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NexPoint Real Estate Finance Inc (NREF) is not a strong buy at the moment for a beginner investor with a long-term horizon. While the company has shown strong financial growth in the latest quarter and offers a solid dividend yield, the technical indicators and trading trends do not support an immediate entry point. Additionally, the stock is projected to decline in the short term, and there are no strong proprietary trading signals or significant positive catalysts to justify a buy decision right now.
The stock shows mixed signals. While moving averages are bullish (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200), the MACD is negatively expanding, and RSI is neutral at 49.393. The stock is trading near its pivot level of 14.863, with resistance at 15.098 and support at 14.628. Short-term projections indicate a potential decline of -4.72% in the next week and -6.56% in the next month.

The company announced a total dividend allocation of $2.00 per share for 2025, which is attractive for income-focused investors. Financial performance in Q3 2025 showed significant growth, with revenue up 102.23% YoY, net income up 117.37% YoY, and EPS up 50.94% YoY.
Analysts recently lowered the price target from $14.50 to $14, maintaining a Market Perform rating. The options data shows low trading activity, with a Put-Call Ratio of 0.33, indicating limited bullish sentiment. Additionally, no significant hedge fund or insider trading trends were observed, and there are no recent congress trading data or influential figure transactions.
In Q3 2025, the company demonstrated strong financial growth: Revenue increased by 102.23% YoY to $87.36M, net income rose by 117.37% YoY to $35.03M, and EPS grew by 50.94% YoY to 0.8. Gross margin also improved significantly, up 32.64% YoY to 84.49%.
Keefe Bruyette recently lowered the price target to $14 from $14.50 and maintained a Market Perform rating, indicating neutral sentiment from analysts.