Energy Stocks as a Hedge Against Geopolitical Risks
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Mar 21 2026
0mins
Should l Buy EQNR?
Source: NASDAQ.COM
- High Dividend Yield: The Global X MLP ETF, Equinor, and Flex LNG offer an average dividend yield of 7.3%, providing a reliable cash flow for passive income-seeking investors, especially amid rising global economic uncertainties, significantly enhancing their investment appeal.
- Energy Infrastructure Advantage: With the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, energy infrastructure and shipping companies like Equinor and Flex LNG are poised to benefit from increased demand, particularly from Asia, which is likely to drive up prices and enhance these companies' market positions and profitability.
- Long-Term Contract Security: MLPs emphasize their long-term take-or-pay contracts, ensuring a stable income stream regardless of gas pricing or volume, which allows the ETF to distribute high dividends, further attracting investors seeking consistent returns.
- Market Dynamics Shift: As potential disruptions in global oil and gas supply chains arise, investors may shift towards North American energy assets, improving MLPs' negotiating positions and increasing volumes under contracts, thus yielding greater returns amid future market fluctuations.
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Analyst Views on EQNR
Wall Street analysts forecast EQNR stock price to fall
2 Analyst Rating
1 Buy
1 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 35.470
Low
22.00
Averages
23.89
High
25.79
Current: 35.470
Low
22.00
Averages
23.89
High
25.79
About EQNR
Equinor ASA, formerly Statoil ASA is a Norway-based international energy company. The Company’s purpose is to turn natural resources into energy. Equinor sells crude oil and delivers natural gas to the European market. It is also engaged in processing, refining, offshore wind and carbon capture and storage activities. Equinor ASA has five reporting segments: Exploration & Production Norway (E&P Norway), Exploration & Production International (E&P International), Exploration & Production USA (E&P USA), Marketing, Midstream & Processing (MMP) and Renewables (REN). The Company has several subsidiaries such as Equinor Nigeria Energy Company Ltd, Equinor Wind Power AS, Equinor International Netherlands BV and Equinor Brasil Energia Ltda.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Market Reaction: European stocks, represented by the pan-European Stoxx 600 index, fell over 1.1% by 9:30 a.m. London time due to renewed tensions between the U.S. and Iran, indicating heightened market sensitivity to geopolitical risks.
- Airline Stocks Plummet: The travel and leisure sector dropped 2.6%, with German airline Lufthansa down more than 4.2%, while London-listed EasyJet and TUI fell 3.4% and 3.5%, respectively, reflecting investor concerns about the airline industry's outlook amid escalating tensions.
- Energy Stocks Rise: In contrast, energy stocks advanced nearly 1.8%, led by Norwegian companies Equinor and Vår Energi, which surged 4.5% and 4.3%, respectively, indicating market optimism in the oil and gas sector amidst rising oil prices.
- Oil Price Fluctuations: Brent crude prices rose 6.1% to $95.86 per barrel, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate futures climbed 7.1% to $89.83, reflecting the market's keen attention to Middle Eastern developments and their impact on global oil prices.
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- Stake Sale Context: Norway's Equinor sold 12.9 million shares of Scatec at NOK 125 per share, totaling $169 million, which represents about 8% of its holdings, effectively halving its stake to approximately 8.05%.
- Market Reaction: The sale price reflects a ~7% discount to Scatec's previous close, indicating Equinor's cautious stance in the current market, despite Scatec's stock rising about 26% year-to-date.
- Strategic Adjustment: Although Equinor did not disclose the reason for the sale, this move may suggest a strategy to realize partial profits amid Scatec's stock momentum, highlighting the company's flexibility and foresight in portfolio management.
- Future Outlook: The reduction in Equinor's stake in Scatec could impact its strategic positioning in the renewable energy sector, especially as the global energy transition accelerates, making the balance between traditional and renewable energy investments a key challenge moving forward.
