Expedia's stock drops amid cautious outlook despite strong earnings
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 3 days ago
0mins
Should l Buy EXPE?
Source: NASDAQ.COM
Expedia Group Inc's stock fell by 4.12% and hit a 20-day low amid broader market weakness, with the Nasdaq-100 down 1.17% and the S&P 500 down 0.53%.
The decline follows a recent earnings report where Expedia exceeded revenue expectations with an 11% year-over-year increase to $3.55 billion. However, management expressed caution regarding future profit margin growth, projecting challenges through 2026, which has impacted investor sentiment. Despite raising its dividend by 20% and repurchasing shares, the outlook remains muted, leading to a decline in stock price.
This cautious outlook, combined with broader market trends, has led to a significant drop in Expedia's stock price, reflecting investor concerns about the company's ability to maintain growth in a challenging macroeconomic environment.
Trade with 70% Backtested Accuracy
Stop guessing "Should I Buy EXPE?" and start using high-conviction signals backed by rigorous historical data.
Sign up today to access powerful investing tools and make smarter, data-driven decisions.
Analyst Views on EXPE
Wall Street analysts forecast EXPE stock price to rise
28 Analyst Rating
9 Buy
19 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 203.790
Low
220.00
Averages
284.79
High
360.00
Current: 203.790
Low
220.00
Averages
284.79
High
360.00
About EXPE
Expedia Group, Inc. is an online travel company. The Company’s segments include B2C, B2B, and trivago. The B2C segment provides a full range of travel and advertising services to its worldwide customers through a variety of consumer brands including: Expedia.com, Hotels.com, Vrbo, Orbitz, Travelocity, Wotif Group, ebookers, CheapTickets, Hotwire.com and CarRentals.com. The B2B segment fuels a wide range of travel and non-travel companies, including airlines, offline travel agents, online retailers, corporate travel management and financial institutions, who leverage travel technology and tap into its diverse supply to augment their offerings and market Expedia Group rates and availabilities to their travelers. Its trivago segment generates advertising revenue primarily from sending referrals to online travel companies and travel service providers from its hotel metasearch Websites. The trivago is its majority-owned hotel metasearch company, based in Dusseldorf, Germany.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
Surge in Travel Demand for China's Lunar New Year
- Travel Predictions: Preliminary figures indicate that Beijing is expected to see 110 million trips during the Lunar New Year, with a staggering 9.5 billion trips nationwide, reflecting a strong desire for new experiences among China's 1.4 billion population and signaling economic recovery.
- Tourism Resurgence: Xishuangbanna reported over 4 million visits and tourism revenue of 5.04 billion yuan (approximately $730 million) during the holiday, demonstrating the resilience of local tourism markets in attracting visitors despite economic challenges.
- Theme Park Launch: iQiyi opened its first theme park in Yangzhou, featuring virtual reality and live performances to meet the rising demand for offline entertainment, positioning it as a new growth driver for the company amid fierce competition in the streaming market.
- Luxury Market Trends: Despite retail sales in China growing only 0.9% in December, Louis Vuitton opened two new stores in the past year, emphasizing the use of social media and celebrity endorsements to attract consumers, showcasing the resilience of luxury brands during the festive shopping season.
See More
Norwegian and TripAdvisor Gain New Advocates: The Appeal of Travel Stocks at Present.
- Postpandemic Travel Stocks: Many travel stocks have thrived in the postpandemic period, indicating a strong recovery in the industry.
- Activist Interest: Companies that have not performed well are attracting attention from activists, highlighting disparities in the market.
See More
Tripadvisor Activist Investor Starboard Advocates for Major Overhaul After Acquiring 9% Stake
- Activist Investor Involvement: Starboard Value, an activist investor, is advocating for significant changes to Tripadvisor's board of directors.
- Potential Impact: The proposed overhaul could lead to a major shift in the company's governance and strategic direction.
