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TCBK Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy Trico Bancshares (TCBK) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
49.770
1 Day change
-0.46%
52 Week Range
53.180
Analysis Updated At
2026/04/17
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TriCo Bancshares (TCBK) shows solid financial performance and positive analyst sentiment, but lacks immediate trading signals or strong catalysts for a beginner, long-term investor to act now. The technical indicators are neutral, and options data suggests limited trading activity with a bearish tilt. Given the investor's profile and the absence of strong buy signals, holding off for now is the prudent approach.

Technical Analysis

The MACD is positive at 0.251, indicating bullish momentum, but it is contracting. RSI is neutral at 49.584, and moving averages are bullish (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200). Key support is at 47.939, and resistance is at 51.018. However, the stock's candlestick pattern suggests a 70% chance of declining over the next week and month.

Options Data

Bearish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
2
Buy
7

Positive Catalysts

  • Strong Q4 financial performance with revenue up 9.74% YoY, net income up 15.84% YoY, and EPS up 17.05% YoY. Analysts have raised price targets, with a consensus leaning towards Overweight ratings.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • No recent news or significant trading trends from hedge funds or insiders. Options data shows limited activity, with a high put-call ratio indicating bearish sentiment. Stock trend analysis predicts a decline in the next week and month.

Financial Performance

In Q4 2025, TriCo Bancshares demonstrated strong growth with revenue increasing to $102.66M (up 9.74% YoY), net income rising to $33.63M (up 15.84% YoY), and EPS improving to 1.03 (up 17.05% YoY).

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Analysts have raised price targets, with Stephens and Piper Sandler maintaining Overweight ratings and price targets of $55 and $59, respectively. Keefe Bruyette and DA Davidson have more neutral stances with price targets of $55 and $54.

Wall Street analysts forecast TCBK stock price to rise
4 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast TCBK stock price to rise
2 Buy
2 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 50.000
sliders
Low
46
Averages
50
High
57
Current: 50.000
sliders
Low
46
Averages
50
High
57
Stephens
Andrew Terrell
Overweight
maintain
$54 -> $55
AI Analysis
2026-01-26
Reason
Stephens
Andrew Terrell
Price Target
$54 -> $55
AI Analysis
2026-01-26
maintain
Overweight
Reason
Stephens analyst Andrew Terrell raised the firm's price target on TriCo Bancshares to $55 from $54 and keeps an Overweight rating on the shares. Following the bank's Q4 report, the firm says it continues to expect TriCo is "a near-term buyer amongst our coverage." However, should M&A not come to fruition in the first half of 2026, the firm thinks "a takeout thesis could become more likely as the year progresses," the analyst tells investors.
Keefe Bruyette
Market Perform
maintain
$50 -> $55
2026-01-26
Reason
Keefe Bruyette
Price Target
$50 -> $55
2026-01-26
maintain
Market Perform
Reason
Keefe Bruyette raised the firm's price target on TriCo Bancshares to $55 from $50 and keeps a Market Perform rating on the shares.
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