Railcar Giant Greenbrier Faces Setback In Q3 - Can New Railcar Orders Turn the Tide?
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Jul 08 2024
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Should l Buy GBX?
Source: Benzinga
Greenbrier Companies Q3 FY24 Results:
- Revenue declined to $820.2 million, missing consensus.
- Lease fleet utilization was around 99%, with fleet size increasing by 600 units.
- Secured orders for 6,300 new railcars worth $830 million and delivered 5,400 units in the quarter.
- EBITDA was $104 million with a margin of 13%, while EPS of $1.06 missed expectations.
- Cash and equivalents stood at $291.8 million as of May end.
FY24 Outlook for Greenbrier Companies:
- Revised revenue guidance to $3.50 billion-$3.60 billion.
- Expects to deliver 23,500 – 24,000 units, including around 1,400 units in Brazil.
- Projects capital expenditures and gross leasing investments.
- Anticipates proceeds from equipment sales of around $75 million.
- CEO Lorie L. Tekorius highlighted strong EPS performance driven by efficiencies and execution.
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Analyst Views on GBX
Wall Street analysts forecast GBX stock price to fall
3 Analyst Rating
1 Buy
0 Hold
2 Sell
Moderate Sell
Current: 50.310
Low
38.00
Averages
46.33
High
52.00
Current: 50.310
Low
38.00
Averages
46.33
High
52.00
About GBX
The Greenbrier Companies, Inc. is an international supplier of equipment and services to global freight transportation markets. The Company designs, builds and markets freight railcars in North America, Europe and Brazil. It is a provider of freight railcar wheel services, parts, maintenance and retrofitting services in North America through its maintenance services business unit. It owns a lease fleet of approximately 15,500 railcars that originate primarily from its manufacturing operations. The Company offers railcar management, regulatory compliance services and leasing services to railroads and other railcar owners in North America. Its products include freight railcars, tank cars, intermodal railcars, automotive and sustainable conversions. Its North American management services business offers a range of software and services that include railcar maintenance management, railcar accounting services, total fleet management, fleet logistics, administration and railcar re-marketing.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Earnings Decline: Greenbrier reported Q2 earnings per share of $0.47, significantly below the analyst consensus of $0.82, with revenue of $587.5 million missing estimates of $663.67 million, indicating severe market challenges faced by the company.
- Stock Price Plunge: Following the earnings report, the company's stock fell approximately 6.1% in after-hours trading and further declined about 7.8% in Wednesday's premarket, reflecting investor concerns regarding the company's outlook.
- Full-Year Outlook Downgrade: Management cut its FY2026 revenue forecast to $2.4B–$2.5B from $2.7B–$3.2B due to delivery timing shifts and a slower production ramp, highlighting operational pressures on the company.
- Dividend Increase: Despite the disappointing performance, the board approved a 6% increase in the quarterly dividend to $0.34 per share, aiming to bolster investor confidence and maintain shareholder returns.
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- Strong Financial Performance: Greenbrier reported $588 million in revenue for Q2 with a gross margin of 11.8% and operating income of $25 million, or 4.3% of revenue, indicating enhanced profitability under stable delivery levels and reflecting the resilience of its business model.
- Robust Liquidity: The company boasts over $1 billion in liquidity, including $520 million in cash and $560 million in available borrowing capacity, providing flexibility for future investments and shareholder returns, thereby boosting market confidence.
- Delivery and Revenue Challenges: Although deliveries and revenues decreased sequentially in Q2, this was in line with expectations, and some deliveries are being pushed to FY2027 due to extended customer decision-making times, highlighting market uncertainties.
- Optimistic Future Outlook: The company anticipates total revenue guidance of $2.4 billion to $2.5 billion for FY2026, with gross margin guidance of 14.8% to 15.2% and EPS guidance of $3 to $3.50, indicating management's confidence in future performance.
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- Significant Profit Decline: Greenbrier Companies reported a Q2 net profit of $15 million, or $0.47 per share, which is a substantial drop from last year's $51.9 million and $1.56 per share, indicating a marked decrease in profitability.
- Revenue Decline: The company's Q2 revenue fell to $587.5 million, a 22.9% decrease from $762.1 million last year, reflecting weak market demand and sales challenges.
- Guidance Adjustment: Greenbrier revised its FY26 revenue guidance down to $2.4 billion to $2.5 billion from the previous $2.7 billion to $3.2 billion, demonstrating a cautious outlook on future market conditions.
- Earnings Per Share Downgrade: The company lowered its FY26 EPS guidance from $3.75-$4.75 to $3.00-$3.50, indicating a more conservative outlook on profitability, which may affect investor confidence.
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- Strong Earnings Performance: Greenbrier reported a Q2 non-GAAP EPS of $0.47, demonstrating the company's resilience in the current economic environment and further solidifying its market position in the rail industry.
- Robust Cash Flow: The company reported operating cash flow of $159 million, indicating high operational efficiency and effective cost management, which supports future investments and expansion plans.
- Dividend Increase: The board raised the quarterly dividend by 6% to $0.34 per share, marking Greenbrier's 48th consecutive dividend increase, reflecting the company's ongoing commitment to shareholder returns and financial health.
- Increased Market Attention: Greenbrier's strong earnings report has attracted more investor interest, especially against the backdrop of the current economic recovery, potentially driving its stock price up and enhancing market confidence.
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- Earnings Release: Greenbrier Companies, Inc. announced its fiscal Q2 2026 financial results on April 7, 2026, through an 8-K filing with the SEC, reflecting its ongoing performance in the global freight market.
- Live Webcast: The company will host a live audio webcast at 2:00 p.m. Pacific Time (5:00 p.m. Eastern Time) to discuss the financial results in detail and address investor inquiries.
- Company Overview: Headquartered in Lake Oswego, Oregon, Greenbrier is a leading international supplier of equipment and services to the global freight transportation market, focusing on the design, manufacture, and marketing of freight railcars across North America, Europe, and Brazil.
- Leasing Operations: Greenbrier owns a lease fleet of approximately 16,800 railcars primarily from its manufacturing operations, offering railcar management, regulatory compliance services, and leasing services, thereby reinforcing its leadership position in the North American market.
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