Figma's IPO Lessons Highlighted Amid SpaceX Buzz
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: May 26 2026
0mins
Source: Fool
Figma Inc's stock has hit a 20-day low, reflecting a decline of 5.02% in regular trading.
The recent discussions surrounding SpaceX's IPO have drawn parallels to Figma's past performance, where initial excitement led to significant price increases followed by prolonged declines. Analysts emphasize the importance of a controlled market debut to avoid similar pitfalls, suggesting that the current market sentiment may be influenced by these historical lessons.
Investors are advised to exercise caution and consider the implications of past IPOs like Figma, as the market navigates through potential volatility and seeks stability.
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Analyst Views on FIG
Wall Street analysts forecast FIG stock price to rise
9 Analyst Rating
3 Buy
6 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 16.840
Low
38.00
Averages
53.13
High
70.00
Current: 16.840
Low
38.00
Averages
53.13
High
70.00
About FIG
Figma, Inc. designs and develops platforms for people who build digital products together. The Company helps cross-functional teams align and build software more efficiently and ensure the advanced access and controls that large organizations require. Its products include Figma Design, Dev Mode, Figma Sites, Figma Make, Figma Draw, Figma Buzz, FigJam and Figma Slides. Figma Sites is a product that lets clients design a Website and directly publish it to the Web, with a custom URL. Figma Make is an AI-powered tool that turns a prompt into a fully functional prototype. Figma Buzz is a product for easily creating marketing assets (like social media assets and digital ads) at a scale that is consistent with brand or visual identity. Figma Draw provides a space for finer vector editing required when drawing detailed iconography and product illustrations. Figma Design combines powerful features with a collaborative workspace to help teams design and build better products together.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- AI Feature Updates: Figma unveiled new capabilities at its annual event, including a new code layer, motion and shader support, and AI-driven custom plug-in creation, aimed at merging design and coding workflows, although the financial impact of these products remains uncertain.
- Price Target Downgrade: RBC Capital lowered Figma's price target from $28 to $22, indicating a 21% downside risk, which contributed to a 10% drop in FIG's stock price on Thursday, hitting a record low.
- Divergent Analyst Ratings: According to Koyfin, out of 13 analysts, 4 rated the stock as 'buy' and 9 as 'hold', reflecting mixed market sentiment regarding Figma's future performance, despite an average 12-month price target of $36.11, suggesting a potential return of 114%.
- Retail Sentiment Bullish: Despite the stock's decline, retail sentiment on Figma remains 'bullish', with message volumes surging 166% in the past session and 338% over the past month, indicating strong investor interest in the company's AI tools.
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- Stock Performance Decline: Figma's stock has declined nearly 50% year-to-date, contrasting sharply with the 19% drop in the software-heavy iShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector ETF (IGV), indicating a significant lack of market confidence in Figma's prospects.
- Analyst Rating Changes: Citi initiated coverage on Figma with a 'Buy' rating and a $36 price target, suggesting an 80% upside; however, the majority of analysts still recommend 'Hold', reflecting a divergence in market sentiment regarding its future performance.
- AI Tool Rollout: Figma has rolled out its Design Agent beta to all Pro, Org, and Enterprise users, aiming to accelerate design work through natural language prompts, despite ongoing market concerns that AI could diminish demand for certain software categories.
- Retail Sentiment Shift: Despite Figma's first-quarter revenue growing 46% to $333.4 million, exceeding expectations, retail investor sentiment has shifted from 'bullish' to 'bearish', indicating concerns about future performance, particularly as small retail traders show signs of short build-up.
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- IPO First Day Performance: SpaceX went public on June 12, closing its first day with a 19.2% gain, peaking at $225.64, indicating strong market demand and investor enthusiasm; however, the subsequent decline in stock price reflects concerns about its long-term performance.
- Market Reaction Analysis: Following its peak, SpaceX's stock price has dropped over 25%, suggesting that market expectations for its future growth may be overly optimistic, particularly given the typical post-IPO selling pressure and the impending expiration of lock-up periods.
- Historical Data Comparison: Research from the University of Florida indicates that IPO stocks underperform the market index by an average of 21% over three years, and as a company with over $500 million in annual revenue, SpaceX may face similar trends despite its strong initial performance.
- Future Outlook: With the second-quarter earnings report approaching, market attention on SpaceX will intensify, and investors should be wary of insider selling potentially leading to further declines, especially given its current market cap exceeding $2 trillion, limiting future upside potential.
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