Tuesday's ETF Movers: XLY, HEFA
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Jul 02 2024
0mins
Source: NASDAQ.COM
- Underperforming ETF: iShares Currency Hedged MSCI EAFE ETF (HEFA) is down by 1.9% in Tuesday afternoon trading.
- Weakest Components: Shares of Monday.com (MNDY) and Global-e Online (GLBE) within the HEFA ETF are lower by about 1.5% and 1.4% respectively on Tuesday.
- Video Mention: The article mentions a video titled "Tuesday's ETF Movers: XLY, HEFA."
- Disclaimer: The views expressed in the content belong to the author and may not represent those of Nasdaq, Inc.
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Analyst Views on TSLA
Wall Street analysts forecast TSLA stock price to fall
30 Analyst Rating
12 Buy
11 Hold
7 Sell
Hold
Current: 433.590
Low
25.28
Averages
401.93
High
600.00
Current: 433.590
Low
25.28
Averages
401.93
High
600.00
About TSLA
Tesla, Inc. designs, develops, manufactures, sells and leases high-performance fully electric vehicles and energy generation and storage systems, and offers services related to its products. Its segments include automotive, and energy generation and storage. The automotive segment includes the design, development, manufacturing, sales and leasing of high-performance fully electric vehicles, and sales of automotive regulatory credits. It also includes sales of used vehicles, non-warranty maintenance services and collisions, part sales, paid supercharging, insurance services revenue and retail merchandise sales. The energy generation and storage segment include the design, manufacture, installation, sales and leasing of solar energy generation and energy storage products and related services and sales of solar energy systems incentives. Its consumer vehicles include the Model 3, Y, S, X and Cybertruck. Its lithium-ion battery energy storage products include Powerwall and Megapack.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- IPO Plans: SpaceX is targeting a Nasdaq listing on June 12 with a valuation between $1.75 trillion and $2 trillion, which, if successful, would mark the largest IPO in history, positioning it above Tesla and reinforcing its leadership in the aerospace and satellite internet sectors.
- Starlink Revenue Surge: Starlink, SpaceX's satellite internet business, generated $11.4 billion in revenue in 2025, up nearly 50% year-over-year, with operating income more than doubling to $4.4 billion, highlighting its strong demand and profitability as a key driver of the company's valuation.
- User Growth Momentum: Starlink currently boasts 10.3 million subscribers across 164 countries, a significant increase from 8.9 million at the end of 2025, and despite a drop in revenue per user from $99 in 2023 to $66, it still achieved $3.3 billion in revenue in Q1, indicating robust market penetration and user base expansion.
- AI Business Challenges: SpaceX's AI segment reported a loss of $6.4 billion in 2025 and an additional $2.5 billion in Q1, while plans to deploy orbital AI compute satellites by 2028 present both risks and opportunities, contrasting sharply with the rapid growth of Starlink and reflecting the complexities of the company's diversification strategy.
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- IPO Valuation Controversy: SpaceX's announcement of a total addressable market of $28.5 trillion, including $26.5 trillion from AI infrastructure and enterprise applications, has been criticized by analyst Ben Thompson as “absurd,” questioning its disconnect from the company's $18.67 billion revenue and nearly $4.9 billion losses.
- Market Reaction: Despite the excitement surrounding SpaceX's IPO fueling rallies in space stocks like ASTS and RKLB, Tesla (TSLA) shares slipped 2% ahead of Thursday trading as investors grappled with the tension between SpaceX merger speculation and criticism of its valuation math.
- Merger Prospects: Early investor Peter Diamandis stated that a merger between Tesla and SpaceX is “strategically inevitable,” suggesting that combining their capabilities would create an unprecedented vertically integrated platform, thereby strengthening Musk's control.
- Analyst Insights: ARK Invest's Daniel Maguire emphasized that the focus of SpaceX's IPO should not solely be on short-term financials but rather on the potential for Falcon 9 and Starship to dramatically lower launch costs, unlocking economic viability for future space infrastructure.
