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ONON Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy On Holding Ltd (ONON) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Buy
Latest Price
39.440
1 Day change
-3.85%
52 Week Range
61.290
Analysis Updated At
2026/03/06
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On Holding Ltd (ONON) is a good buy for a beginner investor with a long-term strategy and $50,000-$100,000 available for investment. Despite short-term headwinds such as conservative guidance and FX challenges, the company demonstrates strong revenue growth, record-high gross margins, and a well-balanced growth profile. Analysts maintain a positive outlook with Buy ratings and price targets significantly above the current price, indicating potential upside. The current dip in share price presents an attractive entry point for long-term investors.

Technical Analysis

The technical indicators show bearish momentum with the MACD below 0 and negatively expanding, RSI at 28.178 (neutral zone), and bearish moving averages (SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5). The stock is trading near its support level (S1: 41.625), suggesting limited downside risk in the short term.

Options Data

Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

The options data indicates a bullish sentiment with a lower put-call ratio in terms of volume, suggesting more interest in calls than puts.

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
10
Buy
5

Positive Catalysts

  • Record-high gross margins and strong Q4 earnings exceeding expectations.

  • Significant growth potential in the Asia-Pacific region.

  • Analysts maintain Buy ratings with price targets significantly higher than the current price.

  • Long-term growth potential supported by rising brand awareness and premium positioning in the sportswear market.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • Conservative 2026 revenue guidance disappointing investors.

  • FX headwinds and concerns about slower apparel growth.

  • Bearish technical indicators in the short term.

Financial Performance

In Q4 2025, revenue increased by 24.94% YoY to $794.4M, net income surged by 289.84% YoY to $118.9M, EPS rose by 300% YoY to $0.36, and gross margin improved to 65.75%, up 8.5% YoY. These metrics highlight strong financial performance and operational efficiency.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Analysts maintain a positive outlook with Buy ratings despite lowering price targets due to conservative guidance. The average price target remains significantly above the current price, reflecting confidence in the company's long-term growth potential.

Wall Street analysts forecast ONON stock price to rise
21 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast ONON stock price to rise
18 Buy
2 Hold
1 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 41.020
sliders
Low
30
Averages
60.79
High
85
Current: 41.020
sliders
Low
30
Averages
60.79
High
85
Guggenheim
Buy
downgrade
$59 -> $51
AI Analysis
2026-03-04
Reason
Guggenheim
Price Target
$59 -> $51
AI Analysis
2026-03-04
downgrade
Buy
Reason
Guggenheim lowered the firm's price target on On Holding to $51 from $59 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. A top- and bottom-line beat in Q4 was overshadowed by below-Street guidance, notes the analyst, whose lower target reflects lower estimates.
Truist
Buy
downgrade
$65 -> $55
2026-03-04
Reason
Truist
Price Target
$65 -> $55
2026-03-04
downgrade
Buy
Reason
Truist lowered the firm's price target on On Holding to $55 from $65 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. The stock fell after Q4 results as the brand's momentum is being overshadowed by FX headwinds, a tough discretionary tape, and bear concerns about slower apparel growth, the analyst tells investors in a research note. On's well-balanced growth profile, rising average selling prices, and strong full-priced sales point to its elevated brand heat, the firm added.
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