Projected Target Price for TDIV Analyst: $113
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Nov 05 2025
0mins
Source: NASDAQ.COM
ETF Target Price Analysis: The First Trust NASDAQ Technology Dividend Index Fund ETF (TDIV) has an implied analyst target price of $113.24, indicating a potential upside of 15.39% from its current trading price of $98.14.
Notable Holdings with Upside: Key underlying holdings of TDIV, including PC Connection, Inc. (CNXN), SAP SE, and Science Applications International Corp (SAIC), show significant upside potential, with target prices exceeding their recent trading prices by 29.83%, 27.80%, and 26.45%, respectively.
Analyst Target Justification: The article raises questions about whether analysts' target prices are justified or overly optimistic, suggesting that high targets could lead to future downgrades if they do not align with recent developments in the companies or industry.
Investor Research Recommendation: Investors are encouraged to conduct further research to assess the validity of analyst targets and to understand the implications of high price targets relative to current stock prices.
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Analyst Views on SAIC
Wall Street analysts forecast SAIC stock price to rise
6 Analyst Rating
2 Buy
4 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 108.870
Low
113.00
Averages
122.00
High
128.00
Current: 108.870
Low
113.00
Averages
122.00
High
128.00
About SAIC
Science Applications International Corporation is a technology integrator providing full life cycle services and solutions in the technical, engineering, mission and enterprise information technology (IT) markets. The Company's portfolio of offerings across the defense, space, civilian and intelligence markets include secure solutions in mission IT, enterprise IT, engineering services and professional services. It integrates emerging technology securely into mission critical operations that modernize and enable critical national imperatives, including IT modernization, digital engineering, artificial intelligence and ground vehicle support. Its segments include Defense & Intelligence, and Civilian. Defense & Intelligence segment provides a diverse portfolio of national security solutions to the Department of Defense and Intelligence Community of the United States Government. Civilian segment provides solutions to the civilian markets, encompassing federal, state, and local governments.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
SAIC Secures $192M U.S. Air Force Contract for Digital Infrastructure
- Contract Award: SAIC announced it has secured a position on the U.S. Air Force's ABMS Digital Infrastructure Network Developer program, with an estimated contract value of $192 million, marking a significant expansion in the defense sector.
- Support for Modernization: This contract will support the Air Force Battle Network and broader CJADC2 modernization efforts, highlighting SAIC's critical role in enhancing military communications and connectivity.
- Technology Integration: SAIC plans to integrate advanced commercial technologies and accelerate AI capabilities under this program, aiming to elevate military technology and operational efficiency.
- Market Outlook: With increasing defense spending and modernization demands, this contract not only boosts SAIC's revenue outlook but also strengthens its competitive position in the defense contracting market.
See More
SAIC Secures $192 Million Air Force Digital Infrastructure Contract
- Contract Value: SAIC has been awarded a $192 million contract for the U.S. Air Force's Advanced Battle Management System Digital Infrastructure Network Developer program, highlighting the company's significant role in defense digital transformation.
- Technical Implementation: This contract will advance the Air Force's Battle Network program, with SAIC responsible for the design, development, and deployment of critical elements aimed at enhancing command and control capabilities across all warfighting domains, ensuring real-time data access for warfighters at all levels.
- Strategic Importance: SAIC's technology will integrate cross-domain data, enhancing decision-making advantages for warfighters and supporting full-spectrum operational capabilities from competition to combat, thereby improving operational efficiency and rapid response capabilities.
- Partnerships: SAIC will collaborate with leading network and original equipment manufacturers to integrate best-in-breed commercial and emerging technologies, accelerating AI deployment to the front lines, which will enhance military effectiveness and decision-making speed.
See More
SAIC Secures $50.6 Million Navy Contract for Torpedo Defense
- Significant Contract Value: SAIC has been awarded a follow-on task order worth $50.6 million from the U.S. Navy to continue providing critical torpedo defense system design, modernization, and sustainment services, further solidifying its long-term partnership with the Navy.
- Driving Technological Innovation: By leveraging advanced digital engineering capabilities, SAIC aims to streamline the design conceptualization, prototyping, and fabrication processes of hardware and software, thereby enhancing the overall effectiveness of the Navy's torpedo defense systems to ensure mission success in evolving maritime threat environments.
- Broad System Support: The contract will support multiple key NUWC torpedo defense systems, including the AN/SLQ-25 Torpedo Countermeasures Transmitting Set and Acoustic Device Countermeasures, ensuring the Navy is equipped with modern defense capabilities to counter emerging threats.