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- Increased Focus on Energy Security: Ongoing instability in the Middle East has intensified concerns about the resilience of global energy supply networks, with the Strait of Hormuz responsible for approximately 20% of global oil consumption, prompting policymakers in North America and Europe to emphasize the importance of diversifying energy sources to reduce reliance on vulnerable transit routes.
- Significant Exploration Potential: Greenland Energy Company's primary asset in the Jameson Land Basin is estimated to contain up to 13 billion barrels of oil, which, if successfully developed, could rank among the most significant oil discoveries globally, profoundly impacting regional and global energy markets.
- Strategic Partnerships Enhance Capability: The company has secured drilling capacity through strategic agreements and plans to acquire rights to approximately 70% of the Jameson Land Basin, covering around two million acres, significantly increasing its exposure to the resource base and providing crucial support for future development.
- Experienced Leadership Team: The appointment of Joe Moglia, with his background in financial markets and corporate governance, will provide valuable guidance for the company’s capital market engagement and regulatory oversight, ensuring effective advancement of exploration projects in a complex financial and regulatory environment.
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- Increased Focus on Energy Security: Ongoing instability in the Middle East has intensified concerns over the resilience of global energy supply networks, with the Strait of Hormuz responsible for about 20% of global oil consumption, prompting policymakers to prioritize reducing dependence on vulnerable transit routes and thus advancing energy independence strategies.
- Significant Exploration Potential: Greenland Energy's primary asset in the Jameson Land Basin is estimated to contain up to 13 billion barrels of oil, which, if successfully developed, could significantly impact both regional and global energy markets, positioning it as a crucial future energy supply source.
- Enhanced Capabilities Through Strategic Partnerships: The company has secured drilling capacity through strategic agreements and plans to acquire approximately 70% rights in the Jameson Land Basin, covering about two million acres, which would substantially increase its resource base and potentially create transformative opportunities.
- Experienced Leadership Team: The appointment of Joe Moglia, with his background in capital markets and corporate governance, will provide valuable guidance for the company in navigating exploration and capital strategy, ensuring effective execution of its long-term development strategy in a complex financial and regulatory environment.
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- Market Performance Review: As of April 1, 2026, the DJIA fell by 2.75%, the S&P 500 dropped by 3.57%, and the Nasdaq declined by 5.56%, indicating that the market is experiencing some adjustment pressure after three consecutive years of strong returns.
- Future Earnings Expectations: Zacks estimates the 'fair value' target for the S&P 500 at year-end 2026 to be 7064, representing a 28.9% increase from the current level of 6477, suggesting that investors may find an attractive entry point in the current market environment.
- Industry Rating Changes: The Information Technology sector remains rated as 'Very Attractive', while the Energy and Utilities sectors have also risen to 'Very Attractive', primarily influenced by the Iran conflict, indicating resilience and growth potential in these industries amid current economic conditions.
- Quantum Computing Outlook: Zacks Senior Stock Strategist Kevin Cook highlights that quantum computing could be the next technological revolution, with major tech companies rapidly integrating this technology, prompting investors to focus on related stocks to capitalize on future growth opportunities.
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- Oil and Gas Stock Opportunities: Amid the ongoing conflict in the Persian Gulf, companies like Devon Energy and Diamondback Energy, focused on U.S. oil production, present attractive investment options due to rising oil prices, especially considering pre-conflict price levels, making them ideal for risk management.
- Refining Sector Benefits: With the 3-2-1 crack spread soaring from $20 at the start of the year to $54, refining companies like Valero Energy and PBF Energy are set to benefit from this trend, provided that demand for transportation products does not suffer due to high prices.
- LNG Supply Gap: The International Energy Agency notes that 34% of global crude oil trade and 20% of LNG trade pass through the Strait of Hormuz, with companies like Woodside Energy and Cheniere Energy positioned to fill the supply gap created by the blockade, particularly for Asian markets.
- Shipping and Fertilizer Sector Outlook: Flex LNG is poised to benefit from increased LNG shipping demand, while CF Industries, as a U.S.-focused fertilizer producer, will leverage its manufacturing facilities in the West and U.S. gas supply to fill the global fertilizer flow gap.
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