METHANEX CORP: CIBC Downgrades to Neutral from Outperform; Increases Target Price to $52 from $46
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Feb 06 2026
0mins
Source: moomoo
Company Update: MethaneX Corporation has made significant changes to its operations, including a cut in its CIBC rating.
Target Price Adjustment: The company's target price has been raised to $52 from a previous $46, indicating a positive outlook.
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Analyst Views on MEOH
Wall Street analysts forecast MEOH stock price to rise
7 Analyst Rating
7 Buy
0 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 44.450
Low
38.00
Averages
49.67
High
65.00
Current: 44.450
Low
38.00
Averages
49.67
High
65.00
About MEOH
Methanex Corporation is a Canada-based producer and supplier of methanol globally. It serves customers in Asia Pacific, North America, Europe and South America. Its total annual operating capacity, including Methanex's interests in jointly owned plants, is over 10.6 million tons and is located in the United States, New Zealand, Trinidad and Tobago, Chile, Egypt, and Canada. In addition to the methanol produced at its sites, it purchases methanol produced by others under methanol offtake contracts and on the spot market. In the United States, its plants in Geismar, Louisiana, have the capability to serve global methanol demand. Its New Zealand production site supplies methanol primarily to customers in Asia Pacific. Its Chile production site supplies methanol to customers in South America and Asia Pacific. Its Egypt plant (Methanex interest 50%) is located on the Mediterranean Sea and primarily supplies methanol to domestic and European customers, but can also supply customers in Asia.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.

- Plant Closure Announcement: Methanex has announced the indefinite idling of its Titan methanol plant in Trinidad and Tobago, which has an annual capacity of 860,000 metric tons, due to the inability to agree on a new natural gas contract, with the existing contract set to expire in Q3, resulting in a significant loss of production capacity.
- Preservation Process: The company stated it will undertake a preservation process at the Titan plant to allow for optionality in a future restart should conditions improve, a strategy aimed at preparing for potential market changes, although the closure is not expected to materially impact adjusted EBITDA and free cash flow.
- Atlas Plant Status: Methanex's Atlas methanol plant, in which it holds a 63% interest through a joint venture, remains indefinitely idled, indicating that the company's production capabilities in the region are constrained, further affecting its competitive position in the market.
- Financial Impact Assessment: The closure of the Titan plant is not anticipated to result in significant cash costs; however, Methanex must remain vigilant regarding changes in the methanol market to reassess its production strategy and investment decisions in the future.
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- Gas Contract Failure: Methanex Corporation has failed to secure a new natural gas contract for its Titan methanol plant in Trinidad and Tobago, leading to an indefinite idling of the facility with an annual capacity of 860,000 tonnes, reflecting the company's focus on preserving shareholder value in a commercially unviable operational environment.
- Preservation Strategy: While the Titan plant will be idled, Methanex plans to undertake a preservation process to allow for a potential restart if conditions improve, demonstrating the company's strategic flexibility in response to market changes.
- Limited Financial Impact: Methanex does not expect to incur material cash costs from this decision, and the Titan plant is currently not contributing to the company's Adjusted EBITDA and Adjusted Free Cash Flow, indicating robust financial management amidst operational challenges.
- Future Guidance: Methanex will provide updates on production and financial guidance during its second quarter financial communications scheduled for July 28, 2026, highlighting the company's ongoing commitment to monitoring market dynamics and shareholder value.
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- Earnings Revision Trend: Zacks Director of Research Sheraz Mian highlights that despite a modest decline in Q2 earnings estimates, the overall revision trend remains positive, indicating market confidence in future profitability.
- Sector Performance Disparity: Since early April, sectors such as Energy, Tech, Basic Materials, Industrials, Utilities, and Business Services have seen upward revisions in earnings estimates, particularly in Energy and Tech, reflecting optimistic sentiment in these areas.
- Outstanding Individual Stocks: For instance, Dow (DOW) and LyondellBasell (LYB) have seen their Q2 EPS estimates double over the past month, while Methanex (MEOH) has increased by over 30%, showcasing strong performance in the current market environment.
- Negative Pressure Sectors: In contrast, sectors like Transportation, Autos, Medical, and Consumer Discretionary are facing renewed pressure on Q2 estimates, suggesting a cautious outlook that could impact stock performance in these areas.
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- Strong Earnings Outlook: The overall earnings picture continues to improve, with positive revisions for Q2 2026 indicating enhanced market confidence, even as recent estimates have slightly declined, reflecting a resilient economic backdrop.
- Sector Performance Divergence: Since early April, sectors such as Energy, Tech, Basic Materials, Industrials, Utilities, and Business Services have seen upward revisions, particularly in Energy and Tech, highlighting a robust recovery in these areas.
- Notable Individual Stocks: EPS estimates for Dow (DOW) and LyondellBasell (LYB) have more than doubled in the past month, while Methanex (MEOH) has seen an increase of over 30%, indicating significant improvements in their earnings capabilities.
- Negative Pressure Emerging: Despite strong performances in certain sectors, Q2 estimates for Transportation, Autos, Medical, and Consumer Discretionary have faced renewed pressure since the beginning of the period, indicating ongoing market divergence and uncertainty.
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- Strong Earnings Outlook: The overall earnings picture continues to improve, with positive revisions for Q2 2026 expectations indicating enhanced market confidence, even though recent estimates have slightly declined, reflecting a resilient economic backdrop.
- Sector Performance Divergence: Since early April, sectors such as Energy, Tech, Basic Materials, Industrials, Utilities, and Business Services have seen upward revisions in earnings expectations, particularly driven by the strong recovery potential in Energy and Tech sectors.
- Notable Stock Performance: Q2 EPS estimates for Dow (DOW) and LyondellBasell (LYB) have more than doubled in the past month, while Methanex (MEOH) has seen an increase of over 30%, showcasing robust performance amid current market conditions.
- Negative Pressure Emerging: Despite strong performances in certain sectors, Q2 estimates for Transportation, Autos, Medical, and Consumer Discretionary have come under renewed pressure since the start of the period, indicating market imbalances and potential risks.
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- Share Reduction Transaction: Cyrus Capital Partners reduced its stake in Methanex by 81,516 shares during Q1 2026, with an estimated transaction value of $4.1 million, reflecting a decrease to 2.5% of its 13F AUM, indicating a strategy to lock in gains during a strong performance.
- Financial Performance Improvement: Methanex's Q1 adjusted EBITDA rose to $220 million from $186 million in the previous quarter, while adjusted net income improved to $23 million, suggesting strengthening fundamentals that may attract long-term investor interest.
- Production and Cash Flow Status: Methanex achieved a production volume of 2.39 million tonnes in Q1 and ended the quarter with $379 million in cash after repaying $60 million of debt, demonstrating robust financial management and potential for future growth.
- Optimistic Market Outlook: CEO Rich Sumner noted that disruptions in global petrochemical supply chains have driven methanol prices sharply higher, with expectations for significantly stronger Q2 EBITDA; if elevated methanol prices persist, Methanex's growth potential could be further enhanced.
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