Data Centers Drive Growth for Fluence and Credo
- Fluence Growth Potential: Fluence Energy's battery modules provide stable power for data centers, with projected sales growth of 57% over the next two years despite flat revenues, indicating strong market demand and potential order opportunities.
- Data Center Project Development: Fluence is currently developing 36 GWh of data center projects, and while these potential sales are not yet included in the official order backlog, they highlight the company's significant position in the rapidly growing AI data center market.
- Credo Technological Innovation: Credo Technology's high-performance networking tools achieve data flows of up to 0.8 Tbps through its Active Electrical Cables, significantly reducing power consumption and cooling requirements, catering to the urgent demand for efficiency in data centers.
- Significant Revenue Growth: Credo's preliminary report for Q3 2026 shows revenues nearing $406 million, tripling from $135 million in the same period last year, demonstrating strong performance in the data center market and reliance on large clients' investments.
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Stock Price Outlook: Credo Technologies' stock price is near its bottom, with expectations for a rebound driven by strong margins and cash flow, supported by three major clients.
Analyst Sentiment: Analysts have mixed responses to recent earnings, with some price target reductions but an overall bullish outlook, suggesting a potential 90% upside this year.
Institutional Buying Trends: Institutional investors have been accumulating shares, reflecting confidence in the company's growth prospects, with expectations of continued aggressive investment in the coming years.
Market Conditions: The company is well-capitalized with low liabilities and strong revenue growth, indicating a solid foundation for future performance despite potential market fluctuations.
- Price Range Analysis: The VTWO ETF has a 52-week low of $69.38 and a high of $109.76, with the latest trade at $99.17, indicating relative stability and investor confidence in the current market.
- Technical Analysis Tool: Comparing the latest share price to the 200-day moving average can provide valuable insights for investors, aiding in market trend assessment and potential buying opportunities.
- ETF Unit Trading Mechanism: ETFs trade similarly to stocks, where investors are buying and selling 'units' that can be created or destroyed based on investor demand, impacting the underlying asset allocation of the ETF.
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- Earnings Highlights: Credo Technology Group reported a record revenue of $407 million and non-GAAP diluted EPS of $1.07 for Q3 FY2026, showcasing strong growth potential in the AI infrastructure sector, although market concerns about customer concentration persist.
- Customer Concentration Risk: CFO Daniel Fleming disclosed that the top two customers accounted for 71% of revenue, while three customers represented 88%, indicating a high dependency on a limited customer base that could impact future revenue stability.
- Cash Reserves and Financing: Credo ended the quarter with $1.3 billion in cash and equivalents, primarily driven by ATM offerings and strong free cash flow, providing ample funding for future investments and product expansions.
- Margin Outlook: Despite achieving a non-GAAP gross margin of 68.6% in Q3, the company guided for a Q4 margin of 64% to 66%, sparking discussions about potential “peak margins,” necessitating investor attention on future profitability fluctuations.
- Significant Revenue Growth: Credo Technology reported Q3 revenues of $407 million, reflecting a 51.9% sequential increase and a 201.5% year-over-year surge, indicating strong demand for its high-speed connectivity solutions, with expectations of tripling revenues by fiscal 2026, showcasing its competitive edge in a rapidly growing market.
- Margin Improvement: The non-GAAP gross margin rose to 68.6% from 63.8% a year ago, with non-GAAP net income hitting $208.8 million and a net margin of 51.3%, demonstrating ongoing improvements in cost control and profitability.
- Strong Cash Flow: The company generated $139.7 million in free cash flow during the third quarter, with total cash and equivalents reaching $1.3 billion, providing ample financial resources for product innovation and strategic acquisitions, thereby enhancing its market competitiveness.
- Optimistic Market Outlook: Management anticipates over 50% year-over-year revenue growth for fiscal 2027, and as AI infrastructure rapidly scales, Credo's high-performance connectivity solutions are expected to remain in high demand, driving the company's long-term growth potential.
- Stock Market Performance: U.S. stock indexes experienced a decline on Thursday, with the major index falling by 1.61%.
- Index Changes: The other indexes also saw decreases, with one declining by 0.56% and another by 0.26%.
- Doubling AI Revenue: Broadcom's AI revenue has more than doubled due to demand for AI accelerators and networking, with CEO Hock Tan projecting that AI chip revenue will be 'significantly in excess of $100 billion' by 2027, far exceeding Wall Street's bullish estimates and indicating strong demand and growth potential in the AI market.
- Capacity Expansion: The company is nearing 10 gigawatts of capacity, with analysts estimating revenue of $12 billion to $15 billion per gigawatt by 2027, which is expected to drive substantial revenue growth and further solidify Broadcom's leadership position in the semiconductor industry.
- Supply Chain Assurance: Despite facing shortages in high-bandwidth memory, Tan assured analysts that the company has secured memory and leading-edge wafer supply through 2028, which will support ongoing growth and alleviate concerns about profitability.
- Competitive Market Advantage: Tan emphasized that Broadcom's AI chips offer cost and performance advantages over competitors like Nvidia, which is expected to attract more hyperscaler customers and ensure the company's market share and profitability in the coming years.











