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OLLI Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings Inc (OLLI) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
92.040
1 Day change
1.88%
52 Week Range
141.740
Analysis Updated At
2026/03/27
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Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings Inc (OLLI) is not a strong buy at the moment for a beginner investor with a long-term strategy. While the company has shown solid financial growth in Q4 2026 and analysts maintain positive long-term growth expectations, the technical indicators are bearish, insider selling is significantly high, and no strong proprietary trading signals are present. The stock appears oversold, but the lack of immediate positive catalysts and bearish sentiment suggests waiting for a clearer entry point.

Technical Analysis

The technical indicators are bearish. The MACD histogram is -1.449, indicating a negative trend, and the RSI is at 16.057, signaling the stock is oversold. Moving averages are bearish with SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5. Key support levels are at 92.236 and 87.235, with resistance at 100.331 and 108.425.

Options Data

Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
8
Buy
6

Positive Catalysts

  • The company reported strong Q4 2026 financials with revenue up 16.82% YoY, net income up 24.80% YoY, and EPS up 25.23% YoY. Analysts highlight sustainable mid-teens EPS growth and raised long-term growth targets.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • Insider selling has increased by 3845.59% in the last month, indicating potential lack of confidence from insiders. Technical indicators are bearish, and the stock is trading below key moving averages. Additionally, no recent congress trading data or significant hedge fund activity is observed.

Financial Performance

In Q4 2026, the company achieved revenue of $779.26M (up 16.82% YoY), net income of $85.55M (up 24.80% YoY), and EPS of $1.39 (up 25.23% YoY). However, gross margin dropped to 38.47% (-2.19% YoY), which could indicate rising costs or pricing pressures.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Analysts generally maintain a positive outlook with multiple Buy and Overweight ratings. Price targets have been adjusted downward due to peer multiple compression, but long-term growth expectations remain intact. Current price targets range from $120 to $155, suggesting potential upside from the pre-market price of $90.58.

Wall Street analysts forecast OLLI stock price to rise
13 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast OLLI stock price to rise
10 Buy
3 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 90.340
sliders
Low
120
Averages
144.46
High
162
Current: 90.340
sliders
Low
120
Averages
144.46
High
162
Wells Fargo
Edward Kelly
Overweight
initiated
$130
AI Analysis
2026-04-01
New
Reason
Wells Fargo
Edward Kelly
Price Target
$130
AI Analysis
2026-04-01
New
initiated
Overweight
Reason
Wells Fargo analyst Edward Kelly added Ollie's Bargain Outlet to the firm's Q2 Tactical Ideas List. The firm says that the recent pullback in shares post Q3 EPS creates an attractive entry point. Choppy data is an overhang, but a couple of weeks is not a trend, management's tone remains positive, expect solid Q1 with "One Big Beautiful Bill" refunds, Wells adds. The firm believes the stock is too cheap for the growth outlook. Wells has an Overweight rating on the shares with a price target of $130.
BofA
Buy
downgrade
$150 -> $135
2026-03-13
Reason
BofA
Price Target
$150 -> $135
2026-03-13
downgrade
Buy
Reason
BofA lowered the firm's price target on Ollie's Bargain Outlet to $135 from $150 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. The firm is increasing its FY26 and FY27 EPS estimates by 2% and 1%, respectively, to reflect an improved gross margin outlook and increased share buyback, but lowering its price target to reflect peer multiple compression.
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