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TNL Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy Travel + Leisure Co (TNL) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Buy
Latest Price
65.910
1 Day change
1.43%
52 Week Range
81.000
Analysis Updated At
2026/04/24
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Travel + Leisure Co. (TNL) is a good buy for a beginner investor with a long-term strategy and $50,000-$100,000 available for investment. Despite recent price weakness and concerns about delinquencies, the company's strong Q1 financial performance, positive long-term growth outlook, and oversold technical indicators make it an attractive entry point for long-term investors.

Technical Analysis

The stock is currently oversold with an RSI of 19.369, indicating a potential rebound opportunity. However, the MACD histogram is negative and expanding, signaling short-term bearish momentum. Key support is at $63.39, and the stock is trading near this level at $65.14, suggesting limited downside risk.

Options Data

Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
5
Buy
6

Positive Catalysts

  • Strong Q1 financial performance with revenue up 2.89% YoY, net income up 8.22% YoY, and EPS up 14.95% YoY.

  • Analysts from firms like Stifel and Wells Fargo believe the recent selloff is overdone and highlight strong performance in the vacation ownership segment.

  • Mizuho Securities defends the stock after a 15% drop, citing strong Q1 results as an opportunity for investors.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • Concerns about rising delinquencies and softness in new owner sales, which could weigh on near-term performance.

  • Barclays and other analysts have lowered price targets, citing potential overhangs on the stock.

Financial Performance

In Q1 2026, Travel + Leisure reported revenue of $961 million (+2.89% YoY), net income of $79 million (+8.22% YoY), and EPS of $1.23 (+14.95% YoY). Gross margin improved to 45.68%, up 6.13% YoY, reflecting strong operational performance.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Analysts are mixed, with several maintaining Buy or Outperform ratings despite lowering price targets. Recent price targets range from $74 to $107, with a consensus that the stock's selloff is overdone and long-term prospects remain attractive.

Wall Street analysts forecast TNL stock price to rise
9 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast TNL stock price to rise
7 Buy
2 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 64.980
sliders
Low
65.14
Averages
72.68
High
80
Current: 64.980
sliders
Low
65.14
Averages
72.68
High
80
Barclays
Equal Weight
downgrade
$78 -> $74
AI Analysis
2026-04-23
Reason
Barclays
Price Target
$78 -> $74
AI Analysis
2026-04-23
downgrade
Equal Weight
Reason
Barclays lowered the firm's price target on Travel + Leisure to $74 from $78 and keeps an Equal Weight rating on the shares post the Q1 report. The company's delinquencies, with no stabilization in sight, could become a near-term overhang on the shares, the analyst tells investors in a research note.
Wells Fargo
Trey Bowers
Overweight
downgrade
$88 -> $87
2026-04-23
Reason
Wells Fargo
Trey Bowers
Price Target
$88 -> $87
2026-04-23
downgrade
Overweight
Reason
Wells Fargo analyst Trey Bowers lowered the firm's price target on Travel + Leisure to $87 from $88 and keeps an Overweight rating on the shares. The firm notes Q1 results were slightly ahead and full-year guidance was reiterated with management citing conservatism given the Iran conflict. Share price reaction around softness in new owner sales and delinquencies looks overdone, Wells argues.
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