Stifel Upgrades Booz Allen to Buy Amid Recovery Signals
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 5 days ago
0mins
Source: seekingalpha
- Rating Upgrade: Stifel upgraded Booz Allen Hamilton (BAH) from Hold to Buy, arguing that the company has been sufficiently punished by investor concerns over federal spending, with a new price target of $110 implying significant upside from its closing price of $78.68 on May 22.
- Financial Performance: Booz Allen reported Q4 fiscal 2023 revenue of $2.78 billion, down 6.4% year-over-year but up 6.2% sequentially, while adjusted EBITDA margin improved to 11.1% from 10.6%, indicating effective contract execution and cost management efforts.
- Future Outlook: The company expects fiscal 2027 revenue between $11.2 billion and $11.7 billion, reflecting 0% to 4% growth, with mid-single-digit growth anticipated in national security and a projected high-single-digit decline in the civil segment, while management remains optimistic about the second half of the fiscal year.
- Improved Performance Metrics: Booz Allen's remaining performance obligations (RPOs) reached approximately $7 billion, a 13% increase year-over-year, covering 61% of the midpoint of its fiscal 2027 revenue guidance, which reduces the likelihood of future guidance cuts and bolsters market confidence.
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Analyst Views on BAH
Wall Street analysts forecast BAH stock price to rise
8 Analyst Rating
1 Buy
6 Hold
1 Sell
Hold
Current: 81.050
Low
90.00
Averages
101.29
High
115.00
Current: 81.050
Low
90.00
Averages
101.29
High
115.00
About BAH
Booz Allen Hamilton Holding Corporation is the parent company of management and technology consulting and engineering services firm, Booz Allen Hamilton Inc. It provides management and technology consulting, analytics, engineering, digital solutions, mission operations, and cyber services to U.S. and international governments. Its solutions include artificial intelligence, cloud, digital customer experience, elite training, enterprise DevSecOps, JADC2, mission readiness, security and workforce of the future. It supports critical missions for a range of federal government clients, including nearly all the U.S. government's cabinet-level departments, as well as for commercial clients, both domestically and internationally. It supports its federal government clients by helping them tackle challenges such as protecting soldiers in combat and supporting their families. It also provides technologies to evolve defense missions and delivers solutions to warfighters in the digital battlespace.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
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Stifel Upgrades Booz Allen to Buy Amid Recovery Signals
- Rating Upgrade: Stifel upgraded Booz Allen Hamilton (BAH) from Hold to Buy, arguing that the company has been sufficiently punished by investor concerns over federal spending, with a new price target of $110 implying significant upside from its closing price of $78.68 on May 22.
- Financial Performance: Booz Allen reported Q4 fiscal 2023 revenue of $2.78 billion, down 6.4% year-over-year but up 6.2% sequentially, while adjusted EBITDA margin improved to 11.1% from 10.6%, indicating effective contract execution and cost management efforts.
- Future Outlook: The company expects fiscal 2027 revenue between $11.2 billion and $11.7 billion, reflecting 0% to 4% growth, with mid-single-digit growth anticipated in national security and a projected high-single-digit decline in the civil segment, while management remains optimistic about the second half of the fiscal year.
- Improved Performance Metrics: Booz Allen's remaining performance obligations (RPOs) reached approximately $7 billion, a 13% increase year-over-year, covering 61% of the midpoint of its fiscal 2027 revenue guidance, which reduces the likelihood of future guidance cuts and bolsters market confidence.
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- Dividend Declaration: Booz Allen has declared a quarterly dividend of $0.59 per share, consistent with previous distributions, indicating the company's stable cash flow and profitability, which enhances investor confidence.
- Yield Information: The forward yield of 3.0% reflects the company's attractiveness in the current market environment, potentially drawing in more investors seeking stable income.
- Payment Schedule: The dividend will be payable on June 26, with a record date of June 10 and an ex-dividend date also on June 10, ensuring shareholders receive their returns promptly, thereby strengthening shareholder relations.
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Booz Allen Hamilton Exceeds Profit Expectations for FY2026
- Strong Financial Performance: Booz Allen Hamilton achieved an adjusted EBITDA of $1.2 billion with an 11% adjusted margin for FY2026, demonstrating resilience in profitability amidst challenges, with potential for further optimization to enhance overall financial health.
- Robust Backlog: The company ended FY2026 with a backlog exceeding $38 billion and a trailing 12-month book-to-bill ratio of 1.1 times, indicating strong market demand and significant revenue growth potential in the future.
- Healthy Free Cash Flow: Booz Allen generated $951 million in free cash flow for FY2026 and deployed $1.1 billion in capital through strategic investments, dividends, and share repurchases, showcasing flexibility in capital utilization and commitment to shareholder returns.
- Market Challenges and Outlook: Despite facing a 23% year-over-year decline in its Civil business for FY2026, Booz Allen anticipates continued challenges in FY2027, particularly in the first half, yet remains optimistic about growth in defense and cybersecurity sectors, planning to enhance margins through fixed-price contracts.
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- Financial Performance Overview: Booz Allen reported total revenue of $11.2 billion for fiscal year 2026, with adjusted EBITDA of $1.2 billion and adjusted EPS of $6.51, demonstrating resilience as profitability exceeded expectations despite a 6.4% decline in overall revenue.
- Civil Business Challenges: The Civil segment experienced a 23% year-over-year decline in Q4, yet the book-to-bill ratio of 1.2 suggests potential recovery opportunities, particularly in the medium to long term, as demand begins to stabilize.
- Leadership Changes: The appointments of new CFO Troy Lahr and COO Kristine Martin Anderson signify a strategic shift in management aimed at enhancing operational efficiency and market responsiveness, which could positively impact future performance.
