Inside Walmart's Comeback in 2024: Will WMT ETFs Rally in 2025?
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Dec 18 2024
0mins
Should l Buy WMT?
Source: NASDAQ.COM
Walmart's Stock Performance: Walmart's stock has surged approximately 78.7% this year, driven by investments in technology and e-commerce, earning it the title of Yahoo Finance's "Company of the Year" for 2024, while its shares have increased over 133% in the past five years.
Future Outlook and Recommendations: Despite a slight overvaluation compared to industry peers, Walmart maintains strong investor confidence with a high average brokerage recommendation (1.25), and potential investors are advised to consider Walmart-heavy ETFs to mitigate company-specific risks.
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Analyst Views on WMT
Wall Street analysts forecast WMT stock price to rise
26 Analyst Rating
25 Buy
1 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 124.760
Low
119.00
Averages
125.75
High
136.00
Current: 124.760
Low
119.00
Averages
125.75
High
136.00
About WMT
Walmart Inc. is a technology-powered omnichannel retailer. The Company is engaged in the operation of retail and wholesale stores and clubs, as well as eCommerce Websites and mobile applications, located throughout the United States (U.S.), Africa, Canada, Central America, Chile, China, India and Mexico. It operates in three reportable segments: Walmart U.S., Walmart International and Sam's Club U.S. The Walmart U.S. segment includes the Company's mass merchandising concept in the U.S., as well as eCommerce, which includes omni-channel initiatives and certain other business offerings such as advertising services. The Walmart International segment consists of the Company's operations outside of the U.S. through its subsidiaries, as well as eCommerce and omni-channel initiatives. The Sam's Club U.S. segment includes the warehouse membership clubs in the U.S., as well as samsclub.com and omni-channel initiatives.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Store Remodeling Initiative: Walmart plans to remodel 58 stores in Florida by 2026, aiming to enhance customer shopping experiences through modern layouts and technology, enabling most orders to be delivered within an hour, thereby strengthening its competitive position in the retail market.
- Investment and Upgrades: Over the past five years, Walmart has invested $1.5 billion in store upgrades across Florida, improving service quality and product variety, which is expected to attract more customers and boost sales, reflecting the company's long-term commitment to the region.
- Community Contributions: Walmart and its foundation donated $138.7 million to local nonprofits over the past year, including providing 70.2 million pounds of food to combat hunger, showcasing the company's proactive stance on social responsibility and enhancing its brand image.
- New Service Launches: The remodeled stores will introduce several new services, including free pharmacy delivery, increasing customer convenience, while also supporting community projects like education and disaster response through partnerships with local organizations, further solidifying Walmart's influence in the area.
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- Platform Expansion: Walmart's Better Care Services platform enhances customer support for weight management and overall health by integrating virtual care, nutrition services, and pharmacy access, addressing the growing demand from customers.
- Convenient Medication Access: With nearly 4,600 pharmacies, Walmart offers GLP-1 medications, including the newly available oral option Foundayo™, allowing customers to benefit from competitive pricing and fast same-day delivery, significantly improving medication accessibility.
- Diverse Service Offerings: The new platform introduces weight management support services from third-party providers like Aaptiv and Berry Street, enabling customers to achieve health goals through personalized nutrition guidance and fitness plans, thereby increasing customer engagement.
- Future Development Plans: Walmart aims to continue expanding its weight management support services by adding more offerings and providers, enhancing digital tools to better meet customer needs and improve the overall customer experience.
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- Platform Expansion: Walmart has launched an expanded version of its Better Care Services platform, introducing weight management services for GLP-1 users, aiming to enhance customer experience by integrating virtual care and nutrition support, thereby positioning itself advantageously in the rapidly growing GLP-1 market.
- Collaborative Efforts: The platform collaborates with multiple health service providers, including Aaptiv, Berry Street, Curai Health, MyCare by Twin Health, and Wheel, offering comprehensive weight management and mental health support, which strengthens Walmart's competitive edge in health management.
- Website Redesign: Walmart has also redesigned its website to include a dedicated GLP-1 section, facilitating easier access for customers to find related products and services, further enhancing customer shopping experience and satisfaction.
- Stock Performance: Walmart's shares have risen 12% year-to-date, reflecting positive market response to its new strategy, indicating that the company's investments in health management could yield long-term financial benefits.
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- Membership Fee Increase: Walmart's Sam's Club is raising its membership fee from $50 to $60, following Costco's increase from $60 to $65 nearly two years ago, indicating intensifying competition in the warehouse membership sector.
- Competitive Market Dynamics: Although Sam's Club directly competes with Costco in the membership model, both chains have a similar number of locations, with 637 and approximately 600 stores respectively, and both operate internationally, complicating the competitive landscape.
- Sales Growth Comparison: In the fourth quarter of fiscal 2026, Sam's Club's U.S. sales increased by 2.9% year-over-year, while Costco's total sales grew by 7.4% in the second quarter of fiscal 2025, highlighting Costco's superior sales performance.
- Membership Migration Risk: With the narrowing membership fee gap, some Sam's Club members may be tempted to switch to Costco, especially as the difference decreases from $15 to $5, raising expectations for membership renewals across premium clubs.
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- Membership Fee Increase: Sam's Club is raising its annual membership fee from $50 to $60, following Costco's increase from $60 to $65 two years ago, indicating intensified competition in their membership models.
- Positive Market Reaction: Costco's stock price rose after Sam's Club announced its fee hike, reflecting market confidence in Costco's long-term performance, particularly after reporting a 7.4% sales increase in its latest earnings report.
- Increased Membership Appeal: With the narrowing membership fee gap, some Sam's Club members may be enticed to switch to Costco, especially given Costco's reputation for superior products and services.
- Significant E-commerce Growth: Both companies reported a 23% increase in e-commerce sales, suggesting that the expansion of online channels will be a critical factor in future competition amid rising membership fees.
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- Investment Commitment: Amazon's pledge of $35 billion in India last year aims to digitize 12 million small businesses and enhance logistics infrastructure, demonstrating confidence in future market potential despite online shopping accounting for only 1.6% of GDP.
- User Growth Trend: According to Deloitte, India's e-commerce market experienced a compound annual growth of 23% from 2020 to 2025, with projections indicating it will reach $250 billion by 2030, highlighting both user growth and increased spending per shopper.
- Rise of Small City Consumers: Deloitte reports that over 60% of online shoppers come from smaller cities, marking a decisive shift in consumer dynamics and driving e-commerce order growth, indicating a rapid increase in purchasing power among these consumers.
- Quick Commerce Model: Amazon's quick commerce service, Amazon Now, sees a 25% month-over-month order growth, with Prime members tripling their shopping frequency, underscoring the significance of rapid delivery in meeting the demands of consumers in smaller cities.
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