- Strategic Partnership: SAIC's long-standing collaboration with the Navy is built on trust and technical excellence, and this contract reflects the Navy's confidence in SAIC's team's ability to deliver modern torpedo defense systems, further enhancing SAIC's position in the defense market.
See More
SAIC Reports Strong Earnings, Raises EBITDA Guidance
- Strong Financial Performance: SAIC reported first-quarter revenue of $1.9 billion, reflecting organic growth of 0.5%, with adjusted EBITDA of $222 million showcasing robust program execution and cost efficiency, further solidifying the company's market position in defense and intelligence sectors.
- Sustained Strong Cash Flow: Free cash flow reached $118 million, maintaining industry-best cash conversion rates, which reflects the company's efficiency in capital allocation and provides a solid foundation for future investments and shareholder returns.
- Strong Market Demand: SAIC's net bookings totaled $2.1 billion, resulting in a quarterly book-to-bill ratio of 1.1, indicating excellent performance in contract wins, particularly in Navy and Army businesses, with promising growth potential ahead.
- Strategic Adjustments and Challenges: While the company raised its EBITDA guidance to 10.1%-10.3% for the year, it still faces challenges in achieving sustained organic growth, particularly amid recompete scenarios, necessitating a cautious approach to market volatility and potential uncertainties.
See More
SAIC Raises FY 2027 Profit Outlook Amidst Conservative Revenue Guidance
- Profit Outlook Raised: SAIC has increased its adjusted earnings per share forecast for FY 2027 to between $9.90 and $10.10, up from the previous range of $9.50 to $9.70, indicating confidence in future profitability.
- Stable Revenue Guidance: While maintaining its revenue guidance for FY 2027 at $7.0 to $7.2 billion, the CFO emphasized a cautious approach in a dynamic environment, reflecting ongoing uncertainty regarding future growth.
- Contract Loss Impact: The unsuccessful renewal of the Ritz contract is expected to create a $200 million headwind in FY 2027, with this loss likely manifesting in Q3 rather than Q2, affecting the company's overall performance.
- Improved Market Sentiment: SAIC's stock has gained over 20% year-to-date, with retail sentiment shifting from 'bullish' to 'extremely bullish', indicating increased investor confidence in the company's future prospects.
See More
SAIC Reports Strong Q1 2027 Earnings, Shares Surge
- Earnings Beat: SAIC's Q1 2027 revenue reached $1.9 billion, surpassing analysts' expectations of $1.82 billion, demonstrating the company's robust performance in the digital solutions sector and solidifying its market position.
- Profitability Improvement: The reported adjusted EPS of $3.23 significantly exceeded the anticipated $2.28, indicating substantial progress in cost control and operational efficiency within the company.
- Optimistic Outlook: Management raised the adjusted EBITDA forecast for FY 2027 to $720 million to $730 million, reflecting confidence in future performance, while also increasing the adjusted diluted EPS forecast to $9.90 to $10.10, showcasing the company's ongoing growth potential.
- Increased Backlog: As of Q1 2027, SAIC's backlog rose to $22.9 billion from $22.3 billion a year ago, indicating strong market demand, and with the current stock price trading below the five-year average P/E ratio, the investment appeal is highlighted.
See More
SAIC Secures $192M U.S. Air Force Contract for Digital Infrastructure
- Contract Award: SAIC announced it has secured a position on the U.S. Air Force's ABMS Digital Infrastructure Network Developer program, with an estimated contract value of $192 million, marking a significant expansion in the defense sector.
- Support for Modernization: This contract will support the Air Force Battle Network and broader CJADC2 modernization efforts, highlighting SAIC's critical role in enhancing military communications and connectivity.
- Technology Integration: SAIC plans to integrate advanced commercial technologies and accelerate AI capabilities under this program, aiming to elevate military technology and operational efficiency.
- Market Outlook: With increasing defense spending and modernization demands, this contract not only boosts SAIC's revenue outlook but also strengthens its competitive position in the defense contracting market.
See More
SAIC Secures $192 Million Air Force Digital Infrastructure Contract
- Contract Value: SAIC has been awarded a $192 million contract for the U.S. Air Force's Advanced Battle Management System Digital Infrastructure Network Developer program, highlighting the company's significant role in defense digital transformation.
- Technical Implementation: This contract will advance the Air Force's Battle Network program, with SAIC responsible for the design, development, and deployment of critical elements aimed at enhancing command and control capabilities across all warfighting domains, ensuring real-time data access for warfighters at all levels.
