CME Group Inc's stock fell by 3.64% during regular trading, hitting a 20-day low. This decline occurs despite the Nasdaq-100 rising by 0.58% and the S&P 500 gaining 0.39%, indicating a disconnect between CME's performance and broader market trends.
The drop in CME's stock price can be attributed to sector rotation, as the company faces caution from investors regarding its future performance. Recent reports indicate that CME Group achieved a record average daily volume of 28.1 million contracts in 2025, reflecting strong market demand. However, the stock's current price is close to its 52-week high, suggesting that while there is confidence in CME, the market is also wary of potential pullbacks.
Investors should closely monitor CME's long-term fundamentals and market trends, especially given the recent volatility. The company's diverse product offerings across various asset classes may provide a competitive edge, but the current price fluctuations warrant careful consideration in investment strategies.
Wall Street analysts forecast CME stock price to fall over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for CME is 285.90 USD with a low forecast of 209.00 USD and a high forecast of 320.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
10 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast CME stock price to fall over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for CME is 285.90 USD with a low forecast of 209.00 USD and a high forecast of 320.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
4 Buy
4 Hold
2 Sell
Hold
Current: 286.050
Low
209.00
Averages
285.90
High
320.00
Current: 286.050
Low
209.00
Averages
285.90
High
320.00
Morgan Stanley
Michael Cyprys
Overweight
maintain
$314 -> $320
2025-12-22
Reason
Morgan Stanley
Michael Cyprys
Price Target
$314 -> $320
AI Analysis
2025-12-22
maintain
Overweight
Reason
Morgan Stanley analyst Michael Cyprys raised the firm's price target on CME Group to $320 from $314 and keeps an Overweight rating on the shares. Healthy transactional activity across brokers and exchanges in Q4 drives modest positive revision risk, notes the analyst in a preview. The analyst is raising Q4 EPS estimates by 5% on average, leaving the firm in-line with consensus, the analyst noted.
Barclays
Equal Weight
maintain
$280 -> $304
2025-12-12
Reason
Barclays
Price Target
$280 -> $304
2025-12-12
maintain
Equal Weight
Reason
Barclays raised the firm's price target on CME Group to $304 from $280 and keeps an Equal Weight rating on the shares. The firm adjusted targets in the brokers, asset managers and exchanges group as part of its 2026. Market conditions "look constructive" going into 2026, particularly for the alternative asset managers and wealth brokers, the analyst tells investors in a research note. Barclays sees a more mixed outlook for the exchanges and traditional asset managers.
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BofA
Underperform
maintain
$201 -> $209
2025-12-10
Reason
BofA
Price Target
$201 -> $209
2025-12-10
maintain
Underperform
Reason
BofA raised the firm's price target on CME Group to $209 from $201 and keeps an Underperform rating on the shares. Looking ahead to 2026, the firm now favors the alternative asset managers to online brokers due to what it sees as a better valuation and positioning setup combined with a stronger macro backdrop, the analyst tells investors in a note on the brokers, asset managers and exchanges group.
BofA
Craig Siegenthaler
Underperform
downgrade
$204 -> $201
2025-10-24
Reason
BofA
Craig Siegenthaler
Price Target
$204 -> $201
2025-10-24
downgrade
Underperform
Reason
BofA analyst Craig Siegenthaler lowered the firm's price target on CME Group to $201 from $204 and keeps an Underperform rating on the shares. Q3 volume was soft with sequential declines in all asset classes as a result of lower market volatility and seasonality, the analyst tells investors in a post-earnings note. The firm is lowering its Q4, 2026 and 2027 EPS estimates due to modest upward revisions to taxes and expenses, the analyst noted.
About CME
CME Group Inc. provides a derivatives marketplace. The Company enables clients to trade futures, options, cash and over the counter (OTC) markets, optimize portfolios, and analyze data. It exchanges offer a range of global benchmark products across all major asset classes based on interest rates, equity indexes, foreign exchange (FX), energy, agricultural products and metals. It offers futures and options on futures trading through the CME Globex platform, fixed income trading via BrokerTec and FX trading on the EBS platform. In addition, it operates central counterparty clearing provider, CME Clearing. Its products provide a means for hedging, speculation and asset allocation related to the risks associated with, among other things, interest rate sensitive instruments, and changes in the prices of agricultural, energy and metal commodities. It provides clearing and settlement services for a range of exchange-traded futures and options on futures contracts and OTC derivatives.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
