Thursday's ETF Movers: FPX, NLR
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Feb 13 2025
0mins
Source: NASDAQ.COM
ETF Performance: The VanEck Uranium+Nuclear Energy ETF is down approximately 2.1%, with significant declines in shares of Nuscale Power (down 9.2%) and Oklo (down 5.8%).
Market Commentary: The opinions expressed in the article are those of the author and do not necessarily represent Nasdaq, Inc.
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Analyst Views on OKLO
Wall Street analysts forecast OKLO stock price to rise
12 Analyst Rating
7 Buy
5 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 57.490
Low
90.00
Averages
125.11
High
175.00
Current: 57.490
Low
90.00
Averages
125.11
High
175.00
About OKLO
Oklo Inc. is an advanced nuclear technology company. The Company is engaged in developing fast fission power plants to provide clean, reliable, and affordable energy at scale. It focuses on producing electricity and heat from its Aurora powerhouses, which can run on fresh, recycled, or down-blended nuclear fuel. It is also commercializing nuclear fuel recycling technology that can convert used nuclear fuel into usable fuel for its powerhouses and those of others. Its Aurora powerhouse product line is designed with embedded safety features, to be able to run on fresh, recycled, or down-blended fuel, and to produce 15-75 megawatts of electric (MWe). Its radioisotope activities are to support domestic supply for medical, industrial, space, defense, and other critical applications. The Company's capabilities also include high-precision machining, prototyping, fabrication, inspection, procurement support, and mechanical engineering.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Project Approval Milestone: Oklo's Aurora-INL project has received the Preliminary Documented Safety Analysis approval from the U.S. Department of Energy, marking a significant step towards becoming the first fast-fission reactor, which is expected to lay the groundwork for future Aurora deployments and enhance the company's competitiveness in the nuclear energy market.
- Nuclear Expansion Goals: The Trump administration aims to increase U.S. nuclear power capacity from the current 100 gigawatts to 400 gigawatts, targeting a fourfold growth by 2050, which will create a favorable policy environment for Oklo's projects and accelerate its commercialization process.
- Surge in Investor Interest: Following the project approval, Oklo's shares rose over 4.7% in the overnight session, and retail investor discussions on Stocktwits surged by 157%, indicating strong market expectations for future stock price increases, potentially attracting more investor attention.
- Japanese Funding Support: The U.S. is seeking Japanese funding for nuclear projects, with Japan expected to allocate up to $65 billion for next-generation small modular reactor projects, which will provide additional financial backing for Oklo's Aurora project and further propel its development.
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- Significant Market Potential: According to MarketsandMarkets, the global data center power market is projected to reach $50.5 billion by 2030, with a compound annual growth rate of 7.5%, presenting substantial long-term growth opportunities for Oklo, particularly amid rising data center construction demands.
- Challenging Financials: Despite incurring net losses of $129 million over the past 12 months and generating no revenue, Oklo's small power plants could potentially meet energy needs for data centers, paving the way for future profitability and revenue generation.
- Stock Price Volatility Risks: Oklo's stock has fallen 20% this year and is down approximately 70% from its 52-week high of $193.84; while the lower price may seem attractive, the high valuation risks remain, necessitating careful evaluation of its investment appeal.
- Long Construction Cycles: The lengthy and costly construction of Oklo's power plants poses challenges, and while there are long-term opportunities, tight margins may hinder the company from reaching breakeven in the near term, prompting investors to monitor its financial developments closely.
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- Market Potential: According to MarketsandMarkets, the global data center power market is projected to reach $50.5 billion by 2030, with a compound annual growth rate of 7.5%, presenting long-term growth opportunities for Oklo, especially as AI drives increased demand for data centers.
- Financial Challenges: Despite incurring a net loss of $129 million over the past 12 months and generating no revenue, Oklo's small power plants could potentially generate significant revenue and profitability if they effectively meet the energy needs of data centers in the future.
- Investment Risks: Oklo's stock has fallen 20% this year and is down about 70% from its 52-week high of $193.84; while its valuation has decreased from peak levels, it still does not present a compelling buy opportunity, necessitating careful evaluation of its financial health and market demand shifts.
- Construction Costs and Time: Building power plants is time-consuming and costly, and Oklo faces risks such as tight margins and potential slowdowns in data center demand, suggesting that investors should place the stock on a watch list and wait for clearer financial indicators before considering investment.
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- Project Progress: Oklo announced that its Aurora nuclear project in Idaho has received preliminary safety analysis approval from the U.S. Department of Energy, marking a significant milestone for the company and paving the way for future nuclear facility deployments.
- Stock Price Surge: After two consecutive days of declines, Oklo's stock jumped 7.1% today to close at $57.85, reflecting positive investor sentiment following the company's regulatory approval, which has bolstered market confidence.
- Risk Assessment: While the preliminary approval reduces some risks associated with Oklo's stock, investors should remain cautious, as even with all necessary licenses, the profitability of nuclear energy projects remains uncertain, making it suitable for those with a higher risk tolerance.
- Investment Advice: For conservative investors seeking exposure to nuclear energy, various nuclear energy ETFs are available, offering more stable investment options and mitigating the potential risks associated with direct investment in Oklo.
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- Stock Surge: Oklo's stock jumped 7.1% to close at $57.85 after two consecutive days of declines, reflecting investor optimism about the company's future in the nuclear energy sector and its potential for growth.
- Regulatory Approval Milestone: The U.S. Department of Energy has approved Oklo's Preliminary Documented Safety Analysis (PDSA) for the Aurora powerhouse at Idaho National Laboratory, marking a significant step forward in the company's nuclear reactor pilot program.
- Foundation for Future Deployments: CEO Jacob DeWitte emphasized that this approval establishes a foundation for future Aurora deployments, indicating the company's strategic focus on advanced nuclear reactor facilities.
- Investment Risk Consideration: While the DOE approval mitigates some risks, investors should remain cautious as the profitability of Oklo's nuclear energy ambitions is not guaranteed, making it suitable for those comfortable with speculative investments.
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- Energy Sector Decline: The NYSE Energy Sector Index fell by 0.5% late Thursday afternoon, indicating a weakening confidence in energy stocks, likely influenced by concerns over global economic slowdown and uncertain demand outlook.
- Market Sentiment Deterioration: The sell-off in energy stocks may be linked to recent volatility in oil prices, exacerbating worries about future profitability and negatively impacting overall investor sentiment.
- Uncertain Industry Outlook: With the global economic growth slowing, expectations for energy demand growth are challenged, potentially leading to greater profit pressures on energy companies, which could further affect their stock performance.
- Investor Strategy Reevaluation: In light of the decline in energy stocks, investors may reassess their portfolios and consider reallocating funds to other sectors to mitigate risk, which could further intensify selling pressure on energy stocks.
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