Should I Buy AMRC? AMRC 2026 Analysis

Should You Buy Ameresco Inc (AMRC) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion

Buy

Latest Price

32.370

1 Day change

-2.82%

52 Week Range

44.930

Analysis Updated At

2026/01/28

Buy now for a long-term position. AMRC is in an established uptrend (bullish moving averages and strengthening MACD), analysts have recently turned more constructive with higher price targets, and the business is posting steady Q3’25 growth with improving margins. Despite heavy insider selling (a notable negative), the overall setup (technical + Street view + sector tailwinds) supports initiating a position immediately for a beginner long-term investor with $50k–$100k, rather than waiting for a perfect entry.

Technical Analysis

Trend/Momentum: Bullish. SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200 signals a strong uptrend across short, medium, and long timeframes. MACD histogram is positive (0.317) and expanding, confirming improving momentum. RSI(6) at ~63 is not overbought yet, suggesting upside can continue without being “stretched.” Key levels: Pivot 31.97 is the key nearby support reference; S1 30.53 below that. Immediate resistance is R1 33.41 (very close to the pre-market ~33.2), then R2 34.31. If price clears ~33.4, the next technical objective is the mid-34s zone. Near-term pattern read: The similarity-based pattern stats imply modest near-term chop (-0.94% next day probability bias) but constructive follow-through over 1 week (+1.68%) and 1 month (+5.12%), which aligns with a long-term entry. Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals - [AI Stock Picker](module://ai_stock_pick): No signal on given stock today. - [SwingMax](module://swingmax): No signal on given stock today.

Options Data

Bullish

Open Interest Put-Call Ratio

Bullish

Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Sentiment read: Options positioning is notably call-skewed (low put/call ratios), which typically reflects bullish sentiment/positioning. Call open interest (5,774) exceeds put open interest (2,204). Volume is light (34 contracts) but extremely call-dominant (33 calls vs 1 put), reinforcing upside bias. Volatility: IV30 ~69.9 vs HV ~64.2 indicates options are pricing slightly higher-than-realized volatility; however IV percentile (22) and IV rank (9.5) suggest IV is relatively low vs its own history—often consistent with calmer conditions after a prior volatility spike. Net: sentiment is bullish, and volatility pricing isn’t at an extreme high.

Technical Summary

Sell

Buy

Positive Catalysts

1) Strong multi-year demand backdrop: grid modernization, electrification, energy transition capex, and rising data-center power demand are repeatedly cited by analysts as durable tailwinds.
2) Backlog/visibility narrative: Street commentary highlights large backlog and data-center-related opportunities supporting revenue visibility.
3) Technical trend supports continued accumulation: uptrend structure remains intact and momentum is improving.
4) Analyst momentum: multiple price target increases and a fresh Overweight initiation at $41 add support for long-term buyers.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

1) Insider selling is a major red flag: insiders are selling, with selling amount up 21205.25% over the last month—this can cap near-term upside and spook sentiment.
2) No fresh news catalysts this week: without near-term headlines, the stock may drift/mean-revert around resistance.
3) Near resistance overhead: price is approaching R1 (~33.41), so short-term pauses are possible even within an uptrend.
4) Elevated volatility profile: both HV and IV are high in absolute terms (even if low vs history), implying bigger-than-average swings can occur.

Financial Performance

Latest quarter: 2025/Q3. Growth was steady and positive: Revenue $525.99M (+5.01% YoY), Net Income $18.51M (+5.30% YoY), EPS $0.35 (+6.06% YoY). Gross margin improved to 16.03 (+4.09% YoY). Overall read: modest but consistent growth with margin improvement—supportive for a long-term thesis rather than a one-quarter spike.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Recent trend: analyst sentiment has improved meaningfully over the past few months with multiple price target increases and supportive notes. UBS boosted PT sharply to $40 (Neutral), Stifel raised to $37 (Buy), Roth reiterated Buy with $45 (also previously raised to $45), B. Riley raised to $45 (Buy), and Cantor Fitzgerald initiated Overweight with a $41 PT (Jan 2026). Wall Street pros: durable multi-year capex cycle, clean-energy infrastructure demand tied to data centers/AI electricity needs, and Ameresco’s platform (EPC + ownership/operation of assets) providing a long runway. Wall Street cons: project timing can be slow, and customer budget uncertainty can delay benefits; also, lack of immediate catalysts can limit near-term acceleration. Politicians / congress: No recent congress trading data available, and no politician/influential-figure transactions were provided in the dataset.

6 Analyst Rating

Wall Street analysts forecast AMRC stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for AMRC is 41.4 USD with a low forecast of 37 USD and a high forecast of 45 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

4 Buy

2 Hold

0 Sell

Moderate Buy

Current: 33.310

Low

Averages

41.4

High

Current: 33.310

Low

Averages

41.4

High

Cantor Fitzgerald

initiated

$41

AI Analysis

2026-01-23

Reason

Cantor Fitzgerald

Price Target

$41

AI Analysis

2026-01-23

initiated

Reason

Cantor Fitzgerald initiated coverage of Ameresco with an Overweight rating and $41 price target. The Engineering & Construction sector is entering a multi-year investment cycle fueled by grid modernization, electrification, energy transition initiatives, and rising power demand from data centers and reshoring, while increasing utility capex is driving record backlogs, offering strong near-term revenue visibility and a durable long-term project pipeline, the analyst tells investors in a research note. Ameresco is a unique, clean-energy infrastructure platform that combines EPC execution with the long-term ownership and operation of energy and resilience assets, the firm says.

Roth Capital

Buy

maintain

$45

2025-12-03

Reason

Roth Capital

Price Target

$45

2025-12-03

maintain

Buy

Reason

Roth Capital keeps a Buy rating on Ameresco with a $45 price target after hosting meetings with management. The firm left "bullish," saying macro trends create a "long tailwind" for Ameresco to accelerate profitability. Increasing utility rates improve the returns for the company's projects, the analyst tells investors in a research note. Roth views the stock as undervalued and "mis-priced" at current levels.

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AMRC Should I Buy

AMRC Should I Buy

Should You Buy Ameresco Inc (AMRC) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Technical Analysis

Options Data

Technical Summary

Positive Catalysts

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

Financial Performance

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

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