UBS Should I Buy
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UBS Group AG is not a strong buy at the moment for a beginner investor with a long-term strategy. While the stock is oversold based on RSI, the negative price momentum, lack of strong positive catalysts, and recent downgrades by analysts suggest a cautious approach. The financial performance shows mixed results, and there are no significant trading signals or influential endorsements to support a buy decision. Holding or exploring other opportunities might be more prudent.
The stock is currently oversold with an RSI of 18.969, indicating potential for a rebound. However, the MACD is negatively expanding (-0.709), and the price is below key support levels (S1: 42.493, S2: 41.046). This suggests a bearish trend in the short term.
The stock is oversold, which could indicate a potential rebound. Additionally, the company's net income and EPS have shown strong YoY growth in the latest quarter.
The options market shows bearish sentiment with high put-call ratios.
In Q4 2025, UBS reported a revenue drop of -37.78% YoY to $12.15B. However, net income increased by 55.71% YoY to $1.199B, and EPS rose by 60.87% YoY to 0.37. Gross margin dropped to 0, indicating operational challenges.
Recent analyst actions are mostly neutral or negative. Goldman Sachs downgraded UBS to Neutral with a lower price target of CHF 38, citing reduced efficiency tailwinds. Citi also lowered its price target to CHF 35.40. Earlier, BofA upgraded UBS to Buy in December 2025, but this is an outlier among recent ratings.
