Coca-Cola Q4 Earnings Beat Expectations, Shares Rise
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 4 days ago
0mins
Should l Buy KO?
Source: Benzinga
- Earnings Beat: Coca-Cola reported fourth-quarter adjusted EPS of 58 cents, surpassing the analyst consensus of 56 cents, although quarterly sales of $11.80 billion grew only 2% year-over-year, missing the $12.026 billion expectation, indicating resilience in profitability.
- Revenue Growth Outlook: The company anticipates organic revenue growth of 4% to 5% for fiscal 2026, forecasting adjusted EPS between $3.21 and $3.24, slightly below analysts' estimate of $3.23, reflecting cautious optimism about future growth.
- Analyst Support: BofA Securities analyst Peter T. Galbo reiterated a Buy rating on Coca-Cola with a price target of $85, citing favorable global consumption trends and steady fundamentals, despite pressures from pricing and mix performance.
- Strategic Shift: Coca-Cola's ongoing transition away from bottling and distribution is expected to enhance margins and returns on invested capital over time, with analysts noting that while unit case trends may be soft in the short term, the long-term outlook remains positive.
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Analyst Views on KO
Wall Street analysts forecast KO stock price to rise
14 Analyst Rating
13 Buy
1 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 79.000
Low
71.00
Averages
79.33
High
85.00
Current: 79.000
Low
71.00
Averages
79.33
High
85.00
About KO
The Coca-Cola Company is a beverage company. The Company's segments include Europe, Middle East and Africa; Latin America; North America; Asia Pacific; Global Ventures; and Bottling Investments. It sells multiple brands across several beverage categories worldwide. Its portfolio of sparkling soft drink brands includes Coca-Cola, Sprite and Fanta. Its water, sports, coffee and tea brands include Dasani, smartwater, vitaminwater, Topo Chico, BODYARMOR, Powerade, Costa, Georgia, Fuze Tea, Gold Peak and Ayataka. Its juice, value-added dairy and plant-based beverage brands include Minute Maid, Simply, innocent, Del Valle, fairlife and AdeS. It operates in two lines of business: concentrate operations and finished product operations. Its concentrate operations sell beverage concentrates, syrups, including fountain syrups, and certain finished beverages to authorized bottling operations. Its finished product operations sell sparkling soft drinks and a variety of other finished beverages.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
Coca-Cola Shares Drop on Mixed Earnings Outlook
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- Earnings Performance: Coca-Cola reported Q4 earnings of $0.58 per share on $11.8 billion in revenue, surpassing Wall Street's $0.56 estimate, yet falling short of the $12.05 billion forecast, highlighting a slowdown in sales growth.
- Management Change: CEO James Quincey will depart at the end of March, with COO Henrique Braun taking over, a transition that may unsettle investors, particularly given the company's lowered sales growth expectations.
- Market Challenges: Coca-Cola faces a complicated global trade environment with new sugar taxes and shifting consumer preferences towards healthier options, despite a 10% stock increase year-to-date, indicating potential hurdles for the incoming CEO.
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- Coca-Cola Dividend History: Coca-Cola has raised its dividend for 63 consecutive years, with the most recent increase exceeding 5%, and a payout ratio of 67% suggests the company has ample profits to support its dividends, making it attractive for long-term investors.
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- Holding Status: Berkshire Hathaway has held Coca-Cola for over 35 years, with 400 million shares valued at approximately $30.8 billion as of September 2025, representing 9.4% of its portfolio, indicating long-term confidence in the beverage giant.
- Earnings Performance: Coca-Cola reported Q4 earnings of $0.58 per share on $11.8 billion in revenue, surpassing Wall Street's $0.56 estimate, yet falling short of the $12.05 billion forecast, highlighting a slowdown in sales growth.
- Management Change: CEO James Quincey will depart at the end of March, with COO Henrique Braun taking over, a transition that may unsettle investors, particularly given the company's lowered sales growth expectations.
- Market Challenges: Coca-Cola faces a complicated global trade environment with new sugar taxes and shifting consumer preferences towards healthier options, despite a 10% stock increase year-to-date, indicating potential hurdles for the incoming CEO.
See More
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- Coca-Cola Sales Growth: In 2025, Coca-Cola's sales grew by 5% after adjusting for foreign currency effects and acquisitions, with price/mix contributing 4 percentage points and concentrate sales adding 1 percentage point, indicating sustained brand strength and market share growth despite inflationary pressures.
