Methanex Reports $89 Million Loss in Q4 2025
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 4 days ago
0mins
Should l Buy MEOH?
Source: NASDAQ.COM
- Poor Financial Performance: Methanex reported a loss of $89 million in Q4 2025, translating to a loss of $1.15 per share, which is a significant decline from a profit of $45 million in the same quarter last year, indicating increasing pressure on profitability.
- Revenue Misses Expectations: Although revenues increased by approximately 2% year-over-year to $968.8 million, they fell short of the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $994.4 million, reflecting weakened market demand and intensified competition.
- Production and Sales Dynamics: The company produced 2.364 million tons in the quarter, up 26.7% year-over-year, exceeding the estimate of 2.338 million tons, while total sales volume reached 2.689 million tons, a 4.9% increase year-over-year, but still below the expected 2.809 million tons, indicating sluggish sales growth.
- Cautious Future Outlook: Methanex anticipates production of approximately 9 million tons of methanol and 0.3 million tons of ammonia in 2026, and while it expects slightly higher adjusted EBITDA in Q1 2026 compared to Q4 2025, it remains challenged by market fluctuations and uncertainties.
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Analyst Views on MEOH
Wall Street analysts forecast MEOH stock price to fall
7 Analyst Rating
7 Buy
0 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 53.010
Low
38.00
Averages
49.67
High
65.00
Current: 53.010
Low
38.00
Averages
49.67
High
65.00
About MEOH
Methanex Corporation is a Canada-based producer and supplier of methanol globally. It serves customers in Asia Pacific, North America, Europe and South America. Its total annual operating capacity, including Methanex's interests in jointly owned plants, is over 10.6 million tons and is located in the United States, New Zealand, Trinidad and Tobago, Chile, Egypt, and Canada. In addition to the methanol produced at its sites, it purchases methanol produced by others under methanol offtake contracts and on the spot market. In the United States, its plants in Geismar, Louisiana, have the capability to serve global methanol demand. Its New Zealand production site supplies methanol primarily to customers in Asia Pacific. Its Chile production site supplies methanol to customers in South America and Asia Pacific. Its Egypt plant (Methanex interest 50%) is located on the Mediterranean Sea and primarily supplies methanol to domestic and European customers, but can also supply customers in Asia.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Stock Performance: Methanex Corp (Ticker: MEOH) recently traded at $53.01, surpassing the average analyst 12-month target price of $51.90, indicating a positive market sentiment regarding its future performance.
- Analyst Reactions: When a stock reaches its target price, analysts may either downgrade their valuation or raise their target price, reflecting confidence in Methanex's improving fundamentals, which could lead to upward adjustments in target prices.
- Target Price Distribution: Among analysts covered by Zacks, Methanex's target prices range from $38.00 to $65.00, with a standard deviation of $8.319, highlighting varying market perspectives on its future performance, necessitating cautious evaluation by investors.
- Investor Decision-Making: As the stock price exceeds the target price, investors are prompted to reassess Methanex's valuation, considering whether to hold or reduce their positions in response to potential market fluctuations.
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- Outstanding Safety Performance: Methanex's 2025 Sustainability Report highlights the global team's ongoing commitment to safety, showcasing strong safety performance that reflects the company's consistent focus on planning, hazard awareness, and operational excellence, thereby enhancing overall operational efficiency.
- Early Emission Reduction Achievement: The report indicates that Methanex achieved its greenhouse gas emissions intensity reduction target five years ahead of schedule, demonstrating significant progress in environmental management and laying a solid foundation for the company's transition to a low-carbon economy.
- Community Contribution and Workforce Development: Methanex emphasizes its efforts in protecting and developing its workforce and contributing to communities, showcasing a proactive stance on social responsibility that enhances brand image and market competitiveness.
- Advancement of Low-Carbon Solutions: The report mentions Methanex's active implementation of low-carbon solutions, aligning with global sustainability trends and providing new opportunities for future business growth, ensuring the company's leadership position in the industry.
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- Poor Financial Performance: Methanex reported a loss of $89 million in Q4 2025, translating to a loss of $1.15 per share, which is a significant decline from a profit of $45 million in the same quarter last year, indicating increasing pressure on profitability.
- Revenue Misses Expectations: Although revenues increased by approximately 2% year-over-year to $968.8 million, they fell short of the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $994.4 million, reflecting weakened market demand and intensified competition.
- Production and Sales Dynamics: The company produced 2.364 million tons in the quarter, up 26.7% year-over-year, exceeding the estimate of 2.338 million tons, while total sales volume reached 2.689 million tons, a 4.9% increase year-over-year, but still below the expected 2.809 million tons, indicating sluggish sales growth.
- Cautious Future Outlook: Methanex anticipates production of approximately 9 million tons of methanol and 0.3 million tons of ammonia in 2026, and while it expects slightly higher adjusted EBITDA in Q1 2026 compared to Q4 2025, it remains challenged by market fluctuations and uncertainties.
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- Earnings Miss: Methanex reported a quarterly loss of $0.14 per share, significantly below the analyst consensus estimate of $0.66 earnings per share, indicating pressure on the company amidst competitive market conditions, which may affect future investor confidence.
- Sales Shortfall: The company's quarterly sales totaled $969 million, missing the analyst consensus estimate of $1.041 billion, reflecting weak demand and market challenges that could prompt the company to adjust its strategy to navigate these conditions.
- Stock Price Plunge: Methanex shares fell sharply by 8.7% to $52.09 in pre-market trading, as investors reacted strongly to the disappointing earnings report, potentially triggering further selling pressure that could impact the company's short-term market performance.
- Market Decline: U.S. stock futures are generally lower, with Dow futures dropping around 100 points, indicating uncertainty about the economic outlook, which may influence investor risk appetite and market liquidity.
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- Earnings Miss: Methanexpress reported a Q4 2025 Non-GAAP EPS of -$0.14, missing expectations by $0.79, indicating significant pressure on profitability that could undermine investor confidence.
- Revenue Growth: The company achieved Q4 revenue of $969 million, a 2.1% year-over-year increase, yet fell short of expectations by $61 million, reflecting unmet market demand that may impact future investment decisions.
- Production Outlook: Methanexpress anticipates producing approximately 9.0 million tonnes of methanol and 0.3 million tonnes of ammonia by 2026, although actual production may vary due to gas availability and unforeseen events, introducing uncertainty into long-term strategic planning.
- Adjusted EBITDA Forecast: The company expects a slightly higher Adjusted EBITDA in Q1 2026 compared to Q4 2025, with similar sales volumes but a marginally higher average realized price, indicating a proactive adjustment in pricing strategy that may enhance future financial performance.
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