Energy Stocks Recover from Decline: Which Charts Show the Most Promise?
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Jan 13 2026
0mins
Source: Barron's
- Energy Sector Performance: The energy sector has underperformed over the past year, ranking ninth out of eleven major sectors.
- State Street ETF Ranking: The State Street Energy Select Sector ETF reflects this lagging performance within the broader market context.
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Analyst Views on BKR
Wall Street analysts forecast BKR stock price to fall
13 Analyst Rating
12 Buy
1 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 66.730
Low
52.00
Averages
61.54
High
67.00
Current: 66.730
Low
52.00
Averages
61.54
High
67.00
About BKR
Baker Hughes Company is an energy technology company that provides solutions to energy and industrial customers worldwide. The Company's segments include Oilfield Services & Equipment (OFSE) and Industrial & Energy Technology (IET). OFSE segment provides products and services for onshore and offshore oilfield operations across the lifecycle of a well, ranging from exploration, appraisal, and development, to production, rejuvenation, and decommissioning. OFSE segment is organized into four product lines: Well Construction; Completions, Intervention, and Measurements; Production Solutions, and Subsea. IET segment provides technology solutions and services for mechanical-drive, compression and power-generation applications across the energy industry including oil and gas, liquefied natural gas operations, downstream refining, and petrochemical markets, as well as lower carbon solutions to broader energy and industrial sectors. IET segment also provides equipment, software, and services.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Market Performance: On Wednesday, the S&P 500 Index rose by 0.02%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average increased by 0.36% to a new record high, while the Nasdaq 100 fell by 0.09%, indicating a divergence in market sentiment amid enthusiasm for artificial intelligence and declining oil prices.
- Oil Price Fluctuations: Crude oil prices plummeted over 5% to a five-week low due to optimism surrounding a US-Iran peace deal, which eased inflation expectations and pushed the 10-year Treasury yield down to a 1.5-week low of 4.45%, providing support for the bond market.
- Mortgage Application Decline: US MBA mortgage applications fell by 8.5% for the week ending May 22, with the purchase mortgage sub-index down 0.4% and the refinancing sub-index down 18.1%, reflecting the dampening effect of high interest rates on housing demand, as the average 30-year fixed mortgage rate rose to 6.65%.
- Corporate Earnings Outlook: As of Wednesday, 83% of the 475 S&P 500 companies that reported Q1 earnings exceeded expectations, with projected earnings growth of 12% year-over-year, but excluding the technology sector, the growth is only 3%, indicating signs of overall earnings weakness.
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- Stock Decline: Baker Hughes (BKR) shares fell 5.5% in the morning session, primarily driven by a plunge in West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil prices due to progress in the Iran-US peace deal, indicating market sensitivity to oil price fluctuations.
- Capex Cuts: The sharp drop in oil prices leads producers to quickly slash their capital expenditure budgets, which directly impacts revenue for oilfield service companies like Baker Hughes, with significant revenue declines expected in the next two quarters.
- Market Reaction: Despite Baker Hughes's low volatility, with only six moves greater than 5% in the past year, today's drop suggests that the market considers the news significant, potentially affecting investors' long-term perceptions of the company.
- Investment Returns: Although Baker Hughes has risen 34.3% since the beginning of the year, its current price is still 9.2% below its 52-week high, presenting potential buying opportunities for investors, especially considering a 160% return for those who invested five years ago.
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- Divergent Market Performance: The S&P 500 index fell by 0.07% while the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose by 0.54%, indicating a divergence in market trends, particularly with the Dow reaching a new high, reflecting increased investor confidence in certain sectors.
- Impact of Falling Oil Prices: Crude oil prices dropped over 3% amid optimism for a normalization of oil flows from the Middle East, which not only eased inflation expectations but also pushed the 10-year Treasury yield down to a 1.5-week low of 4.45%, positively affecting the bond market.
- Decline in Mortgage Applications: US MBA mortgage applications fell by 8.5% for the week ending May 22, with the purchase mortgage sub-index down 0.4% and the refinancing sub-index plunging 18.1%, indicating the suppressive effect of high interest rates on the housing market.
- Corporate Earnings Overview: As of now, 83% of the 475 S&P 500 companies that reported Q1 earnings have exceeded expectations, with overall earnings projected to rise by 12% year-on-year, but excluding the tech sector, the growth is only 3%, highlighting disparities across industries.
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- Market Divergence: The S&P 500 index fell by 0.05%, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose by 0.23%, and the Nasdaq 100 index decreased by 0.15%, indicating a divergence in market performance, particularly under the pressure of weak energy and cybersecurity stocks.
- Crude Oil Price Decline: Crude oil prices dropped over 4% to a five-week low amid optimism surrounding a US-Iran peace deal, which has lowered inflation expectations and pushed bond yields lower, with the 10-year T-note yield falling to a 1.5-week low of 4.45%.
- Mortgage Application Decrease: For the week ending May 22, US MBA mortgage applications fell by 8.5%, with the purchase mortgage sub-index down 0.4% and the refinancing mortgage sub-index down 18.1%, indicating the suppressive effect of high rates on the housing market.
- Earnings Performance: As of now, 83% of the 475 S&P 500 companies that reported Q1 earnings have exceeded expectations, with Q1 earnings projected to rise by 12% year-over-year, but excluding the technology sector, earnings growth is only about 3%, marking the lowest in two years, reflecting disparities across industries.
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- Contract Extension: Baker Hughes (BKR) rose 1.8% in Tuesday's trading after announcing a 'major' contract extension with Petrobras (PBR) to provide integrated well construction solutions, with financial terms undisclosed.
- Technology Deployment: The contract will enable Baker Hughes to deploy its rotary steerable system and drill bits across Petrobras' deepwater wells in Brazil's offshore Santos Basin, facilitating efficient access to subsurface reservoirs and supporting ongoing development of Brazil's pre-salt fields.
- Service Expansion: This agreement builds on a well construction services award announced in early 2024, further extending the scope and impact of Baker Hughes' integrated drilling solutions in the region.
- Strategic Importance: Baker Hughes' Executive VP of Oilfield Services & Equipment, Amerino Gatti, stated that the success of this critical project illustrates the strength and capabilities of Baker Hughes' comprehensive portfolio, emphasizing its integrated, solutions-focused approach.
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- Acquisition Overview: Baker Hughes aims to acquire Chart Industries for $13.6 billion, a move designed to enhance its industrial technology services in liquefied natural gas and data centers while leveraging its energy technology portfolio.
- Regulatory Review Timeline: The EU antitrust regulators are set to decide by June 26 whether to approve the deal, with the possibility of demanding concessions after the preliminary review or initiating a full-scale investigation if serious competition concerns arise.
- Chart Industries Business Profile: Chart Industries manufactures industrial equipment such as valves and measurement technology for gas and liquid molecule handling, operating 65 manufacturing locations and over 50 service centers globally, indicating its extensive market reach.
- Market Impact Analysis: If approved, this acquisition would position Baker Hughes more competitively in the rapidly growing liquefied natural gas market, while also potentially raising broader concerns about industry consolidation.
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