Coca-Cola FEMSA's (NYSE:KOF) Capital Returns Continue to Show Strong Growth
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Sep 12 2025
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Should l Buy KOF?
Source: Yahoo Finance
Coca-Cola FEMSA's Financial Metrics: The company shows promising trends with a return on capital employed (ROCE) of 16%, which is close to the beverage industry's average of 18%. Over the last five years, ROCE has grown by 36% while capital employed has remained stable.
Investment Potential and Risks: Coca-Cola FEMSA has delivered a remarkable 160% total return over five years, indicating strong investor confidence. However, there is one warning sign to be aware of, suggesting potential risks associated with the investment.
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Analyst Views on KOF
Wall Street analysts forecast KOF stock price to rise
3 Analyst Rating
2 Buy
1 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 105.770
Low
98.00
Averages
107.33
High
115.00
Current: 105.770
Low
98.00
Averages
107.33
High
115.00
About KOF
Coca-Cola FEMSA, S.A.B. de C.V. is a franchise bottler of Coca-Cola trademark beverages across the world. The Company and its subsidiaries are engaged in the production, distribution and marketing of certain Coca-Cola beverages. It is also engaged in acquiring, holding and transferring all types of bonds, shares and marketable securities. The Company's segments include Mexico and Central America division, which comprises Mexico (including corporate operations), Guatemala, Nicaragua, Costa Rica and Panama; the South America division, which consists of Brazil, Argentina and Colombia; Venezuela, which operates in an economy with exchange control and hyper-inflation, and the Asian division, which consists of the Company's equity method investment in Coca-Cola FEMSA Philippines, Inc. The Coca-Cola trademark beverages include sparkling beverages (colas and flavored sparkling beverages), waters and still beverages (including juice drinks, coffee, teas, milk, dairy and isotonic drinks).
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Strong Quant Scores: Currently, foreign consumer staples stocks are performing exceptionally well across multiple markets, with all ten stocks earning Buy or Strong Buy ratings, indicating robust market confidence in these companies.
- Top Companies Ranked: Sendas Distribuidora S.A. (ASAIY) leads with a Strong Buy Quant Rating of 4.74, followed closely by Coca-Cola HBC AG (CCHGY) and Anheuser-Busch InBev SA/NV (BUD) with ratings of 4.52 and 4.45 respectively, reflecting their competitive advantages in the market.
- Rating System Insights: Seeking Alpha's Quant Ratings system evaluates stocks based on critical metrics such as valuation, growth, stock momentum, and profitability, with ratings ranging from 1 to 5, where scores above 3.5 are considered bullish and below 2.5 bearish, showcasing optimistic market expectations for the consumer goods sector.
- Market Influence: Major retailers like Carrefour and Tesco are prominently featured in this ranking, highlighting the significance and growth potential of the consumer goods industry in the global market, especially in the context of economic recovery.
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- Earnings Performance: Coca-Cola FEMSA reported a Q1 GAAP EPS of Ps. 0.26, with earnings per unit at Ps. 2.07 and per ADS at Ps. 20.67, indicating stable profitability despite market challenges.
- Revenue Growth: The company achieved Q1 revenue of Ps. 70.93 billion, reflecting a 1.1% year-over-year increase, driven by volume growth in most operations, although offset by a decline in Mexico, showcasing resilience in diversified markets.
- Volume Increase: Total volume rose by 1.2% to 998.4 million-unit cases, primarily due to growth in several operations, despite a decline in Mexico, highlighting strong performance in other markets.
- Market Strategy: Coca-Cola FEMSA's $1 billion investment plan in South Africa through 2030 underscores the company's focus on emerging markets and the implementation of its long-term growth strategy.
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- Earnings Announcement: Coca-Cola FEMSA (KOF) is set to release its Q1 2023 earnings report on April 29 before market open, drawing significant attention from investors.
- Earnings Expectations: The consensus EPS estimate stands at $1.32, indicating market confidence in the company's profitability.
- Revenue Forecast: Revenue is projected to reach $4.1 billion for the first quarter, reflecting the company's stable performance and growth potential in the market.
- Revision Dynamics: Over the past three months, EPS estimates have seen no upward revisions and one downward revision, while revenue estimates have experienced three upward revisions, showcasing a generally optimistic sentiment regarding Coca-Cola FEMSA's future performance.
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- Dividend Growth Performance: Fomento Economico Mexicano (Femsa) has tripled its dividend over the past decade, with a current yield of 6.72%, establishing itself as a reliable dividend stock that attracts investors seeking stable returns.
- Financial Stability: Femsa boasts a solid balance sheet with $7.38 billion in cash and short-term investments as of the end of 2025, sufficient to address short-term issues, while a restructuring plan is expected to generate $576.6 million in savings, further enhancing shareholder returns.
- Oxxo Retail Expansion: Femsa's stake in the Latin American Coca-Cola bottling business provides familiarity, and Oxxo convenience stores in Mexico have outperformed expectations, with plans for long-term expansion in Brazil and Mexico, solidifying its market position.
- Young Consumer Base: 60% of Oxxo's customers are aged 15-35, a demographic with high loyalty that helps Femsa build long-term relationships with consumers while providing suppliers opportunities to showcase new products, enhancing its market competitiveness.
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- Investment Overview: Coca-Cola has announced a $1 billion investment plan in South Africa by 2030, aimed at expanding production capacity, improving distribution networks, and driving product innovation, thereby enhancing its competitive edge in the local market.
- Collaborative Model: The investment will be executed jointly with local bottling partners, underscoring Coca-Cola's asset-light franchise bottling model, which further solidifies its market position in South Africa.
- Economic Contribution: According to Coca-Cola's statement, the system in South Africa contributed R51.2 billion in value-added economic activity in 2024, highlighting its significant role in promoting economic growth.
- Regional Strategy: This investment is not only a standalone project for South Africa but also aligns with Coca-Cola's broader commitments, including a $1.2 billion continental investment planned for 2025 and a $25 million water stewardship commitment by 2030, indicating a long-term commitment to the African market.
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- Performance Growth: Coca-Cola FEMSA's total volume increased by 1.3% to 1,093.6 million unit cases in Q4 2025, despite a slight decline in Mexico, indicating strong demand across multiple regions and boosting market confidence.
- Revenue Increase: The company's revenue rose by 2.9% to Ps. 77,750 million, primarily driven by effective pricing and revenue management strategies, although currency translation and product mix effects limited overall growth.
- Operating Income Improvement: Operating income advanced by 13.3% to Ps. 13,702 million, aided in part by insurance claim recoveries in Brazil and Mexico, demonstrating the company's success in cost control and revenue management.
- Stable Net Profit: Net income attributable to shareholders climbed by 3% to Ps. 7,501 million, despite higher financing expenses and tax burdens, reflecting the company's robust financial performance and ongoing competitiveness in international markets.
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