Why Is Renewable Energy Company Ameresco Stock Gaining Today?
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Oct 18 2024
0mins
Source: Benzinga
Ameresco's Partnership: Ameresco, Inc. is collaborating with the U.S. Navy and Hawaiian Electric Company on the Pu’uloa Microgrid project under the Grid Resilience and Innovation Partnerships (GRIP) Program to improve energy resilience for Joint Base Pearl Harbor Hickam and Oahu.
Stock Performance: AMRC shares have increased by 2.99% to $31.83, despite a 2% decline over the past year, as investors look for exposure through clean energy ETFs.
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Analyst Views on AMRC
Wall Street analysts forecast AMRC stock price to rise
6 Analyst Rating
5 Buy
1 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 30.220
Low
37.00
Averages
41.40
High
45.00
Current: 30.220
Low
37.00
Averages
41.40
High
45.00
About AMRC
Ameresco, Inc. is an energy infrastructure solutions provider. The Company's portfolio includes implementing smart energy efficiency solutions, upgrading aging infrastructure, and developing, constructing, and operating distributed energy resources. Its North America Regions, U.S. Federal and Europe segments include the design, engineering and installation of equipment and other measures to improve the efficiency and control the operation of a facility's energy infrastructure, renewable energy solutions and services and the development and construction of small-scale plants. Its Renewable Fuels segment, formerly Alternative Fuels segment, sells electricity and processed renewable natural gas (RNG) derived from biomethane from small-scale plants that it owns and operates and provides operations and maintenance services for customer-owned small-scale plants. The Company's All Other segment offers consulting services and the sale of solar photovoltaic energy products and systems.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Significant Contract Value: Anaergia has signed a C$58 million contract with Neogenyx Fuels through its subsidiary, deploying proprietary anaerobic digestion technology, which is expected to enhance the company's revenue visibility over the next two years.
- Biogas Production Capacity: Under the agreement, Anaergia will provide turnkey manure handling and digestion systems designed to produce over 4,400 standard cubic feet of biogas per minute, ensuring Neogenyx Fuels can convert it into pipeline-quality renewable natural gas.
- Growing Market Demand: The renewable natural gas sector benefits from strong structural growth, particularly as large-scale agricultural waste projects are seen as one of the most attractive and underpenetrated segments, reflecting increasing demand for low-carbon fuel solutions.
- Strategic Partnership Potential: Neogenyx Fuels combines Ameresco's established capabilities in energy infrastructure development and operation with HASI's significant experience in financing sustainable assets, creating a robust platform for Anaergia to further expand its renewable fuel production capabilities.
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- Revenue Growth: Ameresco reported total revenue of $401 million for Q1 2026, reflecting a 14% year-over-year increase despite adverse weather conditions impacting operations, indicating strong market demand and operational resilience in the renewable energy sector.
- Strategic Investment: The company announced a $400 million agreement with HASI to establish Neogenyx Fuels, which aims to monetize part of its $1.8 billion enterprise value in the biogas sector, thereby accelerating growth and enhancing overall corporate value.
- Backlog Increase: Ameresco's awarded project backlog grew by 20% to $2.8 billion, showcasing a robust pipeline of large and complex projects that are expected to support future revenue growth and solidify the company's market position.
- Leadership Changes: The promotion of Nicole Bulgarino and Lou Maltezos to Co-Presidents, along with the appointment of Peter Christakis as COO, underscores the company's commitment to executing its strategic vision and driving growth in a competitive landscape.
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- Earnings Highlights: Ameresco reported a Q1 non-GAAP EPS of -$0.33, missing expectations by $0.04, indicating pressure on profitability; however, revenue reached $401.46 million, up 13.8% year-over-year, exceeding market expectations by $38.54 million, showcasing strong performance in revenue growth.
- 2026 Fiscal Guidance: The company forecasts FY 2026 revenue between $2.0 billion and $2.2 billion, slightly below the consensus of $2.1 billion, reflecting a cautious outlook on future growth; additionally, adjusted EBITDA is expected to be between $250 million and $270 million, highlighting challenges in cost management.
- Gross Margin and Expenses: The anticipated gross margin is between 17% and 18%, indicating pressure on profitability; furthermore, depreciation and amortization expenses are projected at $115 million, with interest expense and other costs at $95 million, suggesting challenges in financial management.
- Market Reaction: Following the earnings release, Ameresco's stock fell 11.6% in after-hours trading, reflecting investor concerns over declining profitability, which could impact the company's future financing capabilities and market confidence.
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- Earnings Announcement: Ameresco is set to announce its earnings after market hours on Monday, with analysts expecting a 4% year-over-year revenue growth, although this is a slowdown from the 18.2% increase recorded in the same quarter last year, indicating the company's ongoing growth potential in the renewable energy sector.
- Revenue Performance: Last quarter, Ameresco reported revenues of $581 million, reflecting a 9.1% year-over-year increase that surpassed analyst expectations, and the full-year EBITDA guidance also exceeded market forecasts, demonstrating the company's solid operational performance and profitability.
- Market Sentiment: Investor sentiment in the construction and engineering sector has been positive, with related stocks averaging a 9.4% increase over the past month, while Ameresco's stock surged 28.3% during the same period, indicating strong market confidence in its future performance.
- Analyst Expectations: The average analyst price target for Ameresco stands at $42.60, compared to its current share price of $30.80, suggesting an optimistic outlook for its future growth, and the company has a history of exceeding Wall Street's expectations.
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- Earnings Release Date: Ameresco (AMRC) is set to announce its Q1 earnings on May 4th after market close, with a consensus EPS estimate of -$0.29, reflecting a significant year-over-year decline of 163.6%, indicating substantial profitability challenges.
- Revenue Expectations: The anticipated revenue for Q1 is $362.92 million, representing a modest year-over-year growth of 2.9%, which, while limited, still indicates some level of market demand and the company's ongoing efforts in the renewable energy sector.
- Historical Performance Review: Over the past two years, Ameresco has beaten EPS estimates 63% of the time and has met revenue estimates 100% of the time, demonstrating stability in revenue management and market expectations, despite current downward pressures.
- Estimate Revision Trends: In the last three months, EPS estimates have seen five downward revisions with no upward adjustments, while revenue estimates experienced one upward revision and four downward revisions, reflecting a cautious market sentiment regarding the company's future performance, which may impact investor confidence.
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