Eldorado Gold Acquires Foran Mining for C$3.8 Billion
Eldorado Gold Corp (EGO) saw a significant decline of 6.26% as it crossed below its 5-day SMA amid broader market weakness, with the Nasdaq-100 down 1.32% and the S&P 500 down 1.14%.
The company has announced an agreement to acquire Foran Mining for approximately C$3.8 billion, which is expected to enhance its market position in the gold and copper sectors. The deal will allow Foran shareholders to receive 0.1128 Eldorado shares and $0.01 in cash per Foran share, resulting in Eldorado shareholders owning about 76% of the combined company. The merger is projected to generate approximately $2.1 billion in EBITDA and $1.5 billion in free cash flow by 2027, supporting future growth initiatives and enhancing shareholder returns.
This acquisition positions Eldorado for significant growth in the gold and copper markets, with two fully financed development projects expected to commence commercial production by mid-2026. The strategic move is anticipated to create a more resilient and diversified asset base, aligning with sustainability commitments.
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- Earnings Beat: Eldorado Gold's Q4 2025 non-GAAP EPS of $0.63 exceeded expectations by $0.05, demonstrating significant profitability amid rising gold prices.
- Significant Revenue Growth: The company reported Q4 revenue of $577.2 million, a 32.5% year-over-year increase, surpassing market expectations by $55.49 million, reflecting strong performance in gold production and sales.
- Cost Control: Production costs for Q4 2025 were $203.0 million, with total costs for the year at $677.6 million, and cash costs per ounce sold at $1,295, all within the tightened guidance range, indicating effective cost management.
- Optimistic Outlook: First production of copper-gold concentrate is expected in early Q3 2026, with commercial production anticipated in Q4 2026, projecting further growth in gold and copper production, which will drive company expansion.
- 2026 Gold Production Outlook: Eldorado anticipates gold production of 490,000 to 590,000 ounces in 2026, representing an approximate 11% increase from 2025, which will enhance the company's cash flow and stabilize production levels.
- Skouries Project Update: The first concentrate production at Skouries has been delayed to early Q3 2026, with commercial production expected in Q4, and while this delay impacts approximately $50 million in construction capital, the project's long-term cash flow potential remains strong.
- Capital Expenditure Plans: In 2026, Eldorado plans to invest $375 million to $405 million in growth capital at operations, primarily for GHG mitigation projects and advancement of Perama Hill, which will support future production growth and cost control.
- Three-Year Outlook: By 2028, gold production is expected to reach 640,000 to 740,000 ounces, a 41% increase from 2025, providing significant free cash flow and driving long-term value creation for the company.
- Earnings Announcement Date: Eldorado Gold (EGO) is set to release its Q4 2023 earnings on February 19 after market close, with a consensus EPS estimate of $0.58, reflecting a 6.5% year-over-year decline, which may impact investor sentiment.
- Revenue Growth Expectations: The company is expected to report revenues of $521.71 million, representing a 19.7% year-over-year increase, indicating strong market performance that could attract more investor interest in its growth potential.
- Historical Performance Review: Over the past two years, Eldorado Gold has beaten EPS estimates 63% of the time and revenue estimates 50% of the time, suggesting stability in profitability that may enhance market confidence in its financial health.
- Estimate Revision Dynamics: In the last three months, EPS estimates have seen one upward and one downward revision, while revenue estimates experienced one upward revision with no downward adjustments, reflecting a cautiously optimistic outlook from analysts regarding the company's future performance.
- Surge in Tungsten Prices: Tungsten prices have tripled since early 2024, with ammonium paratungstate reaching $1,125 to $1,150 per metric tonne in China, significantly impacting the global tungsten supply chain and prompting increased investment in critical minerals by Western nations.
- Accelerated Policy Response: Secretary of State Marco Rubio hosted the inaugural Critical Minerals Ministerial with delegations from over 50 countries, signing eleven bilateral frameworks and committing over $30 billion in strategic mineral financing, highlighting the importance of mineral resources.
- GoldHaven Resources Progress: GoldHaven confirmed anomalous tungsten mineralization at its Magno project, with recent assays showing up to 6,550 ppm tungsten at Vines Lake, validating historical data and expanding the known footprint, indicating potential for multi-metal discoveries in the region.
- Successful Drilling Programs: GoldHaven completed its inaugural diamond drilling at the Copeçal Gold Project in Brazil, discovering potential gold-copper systems, while confirming high-grade copper mineralization at the Three Guardsmen Project with grades up to 15.85%, further solidifying its strategic positioning across multiple projects.
- Surge in Tungsten Prices: Tungsten prices have tripled since early 2024, with ammonium paratungstate reaching $1,125 to $1,150 per metric tonne in China, significantly impacting global tungsten supply chains and prompting increased investment in critical minerals by Western nations.
- Strategic Discoveries: GoldHaven Resources confirmed anomalous tungsten mineralization at its Magno Property, with surface exploration in 2025 revealing tungsten concentrations up to 6,550 ppm, indicating the potential for a multi-metal deposit that could drive future resource development for the company.
- Multi-Metal Potential: The discovery of high-grade silver-lead-zinc mineralization at the Magno project, with silver grades reaching 2,370 grams per tonne, further validates the area's mineral potential, likely attracting more investor interest.
- Drilling Program Progress: GoldHaven completed its inaugural drilling program at the Copeçal Gold Project in Brazil, discovering high-grade copper mineralization with grades up to 15.85%, showcasing the project's significant economic value.









