TFII Should I Buy
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TFI International Inc (TFII) is not a strong buy at this moment for a beginner investor with a long-term focus. The technical indicators suggest the stock is overbought, and the financial performance in the latest quarter shows declining revenue, net income, and EPS. While hedge funds are buying, and some analysts see potential upside, the lack of recent positive news, weak financial trends, and mixed analyst ratings make it prudent to hold off on investing for now.
The stock shows bullish moving averages (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200), and the MACD histogram is positive and expanding, indicating upward momentum. However, the RSI_6 is at 92.817, signaling the stock is overbought. Key resistance levels are at R1: 121.313 and R2: 126.266, with support levels at S1: 105.277 and S2: 100.323.
Hedge funds are buying significantly, with a 2038% increase in buying activity over the last quarter. Analysts like Citi and Goldman Sachs maintain a Buy rating, citing strong free cash flow and potential upside from industrial exposure.
The stock is overbought based on RSI, and financial performance in Q4 2025 shows declines in revenue (-7.84% YoY), net income (-14.58% YoY), and EPS (-11.22% YoY). Analysts have mixed ratings, with some lowering price targets and citing risks from weather, fuel costs, and freight demand uncertainty.
In Q4 2025, revenue dropped to $1.91 billion (-7.84% YoY), net income fell to $71.65 million (-14.58% YoY), and EPS decreased to $0.87 (-11.22% YoY). Gross margin slightly declined to 42.55% (-0.23% YoY).
Analyst ratings are mixed. Citi and Goldman Sachs maintain Buy ratings with price targets of $144 and $128, respectively, citing strong free cash flow and industrial exposure. However, BofA and Stephens are more cautious, with Neutral and Equal Weight ratings, citing cost pressures and operational risks. Price targets range from $105 to $144.