- Coca-Cola Dividend History: Coca-Cola has raised its dividend for 63 consecutive years, with the most recent increase exceeding 5%, and a payout ratio of 67% suggests the company has ample profits to support its dividends, making it attractive for long-term investors.
- Realty Income Stability: Realty Income reported an occupancy rate of nearly 99% in the third quarter and achieved a 3.5% rental rate increase on expiring leases, demonstrating resilience in the face of online retail threats and economic cycles.
- Realty Income Dividend Performance: Realty Income boasts a 5% dividend yield and has raised its dividends multiple times over the past 113 quarters, highlighting its stable cash flow as a REIT and its appeal to income-seeking investors.
See More
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- Market Share Growth: Alphabet's Google Gemini has captured 21% of the enterprise large language model market and is poised to surpass ChatGPT's 27% share by 2025, demonstrating its competitive edge and market leadership in the AI sector.
- Strong Financial Performance: In 2025, Alphabet generated $402.8 billion in revenue, a 15% increase year-over-year, with operating income nearing $130 billion and an operating margin of 32%, indicating robust profitability amid ongoing growth.
- Capital Expenditure Plans: Alphabet anticipates capital expenditures of $175-$185 billion for 2026, exceeding analyst expectations; however, with $30.7 billion in cash reserves and strong profitability, the company is well-positioned to support its data center expansion.
- Long-Term Debt Financing: Alphabet aims to raise $20 billion through the issuance of 100-year bonds, and despite its long-term debt of $46.5 billion, the company's diversified revenue streams and strong cash flow provide a solid financial foundation for taking on additional debt.
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- Significant Revenue Growth: Alphabet's revenue reached $402.8 billion in 2025, marking a 15% increase, indicating a robust financial position supported by diversified revenue streams that can sustain future investments.
- Capital Expenditure Plans: Anticipated capital expenditures for 2026 are projected to be between $175 billion and $185 billion, exceeding analyst expectations; despite the high costs of building data centers, Alphabet's cash reserves grew by 30% to $30.7 billion, showcasing its financial strength.
- AI Market Share Increase: Google Gemini has captured 21% of the enterprise large language model market and is poised to surpass ChatGPT, reflecting Alphabet's growing competitiveness in the AI sector, which could lead to higher revenue streams.
- Long-term Debt Financing: Alphabet plans to raise $20 billion through the issuance of 100-year bonds; while its long-term debt stands at $46.5 billion, its strong profitability and diversified revenue sources enable effective debt risk management.
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- Sector Performance: In 2026, the consumer staples sector has surged over 15.5% in the S&P 500, becoming the third-best performing sector, indicating a growing investor preference for defensive stocks amid a market rotation.
- Valuation Surge: Wolfe Research noted that market-weighted valuations for consumer staples have reached their highest levels since the 1990s, reflecting increased investor confidence in the sector despite a lackluster overall market performance.
- Walmart's Market Position: Walmart's stock jumped 20% in 2026, allowing it to join the $1 trillion market cap club, showcasing its adaptability in the AI economy and solidifying its leading position in retail.
- Future Outlook: Analysts predict that as consumer demand rebounds in 2026, the fundamentals for the consumer staples sector are likely to improve, particularly with potential tax relief for lower-income households boosting product demand.
See More
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- AbbVie's Dividend Growth: AbbVie (ABBV), a Dividend King, has raised its dividend for 54 consecutive years, with a current yield of 3.1%, demonstrating its ability to rebound from patent expirations and maintain growth, making it a solid hold for the next 20 years.
- Coca-Cola's Stability: Coca-Cola (KO) is also a Dividend King, having increased its dividend for 63 years, with a yield of 2.6%, as the company has successfully adapted to market changes, marketing 30 brands with annual sales exceeding $1 billion, and is expected to continue its dividend increases.
- Realty Income's High Yield: Realty Income (O), while not a Dividend King, has raised its dividend for 30 years, boasting a yield over 5%, with Q3 adjusted funds from operations at $1.08 per share, significantly above the $0.807 in dividends paid, indicating strong funding capabilities for its dividend program.
- Low Volatility Investment Choice: Realty Income has a beta of 0.5 since its NYSE listing in 1994, reflecting low volatility, and combined with its high dividend yield, it presents an excellent long-term investment option for those seeking stable income.
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