Recession fears overdone? Credit markets said to price in much lower risk
Market Recession Fears: The U.S. stock market is perceived to be overestimating recession risks, with credit markets indicating only a 9%-12% chance of a recession compared to the S&P 500's 33% estimate; JPMorgan's chief economist suggests a 40% likelihood.
Equity Market Outlook: Despite recent declines in U.S. equities due to tariff concerns and investor sentiment, JPMorgan strategists believe potential buying from institutional investors could stabilize the market, contrasting with more pessimistic views from other analysts like Citigroup and Goldman Sachs.
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Analyst Views on QQQM
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Invesco NASDAQ 100 ETF announces quarterly payout of $0.3230
Invesco NASDAQ 100 ETF (QQQM) Dividend: QQQM has declared a dividend of $0.3230, with a 30-Day SEC Yield of 0.50% as of December 21, payable on December 26 for shareholders of record on December 22.
Investment Strategy: The author plans to shift from stock picking to investing in QQQM and TQQQ to outperform the market by 2026, favoring QQQM for its cost-effective leverage.
Market Volatility: Investors are advised to prepare for increased market volatility due to the upcoming quadruple witching day, which typically sees heightened trading activity.
Economic Concerns: Apollo has raised concerns about stagflation as the Federal Reserve navigates the challenges of balancing inflation and job market risks for 2026.
What Has Been the Performance of Costco (COST) Stock for Investors?
Recent Performance: A $10,000 investment in Costco six months ago would now be worth $8,769, reflecting a total return of negative 12.3%, while the stock has outperformed the S&P 500 and NASDAQ-100 over the past five years.
Market Sentiment: Despite recent underperformance, bullish investors view the current dip as a buying opportunity, citing Costco's strong financial results and increased sales due to consumer demand for cost-saving goods.
Valuation Concerns: Critics point out that Costco's stock trades at high valuation ratios, with a current multiple of 50, raising concerns about its sustainability in a challenging economic environment marked by rising operating costs.
Investment Recommendations: The Motley Fool's Stock Advisor has identified ten stocks as better investment opportunities than Costco at this time, highlighting the potential for significant returns from those recommendations.
ETF Inflow Update: QQQM, AMAT, LIN, TXN
52-Week Range of QQQM: QQQM's share price has a 52-week low of $165.72 and a high of $262.23, with the last trade recorded at $256.68.
Understanding ETFs: Exchange-traded funds (ETFs) function like stocks, where investors buy and sell "units" that can be created or destroyed based on demand.
Monitoring ETF Flows: Weekly monitoring of shares outstanding helps identify ETFs with significant inflows (new units created) or outflows (old units destroyed), impacting the underlying holdings.
Author's Views: The opinions expressed in the article are those of the author and do not necessarily represent the views of Nasdaq, Inc.
Nvidia's Strong Earnings Boost Tech Sector: Key ETFs Rise Amid AI Excitement
Nvidia's Strong Earnings Report: Nvidia reported a revenue of $57 billion for the quarter ending in October, a 62% year-over-year increase, primarily driven by AI and data center demand, and provided a Q4 revenue guidance of $65 billion, surpassing analyst expectations.
Impact on ETFs: Nvidia's impressive earnings led to a significant rally in ETFs heavily invested in the company, including semiconductor and tech-focused funds, with many experiencing sharp increases in their net asset values.
Global Market Reaction: The positive results from Nvidia boosted semiconductor stocks globally, with companies in Europe and Asia also seeing gains, indicating a synchronized strength in the semiconductor sector.
Valuation Concerns: Despite the strong performance, analysts caution about the interconnectedness and potential fragility of the AI ecosystem, suggesting that while Nvidia remains robust, some valuations in the sector appear stretched.
US ETF Inflows Reach All-Time High—VOO, SPY, and QQQ Propel Big Three's Control of $13 Trillion Market
U.S. ETF Industry Growth: The U.S. ETF industry has reached a record $13.08 trillion in assets, with October alone seeing $186.19 billion in net inflows, marking the largest monthly increase ever and bringing year-to-date inflows to $1.14 trillion.
Market Consolidation: Despite the growth in the number of ETFs, the market is increasingly dominated by the top three providers—iShares, Vanguard, and SPDR—who collectively hold 72.1% of U.S. ETF assets.
Top Performing ETFs: The Vanguard S&P 500 ETF (VOO) led October inflows with $17.74 billion, followed by SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) and Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ), reflecting strong investor interest in both equity and tech-focused funds.
Diverse Inflows Across Asset Classes: Inflows were also significant in fixed-income and alternative assets, with notable contributions from iShares U.S. Treasury Bond ETF and iShares Bitcoin Trust, indicating a broad interest in various investment strategies amid market volatility.
Significant Inflows into QQQM ETF
52-Week Range of QQQM: QQQM's share price has a 52-week low of $165.72 and a high of $262.23, with the last trade recorded at $253.27.
Understanding ETFs: Exchange-traded funds (ETFs) function like stocks, where investors buy and sell "units" that can be created or destroyed based on demand.
