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PAGS Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy PagSeguro Digital Ltd (PAGS) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
10.020
1 Day change
3.19%
52 Week Range
12.320
Analysis Updated At
2026/03/27
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PagSeguro Digital Ltd (PAGS) is not a strong buy at the moment for a beginner investor with a long-term strategy. While there are some positive technical indicators and potential for short-term gains, the lack of significant positive catalysts, mixed analyst ratings, and declining financial performance make it prudent to hold off on investing right now.

Technical Analysis

The MACD is positive but contracting, suggesting weakening bullish momentum. RSI is neutral at 49.16, indicating no clear overbought or oversold conditions. Moving averages are converging, showing no strong trend. The stock is trading near its pivot point of 9.759, with resistance at 10.194 and support at 9.324.

Options Data

Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
3
Buy
9

Positive Catalysts

  • Gross margin increased by 7.42% YoY in Q4 2025, indicating improved operational efficiency. The stock has an 80% chance of gaining 7.19% in the next week and 26.39% in the next month based on similar candlestick patterns.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • Hedge funds are selling heavily, with a 401.13% increase in selling activity last quarter. Analysts have downgraded the stock to Neutral, and the financials show a YoY decline in net income (-16.19%) and EPS (-9.42%). No significant news or congress trading data is available to act as a positive catalyst.

Financial Performance

In Q4 2025, revenue increased by 5.51% YoY to 5.39 billion, but net income dropped by 16.19% YoY to 502 million. EPS also declined by 9.42% YoY to 1.73. Gross margin improved by 7.42% YoY to 53.13%, showing better cost management but not enough to offset the decline in profitability.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Mixed ratings: UBS raised the price target to $14 and maintained a Buy rating, but BTG Pactual and Grupo Santander downgraded the stock to Neutral with price targets of $13 and $14, respectively.

Wall Street analysts forecast PAGS stock price to rise
5 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast PAGS stock price to rise
3 Buy
1 Hold
1 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 9.710
sliders
Low
7
Averages
10.8
High
13
Current: 9.710
sliders
Low
7
Averages
10.8
High
13
BTG Pactual
Eduardo Rosman
Buy -> Neutral
downgrade
$13
AI Analysis
2026-01-29
Reason
BTG Pactual
Eduardo Rosman
Price Target
$13
AI Analysis
2026-01-29
downgrade
Buy -> Neutral
Reason
BTG Pactual analyst Eduardo Rosman downgraded PagSeguro to Neutral from Buy with an unchanged $13 price target.
UBS
Buy
maintain
$13 -> $14
2026-01-28
Reason
UBS
Price Target
$13 -> $14
2026-01-28
maintain
Buy
Reason
UBS raised the firm's price target on PagSeguro to $14 from $13 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares.
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