TPL Should I Buy
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Texas Pacific Land Corp (TPL) is not an ideal buy for a beginner, long-term investor at this moment. Despite strong financial performance and positive analyst sentiment, the stock is currently overbought based on technical indicators like RSI and has limited immediate upside potential. Waiting for a better entry point would be prudent.
The stock is in a bullish trend with MACD positively expanding and moving averages showing strength (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200). However, the RSI at 92.288 indicates the stock is overbought, suggesting potential for a pullback. Key resistance levels are at R1: 471.764 and R2: 508.37.
Record water sales and revenue growth in Q4
Strong year-over-year increases in revenue, net income, and EPS.
Analyst coverage initiation with an Overweight rating and a $1,050 price target, highlighting the company's growth potential in the West Texas market.
Gross margin dropped by 8.38% YoY in Q4
RSI indicates the stock is overbought, suggesting limited immediate upside.
No significant trading trends from hedge funds or insiders.
In Q4 2025, revenue increased by 13.88% YoY to $211.58 million. Net income rose by 4.21% YoY to $123.35 million, and EPS grew by 4.68% YoY to $1.79. However, gross margin dropped to 81.35%, down 8.38% YoY.
KeyBanc initiated coverage with an Overweight rating and a $1,050 price target, citing the company's growth potential in the West Texas market and its transition from a 'sleepy public entity' to a dynamic growth story.