- Strategic Importance: SAIC's technology will integrate cross-domain data, enhancing decision-making advantages for warfighters and supporting full-spectrum operational capabilities from competition to combat, thereby improving operational efficiency and rapid response capabilities.
- Partnerships: SAIC will collaborate with leading network and original equipment manufacturers to integrate best-in-breed commercial and emerging technologies, accelerating AI deployment to the front lines, which will enhance military effectiveness and decision-making speed.
See More
SAIC Secures $50.6 Million Navy Contract for Torpedo Defense
- Significant Contract Value: SAIC has been awarded a follow-on task order worth $50.6 million from the U.S. Navy to continue providing critical torpedo defense system design, modernization, and sustainment services, further solidifying its long-term partnership with the Navy.
- Driving Technological Innovation: By leveraging advanced digital engineering capabilities, SAIC aims to streamline the design conceptualization, prototyping, and fabrication processes of hardware and software, thereby enhancing the overall effectiveness of the Navy's torpedo defense systems to ensure mission success in evolving maritime threat environments.
- Broad System Support: The contract will support multiple key NUWC torpedo defense systems, including the AN/SLQ-25 Torpedo Countermeasures Transmitting Set and Acoustic Device Countermeasures, ensuring the Navy is equipped with modern defense capabilities to counter emerging threats.
- Strategic Partnership: SAIC's long-standing collaboration with the Navy is built on trust and technical excellence, and this contract reflects the Navy's confidence in SAIC's team's ability to deliver modern torpedo defense systems, further enhancing SAIC's position in the defense market.
See More
SAIC Reports Strong Earnings, Raises EBITDA Guidance
- Strong Financial Performance: SAIC reported first-quarter revenue of $1.9 billion, reflecting organic growth of 0.5%, with adjusted EBITDA of $222 million showcasing robust program execution and cost efficiency, further solidifying the company's market position in defense and intelligence sectors.
- Sustained Strong Cash Flow: Free cash flow reached $118 million, maintaining industry-best cash conversion rates, which reflects the company's efficiency in capital allocation and provides a solid foundation for future investments and shareholder returns.
- Strong Market Demand: SAIC's net bookings totaled $2.1 billion, resulting in a quarterly book-to-bill ratio of 1.1, indicating excellent performance in contract wins, particularly in Navy and Army businesses, with promising growth potential ahead.
- Strategic Adjustments and Challenges: While the company raised its EBITDA guidance to 10.1%-10.3% for the year, it still faces challenges in achieving sustained organic growth, particularly amid recompete scenarios, necessitating a cautious approach to market volatility and potential uncertainties.
See More
SAIC Raises FY 2027 Profit Outlook Amidst Conservative Revenue Guidance
- Profit Outlook Raised: SAIC has increased its adjusted earnings per share forecast for FY 2027 to between $9.90 and $10.10, up from the previous range of $9.50 to $9.70, indicating confidence in future profitability.
- Stable Revenue Guidance: While maintaining its revenue guidance for FY 2027 at $7.0 to $7.2 billion, the CFO emphasized a cautious approach in a dynamic environment, reflecting ongoing uncertainty regarding future growth.
- Contract Loss Impact: The unsuccessful renewal of the Ritz contract is expected to create a $200 million headwind in FY 2027, with this loss likely manifesting in Q3 rather than Q2, affecting the company's overall performance.
- Improved Market Sentiment: SAIC's stock has gained over 20% year-to-date, with retail sentiment shifting from 'bullish' to 'extremely bullish', indicating increased investor confidence in the company's future prospects.
See More
SAIC Reports Strong Q1 2027 Earnings, Shares Surge
- Earnings Beat: SAIC's Q1 2027 revenue reached $1.9 billion, surpassing analysts' expectations of $1.82 billion, demonstrating the company's robust performance in the digital solutions sector and solidifying its market position.
- Profitability Improvement: The reported adjusted EPS of $3.23 significantly exceeded the anticipated $2.28, indicating substantial progress in cost control and operational efficiency within the company.
- Optimistic Outlook: Management raised the adjusted EBITDA forecast for FY 2027 to $720 million to $730 million, reflecting confidence in future performance, while also increasing the adjusted diluted EPS forecast to $9.90 to $10.10, showcasing the company's ongoing growth potential.
- Increased Backlog: As of Q1 2027, SAIC's backlog rose to $22.9 billion from $22.3 billion a year ago, indicating strong market demand, and with the current stock price trading below the five-year average P/E ratio, the investment appeal is highlighted.
See More
