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RLI Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy RLI Corp (RLI) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
48.340
1 Day change
-1.45%
52 Week Range
77.240
Analysis Updated At
2026/04/24
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RLI Corp is not a strong buy at the moment for a beginner, long-term investor. The technical indicators show bearish trends, the options data reflects a bearish sentiment, and the company's recent financial performance indicates declining net income and EPS. While hedge funds are increasing their positions, the lack of strong positive catalysts and mixed analyst ratings suggest holding off on buying for now.

Technical Analysis

The technical indicators are bearish. The MACD is negatively expanding, RSI is neutral at 22.392, and moving averages are bearish (SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5). The stock is trading below the key pivot level of 57.498, with support at 55.6 and 54.427.

Options Data

Bearish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bearish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

The high Put-Call ratios indicate bearish sentiment in the options market.

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
10
Buy
5

Positive Catalysts

  • Hedge funds have increased their buying activity by 264.58% over the last quarter. Jefferies upgraded the stock from Underperform to Hold, citing disciplined underwriting and book value growth.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • The company has seen five downward EPS revisions in the last three months. Net income and EPS have declined YoY in the latest quarter. Analysts have lowered price targets twice in recent months.

Financial Performance

In Q1 2026, revenue increased by 3.98% YoY to $423.87M, but net income dropped by 13.18% YoY to $54.89M, and EPS fell by 11.76% YoY to $0.6.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Keefe Bruyette lowered the price target twice in recent months, from $81 to $70 and then to $67, but maintained an Outperform rating. Jefferies upgraded the stock from Underperform to Hold.

Wall Street analysts forecast RLI stock price to rise
4 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast RLI stock price to rise
1 Buy
3 Hold
0 Sell
Hold
Current: 49.050
sliders
Low
62
Averages
69.67
High
81
Current: 49.050
sliders
Low
62
Averages
69.67
High
81
Keefe Bruyette
Outperform
to
NULL
downgrade
$70 -> $67
AI Analysis
2026-04-07
Reason
Keefe Bruyette
Price Target
$70 -> $67
AI Analysis
2026-04-07
downgrade
Outperform
to
NULL
Reason
Keefe Bruyette lowered the firm's price target on RLI Corp. to $67 from $70 and keeps an Outperform rating on the shares.
Keefe Bruyette
Outperform
to
NULL
downgrade
$81 -> $70
2026-01-26
Reason
Keefe Bruyette
Price Target
$81 -> $70
2026-01-26
downgrade
Outperform
to
NULL
Reason
Keefe Bruyette lowered the firm's price target on RLI Corp. to $70 from $81 and keeps an Outperform rating on the shares.
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