XPEV Should I Buy
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XPeng Inc. (XPEV) is not a strong buy at the moment for a beginner investor with a long-term strategy. While the company has shown revenue growth, its declining vehicle deliveries, negative earnings, and recent analyst downgrades suggest caution. The technical indicators and options data do not indicate a strong upward trend, and the stock is trading near its 52-week low. Waiting for the upcoming earnings report on March 20, 2026, may provide better clarity on the company's financial health and future prospects.
The technical indicators suggest a bearish trend. The MACD is below zero and negatively contracting, RSI is neutral at 54.101, and moving averages indicate a bearish alignment (SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5). The stock is trading near a key pivot level of 17.143, with resistance at 18.449 and support at 15.836.
Revenue increased by 101.91% YoY in Q3
Gross margin improved to 20.14%, up 31.98% YoY.
The launch of the low-cost sub-brand Mona and premium vehicle pricing could support future revenue growth.
Vehicle deliveries declined by 49.90% YoY in February
Net income dropped by 78.92% YoY in Q3
Analysts have recently lowered price targets, citing weaker margins and falling sales volumes.
Stock is trading near its 52-week low and has declined by 16.10% over the past year.
In Q3 2025, revenue increased significantly by 101.91% YoY to $2.85 billion. However, net income dropped by 78.92% YoY to -$53.21 million, and EPS decreased by 76.92% YoY to -$0.03. Gross margin improved to 20.14%, up 31.98% YoY.
Analyst sentiment is mixed to negative. Barclays recently lowered the price target to $17 from $20 with an Underweight rating. JPMorgan reduced the target to $34 from $50, citing falling sales and weaker margins. Citi maintained a Buy rating but lowered the target to $27.60. Freedom Capital upgraded the stock to Buy with a $25 target, citing innovation and revenue growth but noted weak guidance.
