Expand Energy Reports Strong Q4 Earnings Amid Weak Natural Gas Prices
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Jul 11 2025
0mins
Should l Buy EXE?
Source: NASDAQ.COM
Expand Energy Corp's stock fell 3.01% and hit a 20-day low amid broader market gains, with the Nasdaq-100 up 1.11% and the S&P 500 up 0.71%.
The company reported a non-GAAP EPS of $2.00 for Q4, exceeding expectations by $0.13, and achieved revenues of $3.27 billion, reflecting a 63.5% year-over-year increase. This strong performance, despite weak natural gas prices, showcases Expand Energy's resilience and profitability, likely boosting investor confidence. Analysts express optimism about the company's future growth potential, especially with projected free cash flow of $2 billion by 2026.
The positive earnings report highlights Expand Energy's competitive advantage in the energy sector, but the stock's decline suggests a sector rotation as investors shift focus amid broader market strength.
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Analyst Views on EXE
Wall Street analysts forecast EXE stock price to rise
21 Analyst Rating
19 Buy
2 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 99.520
Low
106.00
Averages
132.89
High
150.00
Current: 99.520
Low
106.00
Averages
132.89
High
150.00
About EXE
Expand Energy Corporation is an independent natural gas producer in the United States. The Company is focused on developing a supply of natural gas, oil and natural gas liquids (LNG) to expand energy access for all. Its operations are located in Louisiana, in the Haynesville and Bossier Shales (Haynesville), in Pennsylvania in the Marcellus Shale (Northeast Appalachia) and in West Virginia and Ohio in the Marcellus and Utica Shales (Southwest Appalachia) and include interests in approximately 8,000 gross natural gas and oil wells. The Company's operations include drilling, completion, and production. It also operates drilling rigs and provides certain oilfield products and services, principally serving the Company’s E&P operations through vertical integration. Haynesville is rich in natural gas with proximity to LNG export infrastructure. The Company's operations in Ohio and West Virginia target the Marcellus and Utica shales and provide oil and natural gas liquids.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
Expand Energy Q4 Earnings Exceed Expectations
- Strong Earnings Report: Expand Energy reported a Q4 non-GAAP EPS of $2.00, beating estimates by $0.13, which highlights the company's robust profitability and competitive advantage in the market.
- Significant Revenue Growth: The company achieved revenues of $3.27 billion in Q4, representing a 63.5% year-over-year increase, primarily driven by rising natural gas demand, further solidifying its position in the energy sector.
- Increased Production Capacity: With a daily production of approximately 7.40 Bcfe, of which 92% is natural gas, the company saw a 15% increase compared to Q4 2024, indicating improved production efficiency and resource allocation.
- Future Investment Plans: Expand Energy plans to operate between 11 and 12 rigs in 2026, investing approximately $2.85 billion, with an estimated daily production of 7.5 Bcfe, which strategically positions the company for future growth.
See More
Massive Natural Gas Facility Set for Ohio: Potential Stock Gains Ahead.
- U.S.-Japan Deal: A new agreement between the U.S. and Japan aims to finance the construction of the largest power plant in America.
- Benefits for Companies: The deal is expected to benefit companies involved in drilling and transporting natural gas in the region, as well as Japanese firms.
See More
Expand Energy Corporation Q4 2025 Earnings Call Highlights
- Debt Reduction Commitment Fulfilled: Expand Energy successfully reduced debt following its merger with Southwestern, demonstrating a commitment to financial management that is expected to enhance investor confidence and increase shareholder returns.
- Significant Hedging Gains: The company reported $200 million in gains from its hedging program, a successful risk management strategy that not only alleviates pressures from volatile gas prices but also lays a foundation for future financial stability.
- Market Diversification Progress: The marketing business now accounts for nearly 50% of gas sales, a significant improvement from nearly all in-basin sales a year ago, indicating positive strides in market expansion and diversification efforts.
- Strategic Shift and Leadership Changes: The company announced a move to Houston to adapt to fundamental changes in the natural gas business while maintaining operational team stability, showcasing its agility in responding to new market conditions.
See More
Expand Energy to Host Q4 2025 Earnings Call
- Earnings Call Scheduled: Expand Energy Corporation will host a conference call on February 18, 2026, at 9:00 AM ET to discuss its Q4 2025 financial results, aiming to provide investors with the latest financial information and company developments.
- Live Webcast Access: Investors can participate in the live webcast by logging onto https://investors.expandenergy.com/events-presentations, ensuring that all stakeholders can access detailed information about the company's financial status and future outlook in real-time.
- Enhanced Transparency: This earnings call not only provides investors with a direct opportunity to understand the company's performance but also reflects Expand Energy's commitment to transparency and shareholder communication, aiming to bolster market confidence.
- Strategic Communication Platform: By holding regular earnings calls, Expand Energy seeks to establish ongoing dialogue with investors, fostering relationships between the company and its shareholders, thereby supporting future capital market activities and business growth.
See More
Expand Energy Declares Quarterly Dividend of $0.575 per Share
- Quarterly Dividend Declaration: Expand Energy has declared a quarterly dividend of $0.575 per share, consistent with previous distributions, indicating the company's stable cash flow and profitability, which is likely to attract more investor interest.
- Dividend Yield: The forward yield of 2.24% reflects the company's appeal in the current market environment, potentially boosting shareholder confidence and stabilizing the stock price.
- Financial Performance Beats Expectations: Expand Energy reported a non-GAAP EPS of $2.00, exceeding expectations by $0.13, with revenue reaching $3.27 billion, demonstrating the company's ability to maintain strong financial performance despite weaker natural gas prices.