See More
U.S. Stocks Close Higher as Software Stocks Recover
- Market Recovery: The S&P 500 index rose by 0.05%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average by 0.10%, and the Nasdaq 100 by 0.18% on Friday, indicating a recovery after early losses, reflecting cautious optimism among investors regarding future economic prospects.
- Inflation Data Impact: The U.S. January Consumer Price Index rose by 2.4% year-over-year, below the expected 2.5%, marking the smallest increase in seven months, which may prompt the Fed to continue cutting rates, thus providing support for the stock market and alleviating concerns over rate hikes.
- Strong Software Stock Performance: Software stocks like Crowdstrike Holdings and ServiceNow rose over 4% and 3%, respectively, lifting the broader market and indicating a rebound in investor confidence in tech stocks, particularly amid rapid advancements in AI technology.
- Metal Stocks Retreat: Reports of the Trump administration's plans to narrow tariffs on steel and aluminum products led to declines in metal companies, with Century Aluminum falling over 7%, reflecting the negative impact of policy changes on the sector.
See More
US Stocks Edge Up, Led by Chipmakers' Gains
- Chipmaker Rebound: Applied Materials (AMAT) reported Q1 adjusted EPS of $2.38, surpassing the consensus of $2.21, leading to a 10% stock price increase that helped lift the broader market, indicating strong recovery potential in tech stocks.
- Inflation Data Impact: The US January CPI rose 2.4% year-over-year, below the expected 2.5%, which may prompt the Fed to continue cutting rates, with the 10-year T-note yield falling to 4.05%, providing support for the market.
- Earnings Performance: Over two-thirds of S&P 500 companies have reported earnings, with 76% exceeding expectations, and Q4 earnings growth is projected at 8.4%, demonstrating corporate resilience and restoring market confidence.
- Market Sentiment Fluctuations: Despite the overall market rise, concerns over AI persist, putting pressure on certain stocks, particularly in tech and logistics, reflecting investor caution regarding future economic prospects.
See More
Significant Stock Movements for Moderna and Others
- Moderna's Positive Outlook: Moderna anticipates a revenue growth of up to 10% by 2025, surpassing the FactSet consensus of 5.9%, despite reporting a narrower fourth-quarter loss of $2.11 per share compared to the expected $2.54, indicating resilience in its market position.
- Maplebear's Strong Performance: Maplebear's Instacart forecasts gross transaction value between $10.13 billion and $10.28 billion for the current quarter, exceeding the $9.97 billion StreetAccount estimate, while adjusted EBITDA is expected to be between $280 million and $290 million, reflecting improved profitability.
- Wendy's Earnings Beat: Wendy's reported adjusted earnings of 16 cents per share and revenue of $543 million for the fourth quarter, both exceeding FactSet expectations, demonstrating its sustained competitiveness in the fast-food market.
- Rivian's Upgraded Delivery Forecast: Rivian projects vehicle deliveries of 62,000 to 67,000 units in 2026, representing a 47% to 59% increase from 2025, and despite a fourth-quarter adjusted loss of 54 cents per share, revenue of $1.29 billion surpassed estimates, indicating strong market demand.
See More
Surge in Travel Demand for China's Lunar New Year
- Travel Predictions: Preliminary figures indicate that Beijing is expected to see 110 million trips during the Lunar New Year, with a staggering 9.5 billion trips nationwide, reflecting a strong desire for new experiences among China's 1.4 billion population and signaling economic recovery.
- Tourism Resurgence: Xishuangbanna reported over 4 million visits and tourism revenue of 5.04 billion yuan (approximately $730 million) during the holiday, demonstrating the resilience of local tourism markets in attracting visitors despite economic challenges.
- Theme Park Launch: iQiyi opened its first theme park in Yangzhou, featuring virtual reality and live performances to meet the rising demand for offline entertainment, positioning it as a new growth driver for the company amid fierce competition in the streaming market.
