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ON Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy ON Semiconductor Corp (ON) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
120.620
1 Day change
-2.55%
52 Week Range
129.130
Analysis Updated At
2026/05/29
Should I buy Analysis is updated weekly. For real time "Should I Buy" analysis, please sign up to get free answers.

ON Semiconductor is not a strong buy right now for a Beginner investor focused on long-term investing, even though the business outlook is constructive. The stock has already run hard, options sentiment is mixed, insiders are heavy sellers, and the current setup is closer to a mature uptrend than an attractive fresh entry. Since the user is impatient and does not want to wait for a better entry, the best direct call is HOLD rather than buy.

Technical Analysis

Technically, ON is still in a bullish trend. MACD is positive and expanding, and the moving averages are aligned bullishly with SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200. Pre-market price is 124.59, just under resistance at R1 125.928, which means the stock is near a short-term decision point rather than a clean low-risk entry. RSI_6 at 69.098 shows the stock is near overbought territory but not yet giving a strong reversal signal. Overall trend is positive, but upside from here may be more limited near-term unless it breaks resistance convincingly.

Options Data

Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bearish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Options sentiment is somewhat mixed but not bearish. The open interest put-call ratio of 0.85 suggests call positioning is still somewhat dominant, while the volume put-call ratio of 1.45 shows more puts traded today, which can reflect hedging or near-term caution. IV is very elevated with 30d IV at 71.23, IV percentile 95.24, and IV rank 87.06, implying the market expects a large move or is pricing in rich premiums. This supports active trading interest, but it is not an especially clean long-term buy signal.

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
4
Buy
8

Positive Catalysts

  • ["Multiple analysts raised price targets in late May, showing improving Wall Street sentiment.", "BofA raised target to $138 and kept Buy, citing multi-year content gains and improving industrial/auto trends.", "Mizuho raised target to $150 and kept Outperform, highlighting AI data center, DRAM, and NAND strength.", "News says ON Semiconductor is benefiting from silicon carbide demand and growth tied to AI data centers.", "Congress trading data shows 1 net purchase and no sales in the last 90 days, a modest positive signal.", "Technical trend remains bullish with aligned moving averages and positive MACD."]

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • ["The stock has already risen 114% this year, so much of the good news may already be priced in.", "Insiders are selling heavily, with selling amount up 2183.19% over the last month.", "Hedge funds are neutral, with no strong institutional conviction trend over the last quarter.", "Options activity shows higher put volume than call volume today, suggesting caution.", "The stock is near resistance, which makes the current entry less attractive for a beginner investor who wants long-term exposure."]

Financial Performance

No usable financial snapshot was provided because of a data error, so I cannot assess the latest quarter revenue, EPS, or margin trends directly from the supplied financial data. Based on analyst commentary in the data, the latest quarter appears to have shown revenue ahead of consensus, utilization rising to 77%, and improving demand in auto, industrial, and AI data center end markets. The referenced latest quarter season is Q1.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Analyst sentiment has improved meaningfully over the past few weeks. Several firms raised targets: Mizuho moved to $150 from $130 and stayed Outperform, BofA moved to $138 from $115 and stayed Buy, Roth moved to $125 from $70 and stayed Buy, and Jefferies/Evercore also remained positive. The Street broadly sees stronger industrial and auto demand plus AI data center growth as the main pros. The main con is that some analysts think the upside is already partly reflected in the share price, and a few firms remain Neutral or Hold.

Wall Street analysts forecast ON stock price to fall
19 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast ON stock price to fall
9 Buy
10 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 123.770
sliders
Low
50
Averages
61.25
High
80
Current: 123.770
sliders
Low
50
Averages
61.25
High
80
Mizuho
Outperform
maintain
$130 -> $150
AI Analysis
2026-05-28
New
Reason
Mizuho
Price Target
$130 -> $150
AI Analysis
2026-05-28
New
maintain
Outperform
Reason
Mizuho raised the firm's price target on On Semi to $150 from $130 and keeps an Outperform rating on the shares. The firm upped targets in the semiconductor space after analyzing the memory market and the impact of agentic AI. DRAM demand will be strong into 2027, high bandwidth memory's total addressable market is growing, and NAND demand is not slowing down, the analyst tells investors in a research note. Micron is Mizuho's top pick in the space.
BofA
Vivek Arya
NULL
to
Buy
upgrade
$115 -> $138
2026-05-25
Reason
BofA
Vivek Arya
Price Target
$115 -> $138
2026-05-25
upgrade
NULL
to
Buy
Reason
BofA analyst Vivek Arya raised the firm's price target on On Semi to $138 from $115 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. The firm says the company's multi-year content gains still seem underappreciated in the shares. The company's core industrial and auto markets "have finally turned the corner," going from headwinds to cyclical tailwinds, the analyst tells investors in a research note. The firm believes the tailwinds are are being augmented by "transformative" growth in the AI data.
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