IonQ Stock Faces Clash of Bearish Pressure and Institutional Support
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 4 days ago
0mins
Should l Buy IONQ?
Source: Benzinga
- Death Cross Signal: IonQ stock has formed a death cross as the 50-day moving average fell below the 200-day moving average after weeks of heavy selling pressure, indicating potential downside risk, while the stock remains down over 30% year-to-date, attracting active traders' attention.
- Norwegian Sovereign Fund Investment: Norges Bank disclosed a roughly $200 million stake in IonQ in its latest 13F filing, with Wedbush analysts calling this a ‘watershed moment’ for quantum computing, indicating that institutional investors are treating the sector as a legitimate asset class, thereby enhancing credibility for both IonQ and the broader quantum space.
- Short Seller Claims and Rebuttal: Following a critical report from Wolfpack Research alleging undisclosed revenue issues and the loss of a Pentagon contract, IonQ's shares fell over 14% in a single session; however, IonQ rejected these claims as meritless and reiterated expectations to reach the high end of its revenue guidance of $106 million to $110 million.
- Market Tension: The stock's performance reflects a tension between market skepticism and institutional conviction, as bearish technicals, sovereign wealth backing, and short-seller drama converge, placing the quantum trade at a critical turning point.
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Analyst Views on IONQ
Wall Street analysts forecast IONQ stock price to rise
12 Analyst Rating
9 Buy
3 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 31.300
Low
47.00
Averages
75.91
High
100.00
Current: 31.300
Low
47.00
Averages
75.91
High
100.00
About IONQ
IonQ, Inc. is engaged in the quantum computing and networking industry, delivering high-performance systems capable of solving complex commercial and research use cases. Its generation quantum computers, IonQ Forte and IonQ Forte Enterprise, are cutting-edge systems, boasting 36 algorithmic qubits. It sells specialized quantum computing and networking hardware together with related maintenance and support. It also sells access to several quantum computers of various qubit capacities and is in the process of researching and developing technologies for quantum computers with increasing computational capabilities. It makes access to its quantum computers available via three cloud platforms, Amazon Web Services' (AWS) Amazon Braket, Microsoft's Azure Quantum and Google's Cloud Marketplace, and also to select customers via its own cloud service. Its product portfolio also includes quantum key distribution (QKD) systems, quantum random number generators (QRNGs), and single-photon detectors.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Market Potential: McKinsey & Company projects that the quantum computing market could be valued between $28 billion and $72 billion by 2035, indicating significant growth potential, and if IonQ captures a substantial market share, it could greatly enhance its business outlook.
- Technological Edge: IonQ leads the industry in quantum computing accuracy, achieving 99.99% 2-qubit gate fidelity last October, far surpassing most competitors who have not even reached 99.9%, thus establishing a critical advantage in technological competition.
- Investment Risk Assessment: Despite IonQ's strong performance in quantum computing, it must maintain its technological lead amidst fierce competition, as any of its rivals could potentially surpass its technology in the future, necessitating cautious risk evaluation by investors.
- Stock Price Fluctuation: IonQ's current stock price stands at $2.81, reflecting an 8.98% increase today, indicating high market expectations for its future performance; however, given that quantum computing is still in its early stages, investors should be prepared for potential volatility.
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- Portfolio Dynamics: As of the end of 2025, Amazon's investment portfolio totals $3.5 billion, and while its stake in quantum computing is relatively small, it reflects a strategic interest in emerging technologies that could influence its long-term positioning.
- Quantum Market Potential: Analysts from Boston Consulting Group estimate that the global opportunity for quantum computing could reach between $450 billion and $850 billion by 2040, indicating significant investor interest despite the market being in its infancy.
- Historical Investment Review: Amazon's purchase of 6,671 shares of IonQ stock worth nearly $300,000 in Q4 2025 follows a complete divestment of 854,207 shares in Q3, highlighting its focus on short-term gains and response to market fluctuations.