- Luxury Market Trends: Despite retail sales in China growing only 0.9% in December, Louis Vuitton opened two new stores in the past year, emphasizing the use of social media and celebrity endorsements to attract consumers, showcasing the resilience of luxury brands during the festive shopping season.
See More
Norwegian and TripAdvisor Gain New Advocates: The Appeal of Travel Stocks at Present.
- Postpandemic Travel Stocks: Many travel stocks have thrived in the postpandemic period, indicating a strong recovery in the industry.
- Activist Interest: Companies that have not performed well are attracting attention from activists, highlighting disparities in the market.
See More
Tripadvisor Activist Investor Starboard Advocates for Major Overhaul After Acquiring 9% Stake
- Activist Investor Involvement: Starboard Value, an activist investor, is advocating for significant changes to Tripadvisor's board of directors.
- Potential Impact: The proposed overhaul could lead to a major shift in the company's governance and strategic direction.
See More
U.S. Stocks Close Higher as Software Stocks Recover
- Market Recovery: The S&P 500 index rose by 0.05%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average by 0.10%, and the Nasdaq 100 by 0.18% on Friday, indicating a recovery after early losses, reflecting cautious optimism among investors regarding future economic prospects.
- Inflation Data Impact: The U.S. January Consumer Price Index rose by 2.4% year-over-year, below the expected 2.5%, marking the smallest increase in seven months, which may prompt the Fed to continue cutting rates, thus providing support for the stock market and alleviating concerns over rate hikes.
- Strong Software Stock Performance: Software stocks like Crowdstrike Holdings and ServiceNow rose over 4% and 3%, respectively, lifting the broader market and indicating a rebound in investor confidence in tech stocks, particularly amid rapid advancements in AI technology.
- Metal Stocks Retreat: Reports of the Trump administration's plans to narrow tariffs on steel and aluminum products led to declines in metal companies, with Century Aluminum falling over 7%, reflecting the negative impact of policy changes on the sector.
See More
US Stocks Edge Up, Led by Chipmakers' Gains
- Chipmaker Rebound: Applied Materials (AMAT) reported Q1 adjusted EPS of $2.38, surpassing the consensus of $2.21, leading to a 10% stock price increase that helped lift the broader market, indicating strong recovery potential in tech stocks.
- Inflation Data Impact: The US January CPI rose 2.4% year-over-year, below the expected 2.5%, which may prompt the Fed to continue cutting rates, with the 10-year T-note yield falling to 4.05%, providing support for the market.
- Earnings Performance: Over two-thirds of S&P 500 companies have reported earnings, with 76% exceeding expectations, and Q4 earnings growth is projected at 8.4%, demonstrating corporate resilience and restoring market confidence.
- Market Sentiment Fluctuations: Despite the overall market rise, concerns over AI persist, putting pressure on certain stocks, particularly in tech and logistics, reflecting investor caution regarding future economic prospects.
See More
Significant Stock Movements for Moderna and Others
- Moderna's Positive Outlook: Moderna anticipates a revenue growth of up to 10% by 2025, surpassing the FactSet consensus of 5.9%, despite reporting a narrower fourth-quarter loss of $2.11 per share compared to the expected $2.54, indicating resilience in its market position.
- Maplebear's Strong Performance: Maplebear's Instacart forecasts gross transaction value between $10.13 billion and $10.28 billion for the current quarter, exceeding the $9.97 billion StreetAccount estimate, while adjusted EBITDA is expected to be between $280 million and $290 million, reflecting improved profitability.
- Wendy's Earnings Beat: Wendy's reported adjusted earnings of 16 cents per share and revenue of $543 million for the fourth quarter, both exceeding FactSet expectations, demonstrating its sustained competitiveness in the fast-food market.
- Rivian's Upgraded Delivery Forecast: Rivian projects vehicle deliveries of 62,000 to 67,000 units in 2026, representing a 47% to 59% increase from 2025, and despite a fourth-quarter adjusted loss of 54 cents per share, revenue of $1.29 billion surpassed estimates, indicating strong market demand.
See More
