Credo Technology Raises Q3 Revenue Guidance Amid Market Decline
Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd's stock fell by 5.01% as it crossed below the 5-day SMA, reflecting broader market weakness with the Nasdaq-100 down 1.61% and the S&P 500 down 1.02%.
Despite the decline in stock price, Credo Technology raised its Q3 2026 revenue guidance to between $404 million and $408 million, significantly higher than the previous range of $335 million to $345 million. This increase indicates strong demand and growth potential in the semiconductor market, with analysts predicting year-over-year growth exceeding 200% for FY26, further solidifying the company's market position.
The optimistic revenue guidance reflects Credo's ability to capitalize on the growing demand for its high-performance networking tools, particularly in the data center sector. This positive outlook may attract investor interest despite the current market conditions.
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- Growing Market Demand: Analyst James Schneider from Goldman Sachs highlights a surge in demand for high-speed, short-range connectivity in AI data centers, which is expected to further drive growth for Credo Technology Group, showcasing the company's strong market potential.
- Buy Rating and Price Target: Goldman Sachs initiates coverage on Credo with a buy rating and sets a 12-month price target of $165, indicating a 29% upside from Wednesday's close, reflecting the analyst's confidence in the company's future performance.
- Significant Technological Advantage: Credo's Active Electrical Cables (AECs) technology offers low-cost, high-bandwidth, and highly reliable connectivity solutions, and Schneider believes this technology will remain mainstream for at least the next five years, further solidifying the company's market position.
- Diversification Strategy: Schneider commends Credo's diversification efforts into optical solutions, which he believes will support long-term growth, while also appreciating the company's carefully managed guidance and investor messaging.
- New Portfolio Adjustments: In Q4 2025, Duan Yongping added three new stocks, with CoreWeave Inc being the largest at 299,900 shares valued at $21.48 million, representing 0.12% of his portfolio, indicating a focus on emerging tech companies.
- Significant Increase in NVIDIA: Yongping increased his stake in NVIDIA by 6,639,300 shares, bringing his total to 7,237,100 shares, a remarkable 1,110.62% increase, which not only raised its weight in the portfolio by 7.08% but also reflects confidence in the semiconductor industry's strong outlook.
- Reduction in Apple Holdings: He reduced his Apple shares by 2,470,600, resulting in a 7.09% decrease in holdings and a -4.29% impact on the portfolio, indicating dissatisfaction with the stock's recent performance, which averaged $268.66 during the quarter.
- Portfolio Overview: As of Q4 2025, Yongping's portfolio included 14 stocks, with Apple making up 50.3% and Berkshire Hathaway 20.63%, showcasing a highly concentrated investment strategy in technology and financial services sectors.
- Strong Small-Cap Performance: The Russell 2000 index has achieved an 8% return in 2026, significantly outperforming the S&P 500's 1.4%, indicating robust small-cap performance in the current economic climate and attracting investor interest.
- Diversified Portfolio: The Vanguard Russell 2000 ETF's top ten holdings account for only 5% of its weight, ensuring that its performance is not heavily influenced by a small group of stocks, thus achieving stable returns through broad portfolio contributions.
- Favorable Rate Policies: The Federal Reserve has cut interest rates six times since September 2024, with two more cuts expected in 2026, directly boosting profitability for about 32% of Russell 2000 companies, enhancing their long-term growth potential.
- Attractive Valuation: With a price-to-earnings ratio of 20.4, the Russell 2000 trades at a 19% discount to the S&P 500's 25.2, providing an attractive opportunity for investors and potentially driving continued strong performance in 2026.
- Strong Returns: The Russell 2000 index has surged 8% in 2026 so far, significantly outperforming the S&P 500's 1.4%, indicating robust performance from small-cap companies and attracting investor interest.
- ETF Performance: The Vanguard Russell 2000 ETF (VTWO), which tracks the index, is also expected to benefit from this strong performance, with momentum likely to persist throughout 2026, further boosting investor confidence.
- Sector Distribution: Companies in the Russell 2000 span 11 different sectors, with healthcare comprising 18.8%, showcasing the diversity of its portfolio, especially compared to the S&P 500 where tech dominates at 32.9%.
- Monetary Policy Impact: The Federal Reserve has cut interest rates six times since September 2024, with two more cuts predicted in 2026, directly enhancing profitability for about 32% of Russell 2000 companies and driving future growth.
- Market Investment Trend: Microsoft, Alphabet, Amazon, and Meta are set to invest up to $650 billion in AI in 2023, and while their stocks have dipped slightly, investors should focus on AI infrastructure companies that are expected to benefit significantly from this trend.
- Nvidia Earnings Expectations: Nvidia (NVDA) is anticipated to report quarterly earnings on February 25, with expectations of a substantial revenue increase following last year's record revenue of $57 billion, of which $51.2 billion came from its data center segment, indicating strong market demand.
- TSMC's Market Position: Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSM) is the preferred foundry for top chipmakers, producing over 11,800 products in 2024, with 63% of its shipments in Q4 2025 being 3nm or 5nm chips, showcasing its leadership in efficient chip manufacturing.
- Nebius Group Expansion Plans: Nebius Group (NBIS) aims to increase its data center connected power from 220 megawatts to between 800 megawatts and 1 gigawatt by the end of 2026, backed by contracts worth up to $19.4 billion with Microsoft and $3 billion with Meta, highlighting its rapid growth potential in AI cloud platform development.
- AI Investment Surge: Microsoft, Alphabet, Amazon, and Meta are set to invest up to $650 billion in AI this year, creating significant demand for related infrastructure companies, particularly chipmakers like Nvidia and TSMC, which are expected to benefit from this trend.
- Nvidia Earnings Outlook: Nvidia is projected to report record revenue of $57 billion for Q3 of fiscal 2026, with $51.2 billion coming from its data center segment, indicating strong demand for its Blackwell GPUs and suggesting robust growth potential for the company.
- TSMC's Market Position: As a leading chip manufacturer, TSMC produced over 11,800 products in 2024, with 63% of its shipments in Q4 2025 being 3nm or 5nm chips, highlighting its leadership in efficient chip manufacturing.
- Nebius Expansion Plans: Nebius Group aims to increase its data center connected power from 220 megawatts to between 800 megawatts and 1 gigawatt by the end of 2026, backed by contracts worth up to $19.4 billion with Microsoft and $3 billion with Meta, indicating rapid expansion and strong demand in the AI cloud platform market.










