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ALM Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy Almonty Industries Inc (ALM) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
22.280
1 Day change
4.65%
52 Week Range
22.550
Analysis Updated At
2026/03/05
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Almonty Industries Inc (ALM) is not a strong buy at the moment for a beginner investor with a long-term strategy. While the company shows potential growth due to high tungsten prices and strategic mining projects, the recent financial performance and lack of strong trading signals suggest holding off for now.

Technical Analysis

The stock is showing bullish moving averages (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200), with a positive MACD histogram (0.311) indicating upward momentum. However, RSI at 69.189 is in the neutral zone, and the stock is trading near resistance levels (R1: 20.195). The next month projection shows a potential -11.14% decline, which suggests caution.

Options Data

Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

The low put-call ratios indicate bullish sentiment in the options market. However, the implied volatility (IV) at 107.94% and IV rank of 57.39 suggest high risk and uncertainty.

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
4
Buy
10

Positive Catalysts

  • Record-high tungsten prices, up 50% year-to-date.

  • Strategic mining projects like Sangdong Tungsten Mine and expansion into North America.

  • Analysts have raised price targets significantly, reflecting confidence in long-term growth.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • Poor financial performance in Q3 2025, with net income dropping -724.01% YoY and EPS down -533.33% YoY.

  • No significant hedge fund or insider trading trends.

  • No recent news or congress trading data to indicate strong external interest.

Financial Performance

In Q3 2025, revenue increased by 27.98% YoY, and gross margin improved by 49.28% YoY. However, net income dropped significantly (-724.01% YoY), and EPS fell (-533.33% YoY), indicating profitability challenges.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Analysts are optimistic, with multiple firms raising price targets (e.g., B. Riley to $17, Oppenheimer to $16, Alliance Global to $14). Analysts cite high tungsten prices and strategic initiatives as key growth drivers.

Wall Street analysts forecast ALM stock price to fall
2 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast ALM stock price to fall
2 Buy
0 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 21.290
sliders
Low
12
Averages
12
High
12
Current: 21.290
sliders
Low
12
Averages
12
High
12
B. Riley
Nick Giles
Buy
maintain
$10 -> $17
AI Analysis
2026-02-13
Reason
B. Riley
Nick Giles
Price Target
$10 -> $17
AI Analysis
2026-02-13
maintain
Buy
Reason
B. Riley analyst Nick Giles raised the firm's price target on Almonty to $17 from $10 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. Almonty is benefiting from record-high tungsten prices, with year-to-date APT pricing up about 50%, and has begun active mining at its Sangdong Tungsten Mine, positioning it as a major Western supply source, the analyst tells investors in a research note. Full run-rate production at Sangdong Phase I is a key 2026 objective, with Phase II expected to double output by 2027, while additional growth catalysts include drilling programs at Panasqueira and Sangdong Molybdenum and expansion into North America via the Gentung Browns Lake Project, the firm says.
Oppenheimer
Ian Zaffino
Outperform
maintain
$12 -> $16
2026-02-05
Reason
Oppenheimer
Ian Zaffino
Price Target
$12 -> $16
2026-02-05
maintain
Outperform
Reason
Oppenheimer analyst Ian Zaffino raised the firm's price target on Almonty to $16 from $12 and keeps an Outperform rating on the shares. Management struck a bullish tone at the firm's Emerging Growth Conference, as tungsten prices continue to trend higher, Oppenheimer notes.
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