Monitoring ETF Flows: Weekly monitoring of shares outstanding helps identify ETFs with significant inflows (new units created) or outflows (units destroyed), impacting the underlying holdings.
Author's Views: The opinions expressed in the article are those of the author and do not necessarily represent the views of Nasdaq, Inc.
Invesco NASDAQ 100 ETF announces quarterly payout of $0.3230
Invesco NASDAQ 100 ETF (QQQM) Dividend: QQQM has declared a dividend of $0.3230, with a 30-Day SEC Yield of 0.50% as of December 21, payable on December 26 for shareholders of record on December 22.
Investment Strategy: The author plans to shift from stock picking to investing in QQQM and TQQQ to outperform the market by 2026, favoring QQQM for its cost-effective leverage.
Market Volatility: Investors are advised to prepare for increased market volatility due to the upcoming quadruple witching day, which typically sees heightened trading activity.
Economic Concerns: Apollo has raised concerns about stagflation as the Federal Reserve navigates the challenges of balancing inflation and job market risks for 2026.
What Has Been the Performance of Costco (COST) Stock for Investors?
Recent Performance: A $10,000 investment in Costco six months ago would now be worth $8,769, reflecting a total return of negative 12.3%, while the stock has outperformed the S&P 500 and NASDAQ-100 over the past five years.
Market Sentiment: Despite recent underperformance, bullish investors view the current dip as a buying opportunity, citing Costco's strong financial results and increased sales due to consumer demand for cost-saving goods.
Valuation Concerns: Critics point out that Costco's stock trades at high valuation ratios, with a current multiple of 50, raising concerns about its sustainability in a challenging economic environment marked by rising operating costs.
Investment Recommendations: The Motley Fool's Stock Advisor has identified ten stocks as better investment opportunities than Costco at this time, highlighting the potential for significant returns from those recommendations.
ETF Inflow Update: QQQM, AMAT, LIN, TXN
52-Week Range of QQQM: QQQM's share price has a 52-week low of $165.72 and a high of $262.23, with the last trade recorded at $256.68.
Understanding ETFs: Exchange-traded funds (ETFs) function like stocks, where investors buy and sell "units" that can be created or destroyed based on demand.
Monitoring ETF Flows: Weekly monitoring of shares outstanding helps identify ETFs with significant inflows (new units created) or outflows (old units destroyed), impacting the underlying holdings.
Author's Views: The opinions expressed in the article are those of the author and do not necessarily represent the views of Nasdaq, Inc.
Nvidia's Strong Earnings Boost Tech Sector: Key ETFs Rise Amid AI Excitement
Nvidia's Strong Earnings Report: Nvidia reported a revenue of $57 billion for the quarter ending in October, a 62% year-over-year increase, primarily driven by AI and data center demand, and provided a Q4 revenue guidance of $65 billion, surpassing analyst expectations.
Impact on ETFs: Nvidia's impressive earnings led to a significant rally in ETFs heavily invested in the company, including semiconductor and tech-focused funds, with many experiencing sharp increases in their net asset values.
Global Market Reaction: The positive results from Nvidia boosted semiconductor stocks globally, with companies in Europe and Asia also seeing gains, indicating a synchronized strength in the semiconductor sector.
Valuation Concerns: Despite the strong performance, analysts caution about the interconnectedness and potential fragility of the AI ecosystem, suggesting that while Nvidia remains robust, some valuations in the sector appear stretched.
US ETF Inflows Reach All-Time High—VOO, SPY, and QQQ Propel Big Three's Control of $13 Trillion Market
U.S. ETF Industry Growth: The U.S. ETF industry has reached a record $13.08 trillion in assets, with October alone seeing $186.19 billion in net inflows, marking the largest monthly increase ever and bringing year-to-date inflows to $1.14 trillion.
Market Consolidation: Despite the growth in the number of ETFs, the market is increasingly dominated by the top three providers—iShares, Vanguard, and SPDR—who collectively hold 72.1% of U.S. ETF assets.
Top Performing ETFs: The Vanguard S&P 500 ETF (VOO) led October inflows with $17.74 billion, followed by SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) and Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ), reflecting strong investor interest in both equity and tech-focused funds.
Diverse Inflows Across Asset Classes: Inflows were also significant in fixed-income and alternative assets, with notable contributions from iShares U.S. Treasury Bond ETF and iShares Bitcoin Trust, indicating a broad interest in various investment strategies amid market volatility.
Significant Inflows into QQQM ETF
52-Week Range of QQQM: QQQM's share price has a 52-week low of $165.72 and a high of $262.23, with the last trade recorded at $253.27.
Understanding ETFs: Exchange-traded funds (ETFs) function like stocks, where investors buy and sell "units" that can be created or destroyed based on demand.
Monitoring ETF Flows: Weekly monitoring of shares outstanding helps identify ETFs with significant inflows (new units created) or outflows (units destroyed), impacting the underlying holdings.
Author's Views: The opinions expressed in the article are those of the author and do not necessarily represent the views of Nasdaq, Inc.
