Bitcoin Falls Below One-Year Average, Bear Market Signals Emerge
Written by Ohris M. Greyoon, Blockchain & Crypto Expert
Source: Coinmarketcap
Updated: Jan 02 2026- Technical Confirmation: Julio Moreno highlighted Bitcoin's sustained move below its one-year moving average, alongside weakening metrics in network activity and liquidity, indicating a shift into a bear market that could undermine investor confidence.
- Price Trend Analysis: Bitcoin opened 2025 near $93,000, peaked at approximately $126,080, but ended the year at $88,500, demonstrating weakened market momentum that may influence future investment decisions.
- Cautious Market Expectations: Data from Polymarket reveals traders assign only a 21% probability for Bitcoin to reach $150,000 before 2026, reflecting a cautious sentiment that could lead to capital outflows from the cryptocurrency.
- Bear Market Structural Stability: While Bitcoin may drop to between $56,000 and $60,000, this decline is viewed as relatively mild compared to historical drops of 70% to 80%, potentially attracting long-term investors seeking stability in the market.
About the author
Ohris M. Greyoon
Ohris M. Greyoon holds a Master’s in Computer Science from MIT and has 10 years of experience in blockchain technology and cryptocurrency markets. A pioneer in decentralized finance (DeFi) analysis, he leads Intellectia’s Crypto News, offering cutting-edge insights into digital assets.
