recorded an options trading volume of 12,650 contracts today, representing around 1.3 million shares, which constitutes 50% of its average daily trading volume over the past month, reflecting significant market activity for the stock.
- FND High Volume Situation: The $60 strike put option expiring on February 20, 2026, has seen a trading volume of 12,531 contracts today, approximately 1.3 million shares, indicating market concerns regarding potential downside risks for the stock.
See More