- Future Cash Flow Projections: The company projects free cash flow of $2 billion by 2026, showcasing strong market positioning and growth potential, even in the face of declining natural gas prices.
See More
Expand Energy Projects $2 Billion Free Cash Flow for 2026 Amid Weak Natural Gas Prices
- Strong Financial Performance: Expand Energy reported a non-GAAP EPS of $2.00, beating estimates by $0.13, which demonstrates the company's resilience and profitability in the current market environment, likely boosting investor confidence and driving stock price appreciation.
- Robust Revenue Growth: The company achieved revenues of $3.27 billion, reflecting strong performance in the natural gas market despite price declines, indicating a solid market share and customer base that can withstand market fluctuations.
- Future Cash Flow Projections: The projected free cash flow of $2 billion by 2026 is particularly significant against the backdrop of weak natural gas prices, showcasing the company's strong cash generation capabilities even in adverse conditions.
- Analyst Optimism: Analysts express optimism ahead of the Q4 2025 earnings report, believing that the company's strong financial performance and market positioning will lay a solid foundation for future growth.
See More
Expand Energy Q4 Earnings Exceed Expectations
- Strong Earnings Report: Expand Energy reported a Q4 non-GAAP EPS of $2.00, beating estimates by $0.13, which highlights the company's robust profitability and competitive advantage in the market.
- Significant Revenue Growth: The company achieved revenues of $3.27 billion in Q4, representing a 63.5% year-over-year increase, primarily driven by rising natural gas demand, further solidifying its position in the energy sector.
- Increased Production Capacity: With a daily production of approximately 7.40 Bcfe, of which 92% is natural gas, the company saw a 15% increase compared to Q4 2024, indicating improved production efficiency and resource allocation.
- Future Investment Plans: Expand Energy plans to operate between 11 and 12 rigs in 2026, investing approximately $2.85 billion, with an estimated daily production of 7.5 Bcfe, which strategically positions the company for future growth.
See More
Massive Natural Gas Facility Set for Ohio: Potential Stock Gains Ahead.
- U.S.-Japan Deal: A new agreement between the U.S. and Japan aims to finance the construction of the largest power plant in America.
- Benefits for Companies: The deal is expected to benefit companies involved in drilling and transporting natural gas in the region, as well as Japanese firms.
See More
Expand Energy Corporation Q4 2025 Earnings Call Highlights
- Debt Reduction Commitment Fulfilled: Expand Energy successfully reduced debt following its merger with Southwestern, demonstrating a commitment to financial management that is expected to enhance investor confidence and increase shareholder returns.
- Significant Hedging Gains: The company reported $200 million in gains from its hedging program, a successful risk management strategy that not only alleviates pressures from volatile gas prices but also lays a foundation for future financial stability.
- Market Diversification Progress: The marketing business now accounts for nearly 50% of gas sales, a significant improvement from nearly all in-basin sales a year ago, indicating positive strides in market expansion and diversification efforts.
- Strategic Shift and Leadership Changes: The company announced a move to Houston to adapt to fundamental changes in the natural gas business while maintaining operational team stability, showcasing its agility in responding to new market conditions.
See More
Expand Energy to Host Q4 2025 Earnings Call
- Earnings Call Scheduled: Expand Energy Corporation will host a conference call on February 18, 2026, at 9:00 AM ET to discuss its Q4 2025 financial results, aiming to provide investors with the latest financial information and company developments.
- Live Webcast Access: Investors can participate in the live webcast by logging onto https://investors.expandenergy.com/events-presentations, ensuring that all stakeholders can access detailed information about the company's financial status and future outlook in real-time.
- Enhanced Transparency: This earnings call not only provides investors with a direct opportunity to understand the company's performance but also reflects Expand Energy's commitment to transparency and shareholder communication, aiming to bolster market confidence.
- Strategic Communication Platform: By holding regular earnings calls, Expand Energy seeks to establish ongoing dialogue with investors, fostering relationships between the company and its shareholders, thereby supporting future capital market activities and business growth.
See More
Expand Energy Declares Quarterly Dividend of $0.575 per Share
- Quarterly Dividend Declaration: Expand Energy has declared a quarterly dividend of $0.575 per share, consistent with previous distributions, indicating the company's stable cash flow and profitability, which is likely to attract more investor interest.
- Dividend Yield: The forward yield of 2.24% reflects the company's appeal in the current market environment, potentially boosting shareholder confidence and stabilizing the stock price.
- Financial Performance Beats Expectations: Expand Energy reported a non-GAAP EPS of $2.00, exceeding expectations by $0.13, with revenue reaching $3.27 billion, demonstrating the company's ability to maintain strong financial performance despite weaker natural gas prices.
- Future Cash Flow Projections: The company projects free cash flow of $2 billion by 2026, showcasing strong market positioning and growth potential, even in the face of declining natural gas prices.
See More
Expand Energy Projects $2 Billion Free Cash Flow for 2026 Amid Weak Natural Gas Prices
- Strong Financial Performance: Expand Energy reported a non-GAAP EPS of $2.00, beating estimates by $0.13, which demonstrates the company's resilience and profitability in the current market environment, likely boosting investor confidence and driving stock price appreciation.
- Robust Revenue Growth: The company achieved revenues of $3.27 billion, reflecting strong performance in the natural gas market despite price declines, indicating a solid market share and customer base that can withstand market fluctuations.
- Future Cash Flow Projections: The projected free cash flow of $2 billion by 2026 is particularly significant against the backdrop of weak natural gas prices, showcasing the company's strong cash generation capabilities even in adverse conditions.
- Analyst Optimism: Analysts express optimism ahead of the Q4 2025 earnings report, believing that the company's strong financial performance and market positioning will lay a solid foundation for future growth.
See More