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- Bright IPO Prospects: SpaceX is set to launch its IPO on June 12, potentially raising up to $75 billion, with a valuation reaching $1.75 trillion to $2 trillion, marking it as the largest IPO ever, reflecting strong investor interest in emerging tech companies.
- Declining ARPU Trend: According to SpaceX's S-1 filing, the average revenue per user (ARPU) for Starlink is projected to drop from $99 in 2023 to $66 by 2026, a 33% decline, which could impact the company's long-term profitability.
- Significant Customer Growth: Despite the declining ARPU, Starlink's customer base surged by 347%, increasing from 2.3 million in 2023 to 10.3 million currently, showcasing SpaceX's strong ability to attract new customers, with a total addressable market estimated at $1.6 trillion.
- Operational Efficiency Gains: SpaceX's Connectivity segment saw a 120% increase in operating income to $4.4 billion in 2025, with adjusted EBITDA rising 86% to $7.1 billion, indicating significant progress in operational efficiency, even as ARPU declines.
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- Declining Starlink Revenue: SpaceX's Starlink satellite internet service is projected to account for over 60% of sales by 2025, yet its average revenue per user (ARPU) has dropped from $99 in 2023 to $66, with further declines expected, potentially impacting overall profitability.
- Operational Efficiency Gains: Despite the falling ARPU, SpaceX's Connectivity segment saw operating income soar 120% to $4.4 billion in 2025, while adjusted EBITDA rose 86% to $7.1 billion, indicating the company's efforts to enhance operational efficiency may offset revenue declines.
- Rapid Customer Base Growth: Starlink's customer count surged 347% from 2.3 million in 2023 to 10.3 million, showcasing SpaceX's strong performance in attracting new customers, with a total addressable market (TAM) for connectivity estimated at $1.6 trillion, highlighting significant growth potential.
- Promising IPO Outlook: SpaceX is expected to raise up to $75 billion in its upcoming IPO, potentially achieving a valuation of $1.75 trillion to $2 trillion, making it the largest IPO in history; however, investors should monitor the ongoing decline in ARPU and the company's ability to improve operational efficiencies for profitability.
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- Valuation Concerns: Analyst Ben Thompson criticized SpaceX's $28.5 trillion market projection as 'absurd,' highlighting a disconnect with the company's $18.67 billion revenue and nearly $4.9 billion losses last year, which may undermine investor confidence in the IPO.
- Merger Speculation: Early investor Peter Diamandis suggested that a merger between Tesla and SpaceX is 'inevitable,' arguing that their combined capabilities could create an unprecedented vertically integrated platform, potentially enhancing Musk's control and driving future growth.
- IPO-Induced Market Rally: The anticipation surrounding SpaceX's IPO has spurred a rally in space stocks like ASTS and RKLB, with analysts suggesting that if the market supports its targeted valuation, it could reshape how investors assess the broader space sector, particularly in satellite broadband and future space infrastructure.
- Retail Investor Sentiment: On Stocktwits, retail sentiment for Tesla was 'bearish,' while discussions around SpaceX remained 'bullish,' indicating investor excitement about potential mergers and market dynamics, reflecting a divided outlook on the future of both companies.
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- Massive IPO Potential: SpaceX is set to launch its IPO on June 12, potentially raising up to $75 billion, which could value the company between $1.75 trillion and $2 trillion, making it the largest IPO in history and drawing significant investor interest.
- Declining ARPU Trend: According to SpaceX's S-1 filing, the average revenue per user (ARPU) for Starlink is projected to drop from $99 in 2023 to $66 by 2026, a 33% decline, which may impact overall revenue growth for the company.
- Significant Customer Growth: Despite the declining ARPU, Starlink's customer base surged by 347%, increasing from 2.3 million in 2023 to 10.3 million currently, showcasing SpaceX's strong ability to attract new customers, with a total addressable market estimated at $1.6 trillion.
- Operational Efficiency Gains: SpaceX's connectivity segment saw a 120% increase in operating income to $4.4 billion in 2025, with adjusted EBITDA rising 86% to $7.1 billion, indicating substantial progress in operational efficiency despite the ARPU decline.
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