Validea Joel Greenblatt Strategy Daily Upgrade Report - 11/23/2024
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Nov 23 2024
0mins
Source: NASDAQ.COM
Stock Ratings Update: Validea's Earnings Yield Investor model, based on Joel Greenblatt's strategy, has upgraded ratings for Terex Corp and Molson Coors Beverage Co from 80% to 90%, indicating strong interest due to improved fundamentals and valuations. Rimini Street Inc saw a significant upgrade from 0% to 100%, while Reynolds Consumer Products Inc increased from 70% to 80%.
Company Descriptions: Terex Corporation manufactures industrial equipment; Molson Coors operates in the beverage industry with multiple breweries; Rimini Street provides enterprise software support; and Reynolds Consumer Products offers various consumer goods under well-known brands.
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Analyst Views on TEX
Wall Street analysts forecast TEX stock price to rise
5 Analyst Rating
2 Buy
2 Hold
1 Sell
Hold
Current: 57.300
Low
56.00
Averages
62.70
High
72.00
Current: 57.300
Low
56.00
Averages
62.70
High
72.00
About TEX
Terex Corporation is a global industrial equipment manufacturer of materials processing machinery, waste and recycling solutions, mobile elevating work platforms, and equipment for the electric utility industry. Its segments include Environmental Solutions (ES), Material Processing (MP) and Aerials. Its ES segment designs, manufactures, services and markets waste, recycling and utility equipment and solutions, including refuse collection bodies, hydraulic cart lifters, automated carry cans, compaction, balers, recycling equipment, digger derricks, insulated aerial devices, and cameras with integrated smart technology. Its MP segment designs, manufactures, services and markets materials processing and specialty equipment, including crushers, washing systems, screens, trommels, apron feeders, material handlers, and others. Its Aerials segment designs, manufactures, services and markets aerial work platform equipment and telehandlers and their related components and replacement parts.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Vein Structure Exploration: Golden Goose Resources has mapped 23.6 kilometers of mineralized vein structures at its Gran Esperanza project in Argentina's Río Negro Province, collecting 341 channel samples that indicate high potential in the area, which is expected to provide a solid foundation for future drilling.
- Historical Data Support: Previous exploration at Gran Esperanza has shown historical samples returning up to 24.0 g/t gold, suggesting the region's potential for high-grade gold deposits, which may attract increased investor interest.
- Market Context Analysis: With gold prices continuing to rise in 2026 and central banks purchasing 244 tonnes of gold in Q1 alone, interest in early-stage exploration projects has surged, positioning Gran Esperanza at the forefront of this trend with the ability to rapidly convert exploration into resources.
- Multi-Asset Strategic Advantage: Golden Goose Resources not only has the Gran Esperanza project in Río Negro but also holds the Goldfire Property in Quebec and the El Quemado project in Salta, Argentina, creating a diversified exploration portfolio that enhances its competitive edge in the market.
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- Significant Sales Growth: Terex reported Q1 2026 sales of $1.7 billion, an 11% year-over-year increase, with EPS reaching $0.98, reflecting strong performance in new business segments and overall operational efficiency.
- Strong Backlog and Orders: The company’s backlog rose to $7.1 billion by the end of the quarter, with management reaffirming full-year sales expectations between $7.5 billion and $8.1 billion, indicating confidence in future performance amid macro uncertainties.
- Integration Progressing Well: The REV integration plan is on track, with expected synergies of approximately $28 million in 2026 and a target of a $75 million run rate within 24 months, showcasing Terex's effective post-merger execution capabilities.
- Improved Financial Position: Terex reduced its net leverage ratio to 2.4x and improved net working capital as a percentage of sales to 16.7%, demonstrating significant advancements in financial management and operational efficiency post-portfolio shift.
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- Performance Review: Terex reported net sales of $1.734 billion for Q1 2026, a 41% increase from the same period in 2025, indicating strong demand in critical sectors such as emergency services and construction, thereby reinforcing its market position.
- Profitability Improvement: The adjusted EPS for the quarter was $0.98, reflecting a $0.05 increase compared to last year, showcasing operational efficiency gains post-REV Group integration, which is expected to drive future profit growth.
- Strong Backlog: Terex's backlog reached $7.1 billion at the end of Q1, supported by robust booking trends in Materials Processing, Aerials, and Terex Utilities, providing solid visibility for future sales growth.
- Strategic Integration Progress: The company anticipates achieving $28 million in synergies in 2026 by eliminating duplicate overhead, further optimizing resource allocation to maintain a competitive edge in a challenging market.
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- Earnings Beat: Terexpress reported a Q1 Non-GAAP EPS of $0.98, exceeding expectations by $0.20, which reflects a significant improvement in profitability and boosts investor confidence.
- Strong Revenue Growth: The company achieved $1.7 billion in revenue for Q1, marking a 41.7% year-over-year increase, aligning with market expectations and indicating sustained competitiveness in the market.
- 2026 Outlook Reaffirmed: Terexpress reaffirmed its 2026 sales target of $7.5 to $8.1 billion, although slightly below the consensus of $7.92 billion, while projecting EBITDA of $930 million to $1 billion, a 12% year-over-year increase, showcasing strong profitability and sustainable growth potential.
- Strategic Shift Driving Growth: The merger with REV is expected to drive synergies and growth, positioning Terexpress for enhanced market standing and profitability in the coming years.
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- Earnings Release Date: Terex is set to announce its Q1 earnings on May 1st before market open, with consensus EPS estimate at $0.78, reflecting a 6% year-over-year decline, while revenue is expected to reach $1.7 billion, indicating a robust 41.7% year-over-year growth.
- Historical Performance Review: Over the past two years, Terex has beaten EPS estimates 100% of the time and revenue estimates 50% of the time, demonstrating stability in financial performance and bolstering market confidence.
- Expectation Revision Dynamics: In the last three months, EPS estimates have seen 8 downward revisions with no upward adjustments, indicating cautious market sentiment regarding profitability; conversely, revenue estimates have experienced 6 upward revisions, reflecting optimism about the company's growth potential.
- Future Outlook: Terex aims for $930 million to $1 billion in EBITDA by 2026, with expectations that the merger with REV will drive synergies and growth, further enhancing the company's competitive position in the market.
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- Conference Call Announcement: Terex Corporation will host a conference call on May 1, 2026, at 8:30 a.m. Eastern Time to review its Q1 2026 financial results, providing investors with crucial financial data and future outlook.
- Leadership Participation: The call will be led by CEO Simon Meester and CFO Jennifer Kong-Picarello, ensuring that investors receive direct insights and analyses from the company's top executives regarding performance.
- Financial Results Release: The company's financial results will be issued prior to the call and available on its investor website, allowing participants to access relevant information ahead of time for a more informed discussion.
- Global Business Overview: Terex, as a global leader in specialized equipment solutions, serves essential sectors such as emergency services, waste recycling, utilities, and construction, showcasing strong market demand and long-term growth potential.
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