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SMG Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy Scotts Miracle-Gro Co (SMG) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
62.780
1 Day change
-1.18%
52 Week Range
72.350
Analysis Updated At
2026/03/06
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Scotts Miracle-Gro Co (SMG) is not a strong buy at the moment for a long-term beginner investor with $50,000-$100,000 to invest. While the stock is oversold based on RSI, the technical indicators suggest a bearish trend, and there are no significant positive catalysts or trading signals to support immediate entry. The financial performance shows some improvement in net income and EPS, but revenue decline and negative net income still pose risks. Analysts have raised price targets, but the stock's growth certainty remains underappreciated. A hold position is recommended until clearer bullish signals emerge.

Technical Analysis

The stock is in a bearish trend with the MACD histogram at -0.756 and negatively expanding. RSI is at 16.12, indicating an oversold condition. Moving averages are converging, and the current price of $64.79 is near the S1 support level of $64.984. Key resistance levels are at $71.608 and $73.654.

Options Data

Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bearish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
7
Buy
5

Positive Catalysts

  • Analysts have raised price targets recently, with Stifel increasing the target to $79 and Wells Fargo to $75, maintaining positive ratings.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • No recent news or significant trading trends from hedge funds or insiders. The financials show a YoY revenue decline of -3.33%, and the stock has a 50% chance of minimal gains in the short term.

Financial Performance

In Q1 2026, revenue dropped by -3.33% YoY to $354.4M. However, net income improved by 79.86% YoY to -$125M, and EPS increased by 78.51% YoY to -2.16. Gross margin improved slightly to 25.4%.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Recent analyst ratings are positive, with Stifel and Wells Fargo raising price targets to $79 and $75 respectively, citing underappreciated growth potential and strong sector performance. UBS remains neutral with a target of $67.

Wall Street analysts forecast SMG stock price to rise
5 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast SMG stock price to rise
4 Buy
1 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 63.530
sliders
Low
51.37
Averages
64.09
High
74
Current: 63.530
sliders
Low
51.37
Averages
64.09
High
74
Stifel
W. Andrew Carter
Buy
maintain
$70 -> $79
AI Analysis
2026-03-03
Reason
Stifel
W. Andrew Carter
Price Target
$70 -> $79
AI Analysis
2026-03-03
maintain
Buy
Reason
Stifel analyst W. Andrew Carter raised the firm's price target on Scotts Miracle-Gro to $79 from $70 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares ahead of investor meetings at the Stifel Consumer Ski Event in Jackson Hole. Though the shares have performed well following fiscal Q1 earnings following "a surprising initial response," the firm believes the certainty of the growth profile remains "underappreciated," the analyst tells investors.
Wells Fargo
Overweight
maintain
$70 -> $75
2026-02-17
Reason
Wells Fargo
Price Target
$70 -> $75
2026-02-17
maintain
Overweight
Reason
Wells Fargo raised the firm's price target on Scotts Miracle-Gro to $75 from $70 and keeps an Overweight rating on the shares. The firm notes that this is the best start for Staples vs the S&P 500 ever. Wells is refreshing price targets for sector moves.
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