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NTRA Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy Natera Inc (NTRA) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Buy
Latest Price
199.140
1 Day change
2.52%
52 Week Range
256.360
Analysis Updated At
2026/04/24
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Natera Inc (NTRA) is a good buy for a beginner, long-term investor with $50,000-$100,000 available for investment. The stock has strong growth potential, supported by positive hedge fund activity, bullish technical indicators, and favorable analyst ratings. Despite a recent drop in net income and EPS, the company's revenue growth and gross margin improvement indicate long-term growth prospects. Options data also suggests bullish sentiment, making this a suitable investment for the user's profile.

Technical Analysis

The stock shows bullish moving averages (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200), and the MACD histogram is positive at 0.328, indicating upward momentum. RSI is neutral at 44.537, and the stock is trading near its pivot level of 202.6. Key resistance levels are at 216.148 and 224.517, while support levels are at 189.052 and 180.683.

Options Data

Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

The low put-call ratios indicate bullish sentiment. Additionally, implied volatility is high at 80.76, with an IV percentile of 98.41, suggesting strong market interest in the stock.

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
6
Buy
6

Positive Catalysts

  • Hedge funds are significantly increasing their positions, with a 265.72% increase in buying activity over the last quarter.

  • Analysts are optimistic, with multiple 'Outperform' and 'Buy' ratings and price targets ranging from $215 to $

  • Revenue grew by 39.79% YoY in Q4 2025, and gross margin improved by 5.93%.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • Net income and EPS dropped significantly in Q4 2025, down -187.89% and -182.93% YoY, respectively.

  • No recent news or Congress trading data to act as immediate catalysts.

Financial Performance

In Q4 2025, Natera's revenue increased by 39.79% YoY to $665.5M, and gross margin improved to 66.67%. However, net income dropped to $47.26M (-187.89% YoY), and EPS fell to 0.34 (-182.93% YoY). Despite short-term profitability challenges, the company demonstrates strong revenue growth and operational efficiency.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Analysts are highly optimistic about Natera, with several 'Outperform' and 'Buy' ratings. Price targets range from $215 to $300, reflecting confidence in the company's long-term growth. Citi highlighted an 'upside 90-day catalyst watch,' and UBS sees sustained growth momentum with operating leverage.

Wall Street analysts forecast NTRA stock price to rise
13 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast NTRA stock price to rise
12 Buy
1 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 194.240
sliders
Low
205
Averages
262.92
High
300
Current: 194.240
sliders
Low
205
Averages
262.92
High
300
Baird
NULL
to
Outperform
maintain
$257 -> $265
AI Analysis
2026-05-08
New
Reason
Baird
Price Target
$257 -> $265
AI Analysis
2026-05-08
New
maintain
NULL
to
Outperform
Reason
Baird raised the firm's price target on Natera to $265 from $257 and keeps an Outperform rating on the shares. The firm updated its model following Q1 results and strong start to 2026.
JPMorgan
NULL -> Overweight
maintain
$260 -> $265
2026-05-08
New
Reason
JPMorgan
Price Target
$260 -> $265
2026-05-08
New
maintain
NULL -> Overweight
Reason
JPMorgan raised the firm's price target on Natera to $265 from $260 and keeps an Overweight rating on the shares. The firm updated the company's model post the Q1 report.
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