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NTR Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy Nutrien Ltd (NTR) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Buy
Latest Price
76.830
1 Day change
0.98%
52 Week Range
78.080
Analysis Updated At
2026/03/06
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Nutrien Ltd (NTR) is a good buy for a beginner investor with a long-term strategy and $50,000-$100,000 available for investment. The company's strong financial performance, positive analyst sentiment, and favorable long-term growth prospects outweigh the short-term concerns such as hedge fund selling and DOJ investigations. The stock's technical indicators and options data also support a positive outlook.

Technical Analysis

The stock is showing bullish momentum with moving averages (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200) and a MACD histogram above 0, indicating a positive trend. RSI is neutral at 60.548, and the stock is trading near its pivot level of 73.758 with resistance at 76.89. These indicators suggest the stock has room for upward movement.

Options Data

Bearish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

The low Option Volume Put-Call Ratio (0.09) indicates bullish sentiment, while the Open Interest Put-Call Ratio (1.17) suggests a higher number of put contracts, possibly for hedging purposes. Implied volatility is at 36.55, with an IV percentile of 89.24, indicating high demand for options.

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
1
Buy
9

Positive Catalysts

  • Strong financial performance in Q4 2025, with revenue up 5.14% YoY, net income up 405.31% YoY, and EPS up 413.04% YoY.

  • Positive analyst sentiment with multiple price target increases and ratings upgrades, highlighting operational improvements and growth potential.

  • Favorable market conditions for nitrogen and potash pricing, which are expected to benefit Nutrien in the near term.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • Hedge funds are selling, with a 116.85% increase in selling activity last quarter.

  • The U.S. Department of Justice investigation into fertilizer manufacturers for potential price coordination could create uncertainty and short-term price volatility.

Financial Performance

Nutrien delivered strong Q4 2025 results, with revenue at $5.34 billion (up 5.14% YoY), net income at $571 million (up 405.31% YoY), and EPS at $1.18 (up 413.04% YoY). Gross margin increased to 35.36%, reflecting improved profitability.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Analysts are generally positive on Nutrien, with multiple price target increases ranging from $70 to $81. Outperform and Buy ratings dominate, driven by expectations of operational improvements, free cash flow growth, and favorable market conditions for nitrogen and potash pricing.

Wall Street analysts forecast NTR stock price to fall
15 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast NTR stock price to fall
6 Buy
8 Hold
1 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 76.090
sliders
Low
58
Averages
66.08
High
76
Current: 76.090
sliders
Low
58
Averages
66.08
High
76
Barclays
Equal Weight
maintain
$70 -> $80
AI Analysis
2026-03-03
Reason
Barclays
Price Target
$70 -> $80
AI Analysis
2026-03-03
maintain
Equal Weight
Reason
Barclays raised the firm's price target on Nutrien to $80 from $70 and keeps an Equal Weight rating on the shares. The firm says the U.S. and Israel strikes on Iran have potential to bolster nitrogen pricing for at least the first half of 2026, providing further upside for North American producers. Potash should be fairly stable while phosphate will face higher ammonia input costs, the analyst tells investors in a research note.
Oppenheimer
Kristen Owen
Outperform
maintain
$76 -> $78
2026-02-26
Reason
Oppenheimer
Kristen Owen
Price Target
$76 -> $78
2026-02-26
maintain
Outperform
Reason
Oppenheimer analyst Kristen Owen raised the firm's price target on Nutrien to $78 from $76 and keeps an Outperform rating on the shares. While results were light, progress made on portfolio actions continue to drive the Nutrien thesis, the firm says. Oppenheimer sees a catalyst-rich year ahead for Nutrien, with farmer fundamentals stabilizing, and decisions for its Phosphate business, Trinidad nitrogen, and Brazil Retail all expected to improve earnings stability and strengthen free cash flow generation.
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