IJJ's Underlying Holdings Could Mean 19% Gain Potential
ETF Analyst Target Price Insights: The iShares S&P Mid-Cap 400 Value ETF (IJJ) has an implied analyst target price of $149.16, indicating a potential upside of 19.46% from its current trading price of $124.86.
Individual Stock Upside Potential: Notable underlying holdings such as Allegro MicroSystems, Timken Co., and UMB Financial Corp show significant upside potential, with expected increases of 24.13%, 22.81%, and 22.51% respectively based on average analyst target prices.
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- Financial Target Overview: At the Investor Day in New York City, Timken Company outlined its financial targets for 2028, projecting significant profitable growth and structural margin improvements, thereby creating greater value for shareholders.
- Strategic Plan Launch: CEO Lucian Boldea introduced the 'Elevate to Outperform' strategy, aimed at optimizing the product portfolio and decisively investing in key verticals to better leverage its global footprint and drive long-term growth.
- Market Performance Review: Timken achieved $4.6 billion in sales in 2025, demonstrating strong performance in strategic markets such as aerospace, defense, and industrial solutions, further solidifying its position as an industry leader.
- Global Operations Footprint: Operating in 45 countries with approximately 19,000 employees, Timken leverages over 125 years of specialized expertise to continuously innovate and enhance performance across various applications, showcasing its competitive advantage on a global scale.
- Demand Decline Impact: J.P. Morgan downgraded A.O. Smith from Neutral to Underweight with a price target cut from $65 to $60, primarily due to deteriorating demand in China and residential markets, forecasting a ~15% sequential decline in Q2, indicating heightened short-term challenges for the company.
- Market Outlook Shift: Analyst Tomohiko Sano noted that A.O. Smith's outlook has shifted from an anticipated H2 recovery to a more pessimistic view, reflecting significant residential exposure and lowered guidance, prompting investors to reassess the risk/reward profile of the stock.
- Relative Opportunity Cost: Although Sano remains optimistic about A.O. Smith's long-term growth potential and sees a potential exit from China as a meaningful upside catalyst, near-term headwinds and relative opportunity costs led him to adopt a wait-and-see approach, shifting focus to more attractive investment opportunities in small-to-midcap industrials.
- Competitor Performance: In contrast, Timken's rating was upgraded to Neutral with a $130 price target, demonstrating its robust execution exceeding near-term expectations, with its 80/20 strategy driving double-digit growth and significant margin expansion in the Industrial Motion segment, further highlighting the competitive pressures faced by A.O. Smith.
Stock Sale Announcement: Kyle Richard, the director of Timken (TKR.US), plans to sell 37,181 shares of the company's common stock on May 8, valued at approximately $4.33 million.
Reduction in Shareholding: Since February 8, 2026, Kyle Richard has reduced his shareholding in Timken by 59,842 shares, with a total value of around $6.41 million.
- Dividend Increase: Timken declares a quarterly dividend of $0.36 per share, marking a 2.9% increase from the previous $0.35, demonstrating the company's ongoing commitment to stable cash flow and shareholder returns.
- Upward Earnings Guidance: Timken projects adjusted EPS for 2026 to be between $5.75 and $6.25, reflecting an optimistic outlook for sales growth of 4% to 6%, which enhances investor confidence in the company's future performance.
- Financial Performance Beats Expectations: In its latest earnings report, Timken reported a non-GAAP EPS of $1.67, beating estimates by $0.17, with revenue of $1.23 billion exceeding expectations by $70 million, indicating strong operational efficiency and market demand.
- Dividend Payment Schedule: The dividend is set to be paid on May 29, with a record date of May 19 and an ex-dividend date also on May 19, ensuring shareholders receive timely returns and further solidifying the relationship between the company and its investors.
- Dividend Increase: The Timken Company's board approved a 2.9% increase in its quarterly cash dividend to 36 cents per share, payable on May 29, 2026, reflecting the company's strong financial performance and confidence in future earnings potential.
- Consistent Dividend Record: This dividend increase marks the 13th consecutive year of higher annualized payouts, showcasing Timken's stability in paying dividends every quarter since its NYSE listing in 1922, which enhances investor confidence in its long-term investment value.
- Sales Performance: Timken reported $4.6 billion in sales for 2025, indicating its market leadership in engineered bearings and industrial motion, further solidifying its operations across 45 countries worldwide.
- Employee Base: With approximately 19,000 employees globally, Timken leverages over 125 years of specialized expertise to continuously innovate and deliver customer-centric solutions that enhance product reliability and efficiency.
- Dividend Increase: The Timken Company's board approved a 2.9% increase in its quarterly cash dividend to 36 cents per share, payable on May 29, 2026, reflecting the company's strong financial performance and confidence in future earnings potential.
- Consistent Dividend Record: This dividend increase marks the 13th consecutive year of higher annualized payouts, showcasing Timken's robust history of paying dividends every quarter since its NYSE listing in 1922, thereby enhancing investor trust.
- Sales Performance: Timken reported $4.6 billion in sales for 2025, underscoring its market leadership in engineered bearings and industrial motion, which further solidifies its business impact globally.
- Global Operations: Operating in 45 countries with approximately 19,000 employees, Timken leverages over 125 years of expertise to innovate and deliver customer-centric solutions that enhance product reliability and efficiency.











