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RJF Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy Raymond James Financial Inc (RJF) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
144.790
1 Day change
2.77%
52 Week Range
177.660
Analysis Updated At
2026/03/27
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Raymond James Financial Inc (RJF) is not a strong buy at the moment for a beginner investor with a long-term focus. Despite its diversified business model and positive long-term growth potential, the company's recent financial performance shows declining net income and EPS, while insider selling activity has significantly increased. Additionally, technical indicators suggest a bearish trend, and options data shows a heavily skewed put-call ratio, indicating bearish sentiment. Analysts' ratings are mixed, with no strong consensus for immediate upside potential. Therefore, it is advisable to hold off on buying RJF at this time.

Technical Analysis

The MACD histogram is positive at 0.328 and expanding, suggesting some bullish momentum. However, the RSI is neutral at 37.917, and the moving averages are bearish (SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5). The stock is trading near its pivot level of 144.339, with resistance at 147.113 and support at 141.566. Overall, the technical indicators suggest a bearish trend.

Options Data

Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bearish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

The open interest put-call ratio of 0.35 indicates more interest in calls than puts, but the option volume put-call ratio of 15.57 shows a significant skew towards put volume, suggesting bearish sentiment in the options market.

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
6
Buy
5

Positive Catalysts

  • Barclays initiated coverage with an Overweight rating and a $191 price target, citing the company's long-term compounding growth potential and attractive valuation. The company's gross margin increased by 2.06% YoY in Q1 2026.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • Insiders are selling heavily, with a 448.35% increase in selling activity over the last month. Net income and EPS have declined YoY in the latest quarter. Analysts' ratings are mixed, with some firms lowering price targets and maintaining neutral or hold ratings. Options data indicates bearish sentiment.

Financial Performance

In Q1 2026, revenue increased by 3.27% YoY to $4.078 billion, but net income dropped by 6.19% YoY to $561 million. EPS also declined by 2.45% YoY to 2.79. Gross margin improved slightly to 89.19, up 2.06% YoY.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Analysts' ratings are mixed. Barclays is bullish with an Overweight rating and a $191 price target, citing long-term growth potential. However, TD Cowen and BofA have neutral or hold ratings, with price targets of $181 and $198, respectively, reflecting cautious optimism but no strong buy signals.

Wall Street analysts forecast RJF stock price to rise
9 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast RJF stock price to rise
2 Buy
7 Hold
0 Sell
Hold
Current: 140.890
sliders
Low
176
Averages
184
High
196
Current: 140.890
sliders
Low
176
Averages
184
High
196
BofA
Neutral
maintain
$183 -> $198
AI Analysis
2026-02-01
Reason
BofA
Price Target
$183 -> $198
AI Analysis
2026-02-01
maintain
Neutral
Reason
BofA raised the firm's price target on Raymond James to $198 from $183 and keeps a Neutral rating on the shares. The firm updated the company's model post the earnings report.
TD Cowen
Hold
downgrade
$187 -> $181
2026-01-29
Reason
TD Cowen
Price Target
$187 -> $181
2026-01-29
downgrade
Hold
Reason
TD Cowen lowered the firm's price target on Raymond James to $181 from $187 and keeps a Hold rating on the shares. The firm lowered its estimates following mixed views from the conference call. On the one hand, the NNA outlook seems strong, albeit likely to slow from a torrid C4Q. Yet, the I-Bank discussion seemed mixed and overall they see less margin opportunity.
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