My Favorite 10 Investments for 2026
Market Performance: Wall Street has seen significant gains in 2025, with the Dow Jones, S&P 500, and Nasdaq up 14%, 16%, and 20% year-to-date, respectively, while the author remains focused on long-term investments despite being a net seller of stocks.
Top Holdings and Strategies: The author emphasizes the strength of their top 10 holdings, which account for over 81% of their portfolio, and highlights companies like SSR Mining and Teva Pharmaceutical as key players benefiting from market trends and strategic shifts.
Investment in ETFs and Cash Management: The author utilizes the iShares 0-3 Month Treasury Bond ETF for cash management, achieving a better yield compared to traditional brokerage cash accounts, while maintaining a long-term investment strategy.
Growth Potential in Digital Advertising: Companies like Meta Platforms, PubMatic, Pinterest, and PayPal are noted for their strong positions in digital advertising, with potential for growth despite current market challenges, showcasing the importance of advertising revenue in their business models.
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- Portfolio Performance: Despite a strong global equity market in 2025 driven by AI and top tech stocks, Montaka's portfolio underperformed due to significant dispersion in stock returns, with some holdings declining from short-term factors like AI disruption and weakness in housing sectors, indicating market uncertainty.
- Positive Market Outlook: Montaka maintains a positive outlook, believing that long-term opportunities will grow as AI adoption accelerates, particularly in investments in data centers, semiconductors, and critical commodities like lithium, reflecting confidence in structural trends.
- Strategic Adjustments: The fund has adjusted its strategy by adding undervalued positions, trimming holdings that rallied, and initiating a new investment in a lithium producer to address future supply shortages linked to renewable energy and battery demand, showcasing its adaptive investment approach.
- Meta Platforms Analysis: Montaka highlighted Meta Platforms (NASDAQ:META) in its letter, noting a one-month return of -9.30%, yet emphasized that AI-driven improvements in ad targeting significantly enhance advertising effectiveness, underscoring the company's competitive edge in digital advertising.
- Subscription Service Testing: Meta is testing a premium subscription service called Instagram Plus on its Instagram app, allowing users to view Stories without notifying the poster, enhancing user privacy and potentially attracting more subscribers.
- New Feature Rollout: The subscription will offer unlimited audience list creation and the ability to see how many times a Story has been viewed, enhancing user engagement and content management capabilities, which may increase user retention.
- Market Testing Regions: The service is currently being tested in Mexico, Japan, and the Philippines, with pricing varying by country, demonstrating Meta's flexible pricing strategy aimed at maximizing user acceptance and market penetration.
- User Base Impact: With approximately 3 billion monthly active users, Instagram may account for about 40% of Meta's total revenue, and if successfully launched, this service could significantly boost the company's revenue and competitive position in the market.
- Regulatory Action Assessment: Australia's online safety regulator is weighing legal action against major social media platforms, including Meta, Snapchat, and TikTok, for failing to effectively prevent children under 16 from using their services, potentially facing fines of up to A$49.5 million.
- Compliance Report Released: eSafety Commissioner Julie Inman Grant issued the first compliance report demanding ten platforms remove all Australian account holders under 16, noting that while about 5 million accounts have been deactivated, many children still manage to bypass age checks.
- Platform Accountability Issues: The agency flagged “significant concerns” with roughly half the platforms and is gathering evidence to determine whether they failed to take “reasonable steps” to comply with the law, indicating poor practices within the industry.
- Expected Legal Consequences: A decision on potential legal action is expected by midyear, with Communications Minister Anika Wells accusing the criticized platforms of deliberately not complying with Australian law, emphasizing their choice to do the bare minimum in compliance efforts.
- Industry-Specific AI Development: Chinese companies are shifting focus from large language models to industry-specific artificial intelligence to drive revenue growth, indicating a rising demand for customized solutions in the market.
- Alibaba Platform Upgrade: Alibaba launched the AI-integrated Accio Work platform, capable of autonomously processing customs paperwork and calculating profit margins, with expectations to increase monthly active users from millions to tens of millions, enhancing its competitiveness in the global market.
- Intellectual Property Trading Trend: China is promoting patent trading at a high level, as showcased at the Zhongguancun Forum, reflecting the importance of intellectual property and market potential for businesses.
- Robot Technology Innovation: Linkerbot focuses on humanoid robot development, aiming to map all basic human hand skills within three years, with a goal to reduce robot costs to below that of an iPhone, demonstrating a pursuit of practical technology applications.
- Stock Option Program: Meta Platforms has launched an aggressive stock option program aiming for a valuation of $9 trillion by 2031, requiring a 560% stock increase and a compound annual growth rate of 46%.
- Negative Market Reaction: Despite its strong assets in social media, Meta's stock has fallen about 19% this year and faced a $375 million fine related to child safety, which could hinder its long-term growth prospects.
- AI Investment Risks: Meta's heavy investment in artificial intelligence may turn into another financial pitfall, similar to its distancing from the metaverse strategy, leading to decreased investor confidence in future growth.
- Analyst Outlook: Many analysts are pessimistic about Meta's future, believing that achieving over 500% growth in the next five years is nearly impossible, with risks of its market cap falling below $1 trillion.
- Market Sentiment Analysis: Jim Cramer cautions that fear-driven market sentiment is causing investors to dump high-quality stocks, despite their strong fundamentals, indicating an overreaction to short-term volatility.
- Tech Stock Performance: While the S&P 500 and Nasdaq fell by 0.39% and 0.73% respectively, the Dow Jones Industrial Average eked out a 0.11% gain, highlighting a disconnect between tech stocks and overall market performance, particularly in cybersecurity.
- Cybersecurity Outlook: Cramer emphasizes that the rise of artificial intelligence is actually a tailwind for Palo Alto Networks and CrowdStrike, as the increased risk of AI-enabled attacks underscores the necessity of traditional cybersecurity measures.
- CEO Confidence Indicator: The recent $10 million stock purchase by Palo Alto CEO Nikesh Arora suggests strong confidence in the company's future, countering claims that AI poses an existential threat to its business model.











