Almonty Industries faces challenges amid tungsten supply crisis
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Apr 09 2026
0mins
Should l Buy ALM?
Source: CNBC
Almonty Industries Inc's stock price fell by 5.83% as it crossed below the 20-day SMA, reflecting concerns over the tungsten supply crisis impacting the industry.
The US has confirmed that its dependence on imported critical minerals poses a direct threat to its defense and industrial base, which may lead to increased market demand for related minerals. The tungsten processing prices have surged significantly due to Chinese export controls, depleting Western inventories and impacting production costs and profitability for companies like Almonty. This situation highlights the urgency for companies to adapt to the evolving market conditions.
The implications of these developments suggest that Almonty Industries may need to reassess its strategies in light of the increasing demand for tungsten and the challenges posed by supply chain disruptions.
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Analyst Views on ALM
Wall Street analysts forecast ALM stock price to fall
2 Analyst Rating
2 Buy
0 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 20.770
Low
12.00
Averages
12.00
High
12.00
Current: 20.770
Low
12.00
Averages
12.00
High
12.00
About ALM
Almonty Industries Inc. is a diversified and global producer of tungsten concentrate. The Company is engaged in mining, processing and shipping tungsten concentrate from its Panasqueira Mine in Portugal. It also has a significant molybdenum resource on a separate property adjacent to the tungsten orebody at the Sangdong Mine. Its additional development projects include the Valtreixal Project in northwestern Spain and Los Santos Mine in western Spain. The Panasqueira Mine is located in Covilha, Castelo Branco, Portugal. The Sangdong Mine is located at Sangdong in the south-eastern Korean Peninsula, approximately 170 km east-southeast of Seoul, South Korea. The Valtreixal Mine is a potential open pit operation, and is located in the northwest part of the Zamora province, in the Castilla de Leon region of Spain. It also operates Woulfe, whose properties are located in Gangwon Province, Republic of Korea, and whose operations relate primarily to the development of the Sangdong Project.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
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- Financing Context: This move follows Almonty's successful Nasdaq listing and oversubscribed $90 million IPO in July 2025, demonstrating strong market performance and laying the groundwork for its expansion in the U.S.
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- Executive Appointments: The company has appointed several former senior U.S. Army generals to its board, bringing defense and national security expertise to support its role in securing critical mineral supply chains, further solidifying its position in the non-Chinese tungsten supply chain.
See More
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- National Security Investigation: The US has confirmed that its dependence on imported critical minerals poses a direct threat to its defense and industrial base, indicating that no single Western country can resolve this issue alone, which may lead to increased market demand for related minerals.
- Tungsten Supply Crisis: Due to Chinese export controls, tungsten processing prices have surged from around $300 to $1,775 per metric tonne within a year, depleting Western inventories to critically low levels, thereby impacting the production and profitability of related companies.
- Gold Project Advancement: GoldHaven Resources is conducting a 1,741-kilometre high-resolution magnetic survey over its Magno Project, expected to launch in June 2026, aimed at enhancing exploration efficiency for silver and tungsten, thereby strengthening its market competitiveness.
- Diversified Investment Strategy: GoldHaven is also advancing its Copeçal Gold Project in Brazil, where the first diamond drilling program confirmed gold and copper anomalism, with Phase 2 drilling planned for mid-Q2 2026, showcasing the company's strategic vision in multi-project development.
See More
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- National Security Investigation: The US has confirmed that its dependence on imported critical minerals poses a direct threat to its defense and industrial base, indicating that no single Western country can resolve this issue alone, which may lead to increased market demand for related minerals.
- Tungsten Supply Crisis: Due to Chinese export controls, tungsten processing prices have surged from around $300 to $1,775 per metric tonne within a year, depleting Western inventories to critically low levels, thereby impacting production costs and profitability for related companies.
- Silver Market Shortage: The Silver Institute's 2026 World Silver Survey reveals a sixth consecutive annual supply deficit, with cumulative shortfalls exceeding 800 million ounces since 2021, highlighting strong demand growth from electrification and defense, compelling companies to expedite new mine developments.
- GoldHaven Resources Progress: GoldHaven Resources has engaged Dias Airborne to conduct a high-resolution magnetic survey over its Magno Project, set to launch in June 2026, aiming to enhance mineral exploration efficiency through modern geophysical technology and drive future drilling activities.
See More
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- Cash Burn Trend: Although Alma Metals recorded no revenue over the past year, indicating it is still in the early development stage, it has managed to reduce its cash burn by 34%, suggesting a degree of prudence in financial management, although future growth prospects remain unclear.
- Financing Capability Assessment: With a market capitalization of AU$31 million and a cash burn representing 6.8% of its market value, Alma Metals is in a position to raise additional funds for growth through moderate share dilution or borrowing, given the low proportion of cash burn to market cap.
- Investor Confidence: While cash-burning companies are generally riskier, Alma Metals' cash burn situation is relatively optimistic, with both a reduction in cash burn and strong cash reserves relative to its market cap, suggesting that investors should maintain a cautious yet optimistic outlook when considering investment opportunities.
See More
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- Financing Guarantee: The company secured a $100 million collateralized bank guarantee from a major Brazilian bank, supported by clients through a blend of corporate guarantees, letters of credit, and export receivables, to fund the construction of Greentech Industrial Plant 2.
- Capacity Expansion Plans: Sigma Lithium currently has an annual production capacity of 270,000 tons of lithium oxide concentrate and aims to nearly double this to approximately 520,000 tons through Phase 2 expansion, further solidifying its competitive position in the lithium market.
- Earnings Expectations: The company is expected to report quarterly earnings of $0.12 per share, representing a year-over-year increase of 200%, while revenues are projected at $35.4 million, down 25.7% from the previous year, but the upward revision in earnings estimates suggests potential for stock price appreciation.
See More
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- Headquarters Relocation: Almonty Industries announced its move from Toronto to Dillon, Montana, enhancing alignment with U.S. strategy, which contributed to a 15.3% increase in stock price.
- Market Positioning: This relocation positions the company closer to U.S. government agencies, defense contractors, and industrial partners, reinforcing its commitment to becoming a leading U.S.-aligned tungsten producer, thereby enhancing competitive strength.
- Financing Background: Almonty successfully listed on Nasdaq in July, raising $90 million in its IPO, followed by a $129 million follow-on financing in December, providing financial backing for this strategic move.
- Project Progress: The acquisition of Montana's Gentung tungsten project is expected to restart production this year, with tungsten being a high-density metal used in defense, aerospace, and industrial tools, making Almonty one of the few suppliers outside China.
See More
Almonty Relocates Headquarters to Dillon, Montana
- Strategic Shift: Almonty Industries has relocated its headquarters from Toronto, Canada to Dillon, Montana, reflecting the company's strategic alignment with the U.S. and its commitment to supporting secure and transparent supply chains for critical materials, enhancing ties with U.S. government and defense contractors.
- Financing Context: This move follows Almonty's successful Nasdaq listing and oversubscribed $90 million IPO in July 2025, demonstrating strong market performance and laying the groundwork for its expansion in the U.S.
- Defense Collaboration Deepening: Almonty has strengthened its alignment with U.S. defense through a strategic partnership with American Defense International and participation in the Department of Defense-sponsored Critical Minerals Forum, underscoring its commitment to critical mineral independence.
- Executive Appointments: The company has appointed several former senior U.S. Army generals to its board, bringing defense and national security expertise to support its role in securing critical mineral supply chains, further solidifying its position in the non-Chinese tungsten supply chain.
See More
