BHP Signs Transportation Agreements for Jansen Potash Mine
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Jun 04 2026
0mins
Source: Newsfilter
BHP Group Ltd's stock fell 5.03% as it hit a 5-day low amid broader market weakness, with the Nasdaq-100 down 1.73% and the S&P 500 down 0.82%.
BHP Canada Inc has signed transportation agreements with Canadian National Railway and Canadian Pacific Kansas City for the Jansen Potash Mine, marking a significant milestone in enhancing global potash supply capabilities. The agreements, lasting approximately four years, will support Stage 1 production and ensure efficient transportation of products to global markets, solidifying Canada's position in the potash market.
This partnership not only enhances supply chain reliability but also indicates BHP's commitment to long-term production capacity, which may positively impact its future performance in the potash sector.
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Analyst Views on BHP
Wall Street analysts forecast BHP stock price to fall
3 Analyst Rating
1 Buy
1 Hold
1 Sell
Hold
Current: 90.360
Low
49.50
Averages
56.50
High
68.00
Current: 90.360
Low
49.50
Averages
56.50
High
68.00
About BHP
BHP Group Limited is an Australia-based resources company. The Company is a producer of commodities, including iron ore, copper, nickel, potash and metallurgical (steelmaking) coal. It is focused on offering a range of resources, which provides copper for renewable energy; nickel for electric vehicles; potash for sustainable farming, and iron ore and metallurgical coal for the steel needed for global infrastructure and the energy transition. Its segments include Copper, Iron Ore, and Coal. Its Copper segment is engaged in mining of copper, silver, zinc, molybdenum, uranium, and gold. Its Iron Ore segment is engaged in mining of iron ore. Its Coal segment is engaged in mining of metallurgical coal and energy coal. The Company is also focused on operating Olympic Dam, Prominent Hill, and Carrapateena underground copper-gold mines in South Australia. Its operations are situated in Australia, Europe, China, Japan, India, South Korea, rest of Asia, North America, South America, and others.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
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- Stable Output Expectations: Despite rising costs, BHP still forecasts an annual output of approximately 4.36 million tonnes for stage two, with combined production reaching 8.5 million tonnes, representing about 10% of global potash output, demonstrating the project's long-term value.
- Significant Financial Impact: The company anticipates recognizing an impairment charge of approximately $2.3 billion in FY26, reflecting a reassessment of its investment in the project, which could negatively affect overall financial performance.
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- Potential Buyers: Potential bidders could include transmission companies, other energy firms, or institutional investors, providing BHP with diversified funding sources that enhance its financial flexibility.
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- Cost Increase Reasons: The estimated cost for the Jansen Stage 2 development has risen from $4.9 billion to $6.9 billion, primarily due to additional construction hours and material costs, highlighting the complexity and risks of project management.
- Production Timeline Adjustment: BHP expects the first phase of the Jansen project to commence production by late FY 2031, with an annual output of approximately 4.36 million metric tons, which is crucial as the combined output is projected to account for 10% of global potash production.
- Strategic Significance: BHP executives emphasized that the Jansen project is a key pillar of the company's strategy, and despite the challenges, its long-term profit potential and exposure to future commodity demand will provide shareholders with benefits for decades.
See More
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- Weak Economic Data: China's fixed asset investment and consumer spending fell to their lowest levels since the pandemic in May, reflecting a sluggish economic recovery that has led to reduced demand expectations for iron ore, exacerbating market pessimism.
- New Mine Production Impact: The gradual ramp-up of production at the Simandou mine in Guinea is increasing global iron ore supplies, leading to more cautious price expectations in the market, especially amid weak demand conditions.
- Declining Oil Prices Effect: Recent declines in crude oil prices, driven by the potential reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, have lowered freight rates, adding further pressure on iron ore prices and negatively impacting market sentiment.
See More
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- Optimistic Market Outlook: BHP's sales and marketing officer stated that metallurgical coal demand in India is expected to double by 2050, indicating the company's advantageous position in supporting the expansion of India's steel industry and further solidifying its market presence.
- Global Supply Chain Pressure: Rio Tinto's chief commercial officer noted that the global market will require approximately 950 million tons of new iron ore capacity to meet new demand and counter the depletion of existing mines, with analysts consistently underestimating the strength of the iron ore market, indicating significant future market potential.
See More
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- ETF Trading Mechanism: ETFs trade like stocks, where investors buy and sell 'units' that can be created or destroyed based on demand, impacting liquidity and market dynamics.
- Inflows and Outflows Monitoring: Weekly monitoring of changes in shares outstanding for ETFs highlights significant inflows (new units created) or outflows (old units destroyed), which can affect the underlying holdings and overall market performance.
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