- Changing Competitive Landscape: With giants like Amazon and Microsoft launching their own quantum processing units, IonQ's market leadership is under threat, prompting investors to carefully assess its future profitability and sustainability of market share.
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- IonQ's Technological Edge: IonQ is acquiring SkyWater Technology, which is expected to position it as a leader in quantum computing hardware manufacturing, thereby accelerating hardware iteration and enhancing market competitiveness.
- Quantum Computing Market Potential: IonQ aims to develop systems with over 1 million qubits, which would provide a significant technological advantage in the quantum computing field, attracting investor interest in its future growth potential.
- Alphabet's Financial Strength: With over $400 billion in revenue over the past 12 months, Alphabet leverages its strong financial resources and over a decade of quantum computing R&D experience, making it a key player in the quantum computing sector.
- IBM's SDK Leadership: IBM's quantum computing software development kit (SDK) has been downloaded over 13 million times, showcasing its leadership in quantum computing software, even as hardware competition continues.
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- IonQ's Acquisition Strategy: IonQ is in the process of acquiring SkyWater Technology, which is expected to enhance its leadership in quantum computing hardware manufacturing, thereby accelerating hardware iteration and scaling, and strengthening its market competitiveness.
- Quantum Computing Market Outlook: Quantum computing companies are targeting systems with over 1 million qubits, a milestone that will significantly enhance computational power, and IonQ's progress in this area may position it as an industry leader.
- Alphabet's Financial Strength: With over $400 billion in annual revenue, Alphabet can continuously invest in quantum computing R&D, and its new Willow chip effectively corrects errors during system scaling, enhancing its competitive edge in the quantum computing sector.
- IBM's SDK Advantage: IBM's quantum computing software development kit (SDK) has been downloaded over 13 million times, making it the most popular choice among developers, showcasing its leadership in quantum computing software even as hardware competition continues.
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- Market Volatility Impact: Technology stocks have experienced a volatile start to 2026, with the Nasdaq Composite showing flat performance primarily due to concerns over capital expenditures for AI infrastructure, resulting in a staggering $1 trillion loss in market cap for big tech stocks in just one week, reflecting cautious market sentiment regarding future growth.
- IonQ's Huge Potential: Despite a 21% drop in IonQ's stock price in 2026, a 12-month median price target of $73 from 14 analysts suggests a potential 105% upside, indicating strong market confidence in its quantum computing technology, especially after achieving a 99.99% fidelity in 2-qubit gates.
- Celestica's Growth Drivers: Celestica has benefited from the buildout of AI data centers, with its stock surging 54% over the past six months, and it expects a 50% increase in its connectivity and cloud solutions business in 2026, significantly boosting revenue, particularly through partnerships with major hyperscalers.
- Optimistic Industry Outlook: Celestica anticipates revenues of $17 billion in 2026, a 37% increase from last year, and if its market value aligns with the Nasdaq index, it could reach $92 billion, showcasing its strong growth potential in the AI sector and attracting investor interest.
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- Strong Small-Cap Performance: The Russell 2000 index has achieved an 8% return in 2026, significantly outperforming the S&P 500's 1.4%, indicating robust small-cap performance in the current economic climate and attracting investor interest.
- Diversified Portfolio: The Vanguard Russell 2000 ETF's top ten holdings account for only 5% of its weight, ensuring that its performance is not heavily influenced by a small group of stocks, thus achieving stable returns through broad portfolio contributions.
- Favorable Rate Policies: The Federal Reserve has cut interest rates six times since September 2024, with two more cuts expected in 2026, directly boosting profitability for about 32% of Russell 2000 companies, enhancing their long-term growth potential.
- Attractive Valuation: With a price-to-earnings ratio of 20.4, the Russell 2000 trades at a 19% discount to the S&P 500's 25.2, providing an attractive opportunity for investors and potentially driving continued strong performance in 2026.
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