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RSKD Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy Riskified Ltd (RSKD) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
3.970
1 Day change
1.28%
52 Week Range
5.680
Analysis Updated At
2026/03/27
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Riskified Ltd (RSKD) is not a good buy for a beginner investor with a long-term strategy and $50,000-$100,000 available for investment. The stock's technical indicators are bearish, options sentiment is negative, and the company's financial performance shows significant declines in net income and EPS. While there are no strong positive catalysts or recent news to drive the stock upward, the analysts' ratings and price target adjustments also reflect a cautious outlook. Therefore, holding off on investing in RSKD at this time is recommended.

Technical Analysis

The technical indicators for RSKD are bearish. The MACD is negatively expanding below 0 (-0.0363), the RSI is neutral at 22.263, and the moving averages (SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5) indicate a downtrend. Key support levels are at 3.953 and 3.833, with resistance at 4.148 and 4.343. The stock has an 80% chance of declining by -0.72% in the next day, -0.38% in the next week, and -1.53% in the next month.

Options Data

Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bearish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

The options data reflects a bearish sentiment, with a high put-call volume ratio of 3.0 and a low open interest put-call ratio of 0.2. Implied volatility is elevated at 152.83, with an IV percentile of 98.01, indicating significant uncertainty.

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
8
Buy
1

Positive Catalysts

  • NULL identified. There is no recent news or significant positive developments for RSKD.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • The company's Q4 financials show a -241.04% YoY drop in net income and a -300.00% YoY drop in EPS. Analysts have lowered price targets, and technical indicators suggest a bearish trend. Options sentiment is also negative.

Financial Performance

In Q4 2025, Riskified's revenue increased by 6.20% YoY to $99.33 million, but net income dropped significantly by -241.04% YoY to $5.76 million. EPS fell by -300.00% YoY to 0.04. Gross margin improved by 9.48% YoY to 57.19%. Overall, the financial performance is mixed but leans negative due to the sharp declines in profitability.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Analysts have a mixed view on RSKD. UBS lowered the price target to $5 from $5.50 with a Neutral rating. Truist lowered the price target to $7 from $8 but maintained a Buy rating, citing growth acceleration and technical improvements. However, the lack of positive stock reaction to Q4 results raises concerns.

Wall Street analysts forecast RSKD stock price to rise
7 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast RSKD stock price to rise
3 Buy
2 Hold
2 Sell
Hold
Current: 3.920
sliders
Low
5
Averages
5.95
High
8
Current: 3.920
sliders
Low
5
Averages
5.95
High
8
UBS
Timothy Chiodo
Neutral
downgrade
$5
AI Analysis
2026-03-06
Reason
UBS
Timothy Chiodo
Price Target
$5
AI Analysis
2026-03-06
downgrade
Neutral
Reason
UBS analyst Timothy Chiodo lowered the firm's price target on Riskified to $5 from $5.50 and keeps a Neutral rating on the shares.
Truist
Buy
maintain
$8 -> $7
2026-03-04
Reason
Truist
Price Target
$8 -> $7
2026-03-04
maintain
Buy
Reason
Truist lowered the firm's price target on Riskified to $7 from $8 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares following the company's Q4 earnings results. Truist said it was "very surprised by the lack of positive stock reaction" to the company's Q4 update and outlook commentary, citing "line of sight into further growth acceleration," a strengthening "new business and related sales pipeline," and the platform's "technical performance improvement."
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