- Future Outlook: For fiscal year 2027, revenue is expected to range between $11.2 billion and $11.7 billion, with mid-single-digit growth in the national security portfolio and a high-single-digit decline in the Civil segment, reflecting market volatility and the company's cautious approach to future guidance.
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- Market Outlook: Despite challenges faced by Meta and Microsoft, Cramer remains cautiously optimistic about their future performance, suggesting that these companies could achieve breakthroughs in the evolving AI landscape.
- Emerging Investment Opportunities: Stocks like Arm Holdings and Broadcom are showing strong performance, particularly in the data center and AI chip sectors, reflecting robust market demand for related technologies, making them worth watching for long-term growth potential.
See More
Stifel Upgrades Booz Allen to Buy Amid Recovery Signals
- Rating Upgrade: Stifel upgraded Booz Allen Hamilton (BAH) from Hold to Buy, arguing that the company has been sufficiently punished by investor concerns over federal spending, with a new price target of $110 implying significant upside from its closing price of $78.68 on May 22.
- Financial Performance: Booz Allen reported Q4 fiscal 2023 revenue of $2.78 billion, down 6.4% year-over-year but up 6.2% sequentially, while adjusted EBITDA margin improved to 11.1% from 10.6%, indicating effective contract execution and cost management efforts.
- Future Outlook: The company expects fiscal 2027 revenue between $11.2 billion and $11.7 billion, reflecting 0% to 4% growth, with mid-single-digit growth anticipated in national security and a projected high-single-digit decline in the civil segment, while management remains optimistic about the second half of the fiscal year.
- Improved Performance Metrics: Booz Allen's remaining performance obligations (RPOs) reached approximately $7 billion, a 13% increase year-over-year, covering 61% of the midpoint of its fiscal 2027 revenue guidance, which reduces the likelihood of future guidance cuts and bolsters market confidence.
See More
Latest Wall Street Rating Updates
- Vipshop Rating Upgrade: UBS upgraded Vipshop (VIPS) from Neutral to Buy, indicating that despite near-term growth pressures, the company's earnings quality and shareholder returns are more attractive, showcasing resilience in a competitive e-commerce landscape.
- Seaport Therapeutics Initiation: JPMorgan initiated coverage on Seaport Therapeutics (SPTX) with an Overweight rating and a price target of $42 for December 2027, reflecting bullish sentiment and highlighting the company's potential for growth in the biotech sector.
- Apple Price Target Increase: Bank of America raised its price target on Apple (AAPL) from $330 to $380, emphasizing significant opportunities in agentic AI, while reiterating a Buy rating, which underscores confidence in the company's future growth trajectory.
- Dave Inc. Initial Rating: UBS initiated coverage on Dave Inc. with a Buy rating and a price target of $300, suggesting that the market underestimates the durability of its high-velocity credit model and earnings growth trajectory, indicating strong future potential.
See More
Booz Allen Declares Quarterly Dividend of $0.59
- Dividend Declaration: Booz Allen has declared a quarterly dividend of $0.59 per share, consistent with previous distributions, indicating the company's stable cash flow and profitability, which enhances investor confidence.
- Yield Information: The forward yield of 3.0% reflects the company's attractiveness in the current market environment, potentially drawing in more investors seeking stable income.
- Payment Schedule: The dividend will be payable on June 26, with a record date of June 10 and an ex-dividend date also on June 10, ensuring shareholders receive their returns promptly, thereby strengthening shareholder relations.
- Dividend Growth Potential: Booz Allen's history of dividend growth and stable payout policy may attract long-term investors, supporting the company's performance in future capital markets.
See More
Booz Allen Hamilton Exceeds Profit Expectations for FY2026
- Strong Financial Performance: Booz Allen Hamilton achieved an adjusted EBITDA of $1.2 billion with an 11% adjusted margin for FY2026, demonstrating resilience in profitability amidst challenges, with potential for further optimization to enhance overall financial health.
- Robust Backlog: The company ended FY2026 with a backlog exceeding $38 billion and a trailing 12-month book-to-bill ratio of 1.1 times, indicating strong market demand and significant revenue growth potential in the future.
- Healthy Free Cash Flow: Booz Allen generated $951 million in free cash flow for FY2026 and deployed $1.1 billion in capital through strategic investments, dividends, and share repurchases, showcasing flexibility in capital utilization and commitment to shareholder returns.
- Market Challenges and Outlook: Despite facing a 23% year-over-year decline in its Civil business for FY2026, Booz Allen anticipates continued challenges in FY2027, particularly in the first half, yet remains optimistic about growth in defense and cybersecurity sectors, planning to enhance margins through fixed-price contracts.
See More
Booz Allen Hamilton Q4 Fiscal 2026 Earnings Call Insights
- Financial Performance Overview: Booz Allen reported total revenue of $11.2 billion for fiscal year 2026, with adjusted EBITDA of $1.2 billion and adjusted EPS of $6.51, demonstrating resilience as profitability exceeded expectations despite a 6.4% decline in overall revenue.
- Civil Business Challenges: The Civil segment experienced a 23% year-over-year decline in Q4, yet the book-to-bill ratio of 1.2 suggests potential recovery opportunities, particularly in the medium to long term, as demand begins to stabilize.
- Leadership Changes: The appointments of new CFO Troy Lahr and COO Kristine Martin Anderson signify a strategic shift in management aimed at enhancing operational efficiency and market responsiveness, which could positively impact future performance.
- Future Outlook: For fiscal year 2027, revenue is expected to range between $11.2 billion and $11.7 billion, with mid-single-digit growth in the national security portfolio and a high-single-digit decline in the Civil segment, reflecting market volatility and the company's cautious approach to future guidance.
See More
