The Math Shows XMAG Can Go To $22
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Dec 12 2024
0mins
Should l Buy CSL?
Source: NASDAQ.COM
ETF Analyst Target Price Insights: The Defiance Large Cap ex-Mag 7 ETF (XMAG) has an implied analyst target price of $22.44, indicating a potential upside of 10.17% from its current trading price of $20.37.
Notable Holdings with Upside Potential: Key underlying holdings such as Veeva Systems Inc, Dominion Energy Inc, and Carlisle Companies Inc show significant upside potential based on analysts' target prices, suggesting optimism about their future performance.
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Analyst Views on CSL
Wall Street analysts forecast CSL stock price to rise
4 Analyst Rating
2 Buy
2 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 373.960
Low
356.00
Averages
385.33
High
400.00
Current: 373.960
Low
356.00
Averages
385.33
High
400.00
About CSL
Carlisle Companies Incorporated is a manufacturer and supplier of building envelope products and solutions that enable energy efficiency in buildings. Its segments include Carlisle Construction Materials (CCM) and Carlisle Weatherproofing Technologies (CWT). The CCM segment produces a complete line of energy-efficient single-ply roofing products and warranted roof systems and accessories for the commercial building industry, including ethylene propylene diene monomer (EPDM), thermoplastic polyolefin (TPO) and polyvinyl chloride (PVC) membrane, polyisocyanurate (polyiso) insulation, and engineered metal roofing and wall panel systems for commercial and residential buildings. CWT segment produces building envelope solutions that drive energy efficiency and sustainability in commercial and residential applications. Its products include waterproofing and moisture protection products, protective roofing underlayments, fully integrated liquid and sheet applied air/vapor barriers and others.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
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- Revenue Decline Reasons: Carlisle Companies reported Q1 revenue of $1.1 billion, down 4% year-over-year, primarily due to winter weather delays and approximately $15 million in tariff-related order pull forward from Canadian customers, indicating significant external impacts on performance.
- Profitability Improvement: Adjusted EPS rose to $3.63, up 1% from last year, while adjusted EBITDA margin expanded by 50 basis points to 22.3%, reflecting positive outcomes from multi-quarter productivity and cost control measures despite pressured volumes.
- Pricing Strategy Adjustments: The company announced price increases for both CCM and CWT effective mid-April and implemented real-time freight surcharges, demonstrating proactive measures to address cost pressures amid oil and freight volatility, aimed at maintaining margins.
- Future Outlook Confirmation: Management reaffirmed its 2026 outlook for low single-digit revenue growth and approximately 50 basis points of adjusted EBITDA margin expansion, indicating confidence in future market conditions, particularly with pricing actions expected to drive double-digit EPS growth.
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- Earnings Decline: Carlisle Companies reported a net income of $127.7 million for Q1, translating to an EPS of $3.10, which is a decrease from last year's $143.3 million and $3.13 per share, indicating a weakening in profitability.
- Adjusted Earnings: Excluding certain items, the company reported adjusted earnings of $149.7 million, or $3.63 per share, suggesting some resilience in earnings despite the overall decline in net income.
- Revenue Drop: The company's revenue fell 4.0% to $1.052 billion from $1.096 billion in the same period last year, reflecting weakened market demand and increased competitive pressures.
- Future Outlook: Carlisle expects consolidated revenues for the full year 2026 to grow in the low single-digit percentage range year-over-year, indicating a cautiously optimistic view on future growth despite current performance challenges.
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- Earnings Beat: Carlisle Companies reported a Q1 non-GAAP EPS of $3.63, surpassing expectations by $0.29, which underscores the company's robust profitability in the current economic climate and boosts investor confidence.
- Stable Revenue: The company achieved revenue of $1.1 billion in Q1, flat year-over-year but exceeding market expectations by $40 million, indicating resilience in product demand amidst a competitive landscape and reflecting strong sales performance.
- Margin Improvement: Operating margin stood at 17.1% with an adjusted EBITDA margin of 22.3%, up 50 basis points year-over-year, demonstrating ongoing enhancements in cost control and operational efficiency that will support future profitability.
- Share Repurchase Program: Carlisle repurchased $250 million in shares this quarter while maintaining a $1 billion share repurchase target for 2026, signaling management's confidence in future growth and providing returns to shareholders.
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- Earnings Release Date: Carlisle Companies (CSL) is set to announce its Q1 earnings on April 23rd after market close, with consensus EPS estimate at $3.34, reflecting a 7.5% year-over-year decline, and revenue estimate at $1.06 billion, down 3.6% year-over-year, indicating market pressures.
- Historical Performance Review: Over the past two years, CSL has beaten EPS estimates 75% of the time and revenue estimates 50% of the time, showcasing stability in profitability; however, the recent downward revisions may impact investor confidence.
- Estimate Revision Dynamics: In the last three months, EPS estimates have seen one upward revision and six downward revisions, while revenue estimates have experienced no upward revisions and six downward revisions, reflecting a cautious market outlook that could affect stock performance.
- Market Reaction: Despite challenges, Carlisle Companies saw an after-hours jump as profits exceeded estimates, indicating investor confidence in the company's long-term growth potential, particularly supported by its Vision 2030 and innovation investments.
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